Terpeast Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: we still have 20 days in the month left, and you guys can certainly get hit by something in the meantime. but just for the sake of argument, here are a few months where BWI got a trace or an inch of snowfall... for the whole month. surprising, no? and these were all like 30-40 years ago, too. sometimes you just get screwed. I know everyone wants to have a reason for why everything happens, but it's as simple as that sometimes. Feb 1977 is especially lol-worthy lmao 1994 and 1988 I can see why we got screwed (50/50 ridging). But that Feb 1977? By all rights we should have gotten buried up to the second floor of our houses. 50/50? Check. NAO? Check. Western ridge? Check. Aleutian low? Check. And yet we got almost nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Yeah I wouldn’t be surprised if models shift a bit again once the 2nd one passes Agreed!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 23 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 1994 and 1988 I can see why we got screwed (50/50 ridging). But that Feb 1977? By all rights we should have gotten buried up to the second floor of our houses. 50/50? Check. NAO? Check. Western ridge? Check. Aleutian low? Check. And yet we got almost nothing. February 24 of that month when 0.58" fell at BWI was the only day with more than 0.03" of precipitation. https://weatherspark.com/h/m/147101/1977/2/Historical-Weather-in-February-1977-at-Baltimore-Washington-International-Airport-Maryland-United-States 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Just checking in… the mood doesn’t seem great in here does it? Can't figure out why 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: caveats that a snow mean isn't everything, etc etc, but EPS has been going the wrong way for the 16th/17th. Still a ways to go. lot of suppressed stuff is this what you were looking at? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 45 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 1994 and 1988 I can see why we got screwed (50/50 ridging). But that Feb 1977? By all rights we should have gotten buried up to the second floor of our houses. 50/50? Check. NAO? Check. Western ridge? Check. Aleutian low? Check. And yet we got almost nothing. DRY. BONE DRY. There was absolutely no precip at all until Feb 24 and by then the pattern broke down and there was a western trough eastern ridge and it was a cutter. That mean was from the first 20 days of the month and it's why we don't actually want a huge PNA ridge if we have that level of blocking...it was dry for weeks on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Buzzword for the week? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 not sure how icon gets here because of all the panels missing but this looks kind of euro like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 3 minutes ago, Ji said: not sure how icon gets here because of all the panels missing but this looks kind of euro like? Here is a better version... PW now has the ICON https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2024011012&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 5 minutes ago, Interstate said: Here is a better version... PW now has the ICON https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2024011012&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc= Only out to 114 on mine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 10 minutes ago, Ji said: not sure how icon gets here because of all the panels missing but this looks kind of euro like? Yeah it should be interesting to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 It aint gonna do it. Stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: It aint gonna do it. Stubborn. Icon or gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Just now, yoda said: Icon or gfs? GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 minute ago, yoda said: Icon or gfs? The universe 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS the 500mb maps look pretty different though from 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 So, it managed to form a very weak storm but pulls it together over the ocean to our north. it's like a weaker version of the 0z. Euro it looks to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS not sure what you are looking at but the GFS looks closer than it has the past few runs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Actually it's better vs 0z..looks like Boston and company benefit the most...but it does have light snow down to us. hmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Just now, Ji said: not sure what you are looking at but the GFS looks closer than it has the past few runs See post above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Dare I say....GFS moving toward the Euro 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 much improved GFS in my opinion.....maybe the start of a trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 GFS=better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 IMO they are in the process of meeting in the middle from where they both were 48 hours ago. That should end up with us getting some pity flakes while just northeast of us gets a blizzard. We haven't had one of those in a while, time to feel that pain again. 4 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: See post above id take this run and call it a winter....in 22-23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Just now, psuhoffman said: IMO they are in the process of meeting in the middle from where they both were 48 hours ago. That should end up with us getting some pity flakes while just northeast of us gets a blizzard. We haven't had one of those in a while, time to feel that pain again. Yeah, seems to be the theme. Storm getting together, but too late for us. Euro was still better for us tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 minute ago, Ji said: id take this run and call it a winter....in 22-23 You wouldnt 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: IMO they are in the process of meeting in the middle from where they both were 48 hours ago. That should end up with us getting some pity flakes while just northeast of us gets a blizzard. We haven't had one of those in a while, time to feel that pain again. please take a break from the board for 12 hours 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 I'd take 1-3/2-4 in a heartbeat. Yeah, I want that old Euro solution... but this is fine 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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