WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Here we go. Days of Our Lives: Will the Euro cave? Will it hold? Will it get better? Will Will show 1000 hour maps? Stay Tuned 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Nope Darn, i guess i will have to wait for some ZR to show up on the maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Let’s be Frank though the pattern didn’t change and the delays continue. we can still get a biggie it couple old fashioned 4-5 inches but a persist cold and snowy winter is not in the cards but may yet assert itself upon 3-3 snowing occasions. The pattern did get better. We do not have ideal set ups ever now when we get close to an event. We do not need ideal.. We need cold and then a storm in the southern branch and something to lock the cold in place for the duration of the precipitation event. Keep it simple.. Look for the simple.. And the details will be cleared up when we approach. We do not do complicated well.. If it gets complicated bet in fail. As PSU has said, we always need luck. Sometimes the pattern makes it more likely we will get lucky. We want to see those features get better as we approach storm time.. If they step back on subsequent runs of models, you know your luck is likely to run out. Doesn't mean in the end you don't get lucky, but you better hedge your bets. I am being captain obvious here. Let's get the cold and the cutter off the table and see if some better stuff shows up. That is all we can do. The thing that seems certain for next week is colder air will be around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: The pattern did get better. We do not have ideal set ups ever now when we get close to an event. We do not need ideal.. We need cold and then a storm in the southern branch and something to lock the cold in place for the duration of the precipitation event. Keep it simple.. Look for the simple.. And the details will be cleared up when we approach. We do not do complicated well.. If it gets complicated bet in fail. As PSU has said, we always need luck. Sometimes the pattern makes it more likely we will get lucky. We want to see those features get better as we approach storm time.. If they step back on subsequent runs of models, you know your luck is likely to run out. Doesn't mean in the end you don't get lucky, but you better hedge your bets. I am being captain obvious here. Let's get the cold and the cutter off the table and see if some better stuff shows up. That is all we can do. The thing that seems certain for next week is colder air will be around Colder air does appear likely next week so let’s get good things started . at this moment the pattern Has Not changed, everything is 7-10 days away, and the excess rain in Dec with temps 60-65 has merely become excessive rain and highs 50-55 so far in Jan. I hope that pattern changes, it must, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Colder air does appear likely next week so let’s get good things started . at this moment the pattern Has Not changed, everything is 7-10 days away, and the excess rain in Dec with temps 60-65 has merely become excessive rain and highs 50-55?so far in Jan. I hope that pattern changes, it must, Check the UKIE out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, Daniel Boone said: Check the UKIE out... that bad? sometimes its a harbinger of the things to come with Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: that bad? sometimes its a harbinger of the things to come with Euro Yes. And then the next storm cuts to our west. It would be a morale killer around here if it played out like that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yes. And then the next storm cuts to our west. It would be a morale killer around here if it played out like that. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 What is the give up date for snow this year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, LeesburgWx said: What is the give up date for snow this year? April 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Here we go. Days of Our Lives: Will the Euro cave? Will it hold? Will it get better? Will Will show 1000 hour maps? Stay Tuned How about a picture from an historic time of snow covered roads? 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I’d rather have things like meh at day 6 and good at day 3 then good and day 6 then meh by day 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 hmm, h5 on Euro is totally different than 0z so far 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: hmm, h5 on Euro is totally different than 0z so far Classic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 49 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: But a bit more interested in the 20th… That is the one with the best pattern support. We just need a healthy STJ wave to come along within that 2 day window. GFS almost pulled it off but the energy balance we needed was flipped on its head...too much NS not enough STJ. Flip that and it would have been a big storm IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: hmm, h5 on Euro is totally different than 0z so far We are days away from a solution. @Terpeastis definitely correct, waiting until Saturday clears. Some guidance still showing a followup wave right on it's tail for the 14th. Until that midwest bomb clears, we just can't know. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Much slower out west with the SW coming into the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 44 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Let’s be frank though-the pattern didn’t change and the delays continue. we can still get a biggie orccouple old fashioned 3-5 inches but a persist cold and snowy winter with snow remaining on ground is not in the cards but may yet assert itself upon 2-3 snowing occasions. This is true if you judge every pattern by the duality of "Snow or no snow". This is subjective of course. IMO there are many different patterns and frankly most of them don't produce snow. And even the ones that do dont always produce snow. We need a good pattern and then we still need to get a little lucky. If you pull up the mean longwave pattern its most definitely been opposite what it was prior to Xmas since...we just have not got lucky with the snow part of the equation. Mostly its been too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 certainly some differences in this euro run through 120, will be interesting to see how this plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 ok, broad (and that's generous area of low pressure developing down off of south carolina at 144 Cant quite figure out how this is gonna go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 ok, broad (and that's generous area of low pressure developing down off of south carolina at 144 Cant quite figure out how this is gonna goI do see blue over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 snowing over us at 150. looks like it's doing the same thing as 0z, but later...gonna get it's act together a little late for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Right where we want it… . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I do see blue over us I see a bluer blue than first blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Yeah, pos tilt...gets act together north of us, but even for NE it's nothing special for them. Still snowing for us at 156 tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 snowing over us at 150. looks like it's doing the same thing as 0z, but later...gonna get it's act together a little late for usThis is already better than 0z bro 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Looks like basically a draw/hold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, Ji said: This is already better than 0z bro I'm not sure, but I believe you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 25 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Priceless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I'm not sure, but I believe youWxBell has an uncomplicated 2-4” 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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