WxMan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 22 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Would rather 6 inches over 24 hours than 24 inches over 6 hours. Just like to watch it snow. That's what she sa... oh nevermind. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 18z GEFS really doesn't have much with the 16-17 storm. 3/27 members it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 18z GEFS really doesn't have much with the 16-17 storm. 3/27 members it looks like. good old fashioned model war over this one, hopefully GFS op bleeding to Euro progression signals a coming surrender though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 That's what she sa... oh nevermind. No not you too 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 38 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Also for the 20th, precip on GEFS indicates the GoM is going to spin something up. Obviously as depicted it's OTS but given the beautiful bigger picture, hard to complain at this range... good to know there's potentially energy around, then got to get it in our neighborhood. I think its in a decent spot for 230 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 41 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: yup pretty much lol LMAO ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Hey do any of you remember the CRAS model?? I wonder what happen to that dumpster fire of a model lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 Snow weenies are gonna track. Because that's what we do. And because you all know, all too well, that the storm is there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, Jebman said: Snow weenies are gonna track. Because that's what we do. And because you all know, all too well, that the storm is there. Yup!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 Concerning 6 inches of snow in 24 hours vs 24 inches of snow in 6 hours, I'd take BOTH. That's a 30 inch snowstorm in 30 hours and I'd be digging massive amounts of snow. Not to mention an EPIC jebwalk. And the storm has got to be tracked on all the models. We're not going to miss even ONE model run! Well, maybe YOU will, but I WON'T! This is why I never got married. I am ALREADY married. To all the models, the ensembles and the ski resorts like Palisades Tahoe and Mammoth and Alta, Utah and many, many others. I am married to snow and severe weather and floods. And Hurricanes and 75 foot storm surges associated with our exciting new ultra heated base state. 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Eps rolling now we’ll have a good idea at its end range how the storm would have ended up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 My only take away from the GFS is we are going to have multiple chances through the end of the month at least. It was a pretty nice run in reality. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 My guess thru 120 is EPS would come in a touch less amped. Main wave touch farther E . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Control at 132, this looks like a major storm developing . 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 144 hour EPS 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Control at 132, this looks like a major storm developing . Looks like the 12z op run, so probably a similar outcome. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Control at 132, this looks like a major storm developing .Haha I hope this trends toward the tpv phasing with the trailing energy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 +PNA, -NAO, and confluence all got better on this run 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Pretty much a duplicate of 12z EPS. 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Pretty much a duplicate of 12z EPS. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: the 12z ECMWF has a coastal storm Thanks for your correction! Closer scrutiny would have said the 12z ECM is OTS as modeled regarding significant Va. impact but does give significant snowfall up the coast from Delaware to Boston with the center well offshore. The GFS follows a similar track but flounders around in the Atlantic until consolidating about 200 miles east of Cape Cod on Wed. morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Does seem further SE though. But pretty similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Looks like the 12z op run, so probably a similar outcome.I think it was going to be much stronger event farther S. Like possible develop in time to snow farther S, not necessarily N. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Looks like we'll need a travelers advisory for Short Pump 2 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 hour ago, WxMan1 said: That's what she sa... oh nevermind. I have taught you well. You will be getting your diploma in the mail very shortly. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Can see the jet backed up a touch, not that it matters much either way we’ll have a 00z run soon enough . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Looks like we'll need a travelers advisory for Short Pump NE MD PUMMELED seems a good bet. A puking fatties watch may be required. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 4 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Looks like we'll need a travelers advisory for Short Pump Make that a Hazardous Driving Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 54 minutes ago, CAPE said: NE MD PUMMELED seems a good bet. A puking fatties watch may be required. We're gonna fill the Bingo card before we get to Saturday at this rate... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 If we get this under 72 hours I want Randy to host a radio show. I miss those days . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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