brooklynwx99 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 GFS shifted towards a more coherent S/W coming off the WC. results are spectacular lmao 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 3 minutes ago, Heisy said: ALEET . That digging trough around OK/TX/Arklatex region is very notably sharper than 00Z and 06Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 ka-boom on the GFS. We'd be celebrating if we all weren't already so jaded by recent failures. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Sorry I had to throw some DT classics in there, this is close to perfect let’s gooo! . 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Let's see what the King says (seriously) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Well that was an aggressive gfs run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GFS shifted towards a more coherent S/W coming off the WC. results are spectacular lmao Yes, for sure. Previous cycles had that trough as just a broad kind of nothing much. This is, I believe, what @psuhoffman said some pages back what we'd need (at least here in the mid-Atlantic), that trough to really dig down there since there's not much of a southern stream per se. (ETA: And, am I mistaken in seeing that a piece of the PV phases somewhat with it?? Or at least starts to.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 At least this is inside 7 days. I'll get more excited once we get within 4 days and it's still showing similar outcomes. And we need the euro on board. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 we need to see modeling remain consistent with the stronger and more coherent S/W. if that is true, it’s game on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 12 minutes ago, Heisy said: Whoa this might get close here, does it make the turn in time?! . You could see it early on. That southern Sw was much stronger this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 That scenario shown by the GFS would pretty much make everyone from here to New England pretty darned happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 GEM has the pieces but they don’t consolidate like the GFS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 NE MD pummelled on the GFS. I would be envious AF if it were to verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Well, Lucy has served up another one. As long as we get a notarized document by the Euro that she will not pull the ball then maybe we will get something! LOL! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: Well, Lucy has served up another one. As long as we get a notarized document by the Euro that she will not pull the ball then maybe we will get something! LOL! Let’s get JB’s take… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 At this point I don’t know what to think about anything. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Non stop snow up in elder hill today 25 and feels like 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 I have a flight at 6 am the 20th from DCA so bank on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Wrt Jan 20 I wouldn’t get too in the weeds. There are lots of variables you can over analyze. But in general the western ridge is fine. The biggest issue is just that there is no healthy STJ wave at the right time. So absent that what we need is simply more dig from the NS. To get this I think we need more separation between the main TPV vortex and whatever NS SW is rotating around the back side of the trough at that time. The guidance can’t even agree on which SW it wants to amplify run to run! But whatever it is it needs more separation to be able to amplify and dig further south. That would be out of character for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 1 minute ago, EB89 said: I have a flight at 6 am the 20th from DCA so bank on the GFS. For our sake, I hope you sit on the runway for hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 14 minutes ago, Terpeast said: At least this is inside 7 days. I'll get more excited once we get within 4 days and it's still showing similar outcomes. And we need the euro on board. 4 days seems to be our witching hour this year. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 25 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: This is my veiw from my front deck. It is nice. i go crabbing all the time off my pier Man that is nice!! I love taking our grandchildren out on a pier and dropping smelley chicken pieces. I am a great dipper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: Man that is nice!! I love taking our grandchildren out on a pier and dropping smelley chicken pieces. I am a great dipper. Niceeeee!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 22 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: That is a thing of beauty!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 3 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Man that is nice!! I love taking our grandchildren out on a pier and dropping smelley chicken pieces. I am a great dipper. I actually drop small peices of chicken in the water around my peir to draw the crabs in works every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 12 minutes ago, snowfan said: For our sake, I hope you sit on the runway for hours. One persons misery is another persons pleasure!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 If the GFS gets some support from the Euro, I’ll tune in. Honestly, if we’re keeping it real, we don’t need to post the GGEM here any more. It’s absolute dogshit 95% of the time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 6 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Niceeeee!!! Do you pot or chicken ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 FOLKS. 5 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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