Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming

[WesternFringe]

7 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I thought 09 was one of the better ones in that frame.  Shows what I know…nothing 

Those are the last 2 numbers in the pressure of the slp, not the enemble member number

[Paleocene]

12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

for reference, that 09 east of Georgia is the OP. massive weak/southern outlier 

Right, thanks. Compare to the op:

[Terpeast]

2 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

Those are the last 2 numbers in the pressure of the slp, not the enemble member number

That answered my question. Good sign if it’s the furthest South of the ensembles

[Stormchaserchuck1]

9 minutes ago, Interstate said:

NAM is also hanging the energy back in the SW

Yeah it makes the later part of the wave the one to watch, which would time with the -NAO rising better.

[stormtracker]

28 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Did you throw in the bus to sweeten the pot?  

Hell no, that's legend.

[CAPE]

HH has arrived. Let's get this party started.

GI BCBS here.

The 18z Natty Blend still looks good.

 

[Interstate]

Just now, CAPE said:

HH has arrived. Let's get this party started.

GI BCBS here.

The 18z Natty Blend still looks good.

 

The Buffalo game should be fun on Sunday

[LP08]

ICON with a late bloomer..decent snow through the end of the run.

[DCAlexandria]

ICON aint bad

[Heisy]

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[blizzardmeiser]

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

The Buffalo game should be fun on Sunday

Kansas city 5 with a wind chill of -15

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, Heisy said:

.

I can’t believe someone posted the long range NAM, at least it’s not the long range RGEM … wait a minute 

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, Interstate said:

The Buffalo game should be fun on Sunday

Good luck to the Dolphins in KC Saturday.

A slight chance of snow after noon. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 9. Wind chill values between -8 and -15. Northwest wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

[Interstate]

1 minute ago, blizzardmeiser said:

Kansas city 5 with a wind chill of -15

Here is Buffalo Forecast for the game

 

Sunday

Snow showers likely before 1pm, then snow after 1pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 24. Windy, with a west wind 29 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

[Imgoinhungry]

So today’s runs: gfs went from no snow to snow. Euro went from snow to no snow.

A goose must have farted midflight causing the models to seriously waver.


.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

10 minutes ago, Heisy said:

[RGEM]

Hanging more energy back in the west.. that's one part of what we need.

[CAPE]

7 minutes ago, Heisy said:

.

RGEM at this range? (or any FTM) Come on dude. BTW many of your posts are kinda seizure inducing. Headache at minimum.

[stormtracker]

18z HH has begun.  Let's gamble.

Incidentally, I won't be doing pbp 0z (stop the crying, I know your night has been ruined).   I'll be at the club around 10:30 or so.  But I'll be in a corner, G&T in hand and doing as most people in a club:  checking the GFS.

[stormtracker]

The @Heisy hate has got to stop!  He's one of the few interlopers we like.

[WesternFringe]

4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

RGEM at this range? (or any FTM) Come on dude. BTW many of your posts are kinda seizure inducing. Headache at minimum.

Agreed.  Maybe slowing down the loop of the 2 images would help?

[Ji]

Hisenburg is good at forecasting models

[Terpeast]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

The @Heisy hate has got to stop!  He's one of the few interlopers we like.

Haha yeah I gotta hand it to him, though. Heisy is sharp and picks up on things most of us don't see.

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

Hisenburg is good at forecasting models

However, I am the one who knocks.

[stormtracker]

@60 slight changes in the back..s/w hangs back every so slightly .  out front no diff

[stormtracker]

@66 ridge out west poke up a bit more vs 12z/. S/w is a bit wester in da back

[BristowWx]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

@60 slight changes in the back..s/w hangs back every so slightly .  out front no diff

That’s good start.  Assume action in the back is what we need to focus on if we want this thing to pop.  

[Ji]

@66 ridge out west poke up a bit more vs 12z/. S/w is a bit wester in da back

Stop saying da….this ain’t 1998

[stormtracker]

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

Stop saying da….this ain’t 1998

I'll tell my kid and his friends to stop saying/texting it too then.  Thanks man, what would we do without you. Da F outta here

[BristowWx]

528 line marches a bit further south.  Normally that’s good news.  Now I fear it will push things further SE.  

[stormtracker]

To me, H5 looks better.   But full caveat:  I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about.