stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Snowing at 174 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Snowing at 174 Yeah, 20th coming back alive this run with the more progressive look for the 17th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: IMO, Icon, GFS, and GGEM are all solutions that have been in the envelope of the storm for the past 48 hours. Differences are in shortwave details. I don’t see any of them as “moving toward the euro” , at least in isolation. Do we have a breakout of snow by model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Um, the GFS at 171...trying something...let's see Quick, get another towel 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: IMO, Icon, GFS, and GGEM are all solutions that have been in the envelope of the storm for the past 48 hours. Differences are in shortwave details. I don’t see any of them as “moving toward the euro” , at least in isolation. I think this is a really solid post. These solutions all bring some type of low pressure up the coast. Just a matter of ironing out the finite details. Just wish for once we could have a no doubt cold smoke blue bomb get us. Been way too long. Could still def happen but seems like there’s a lot of variables that can easily derail those hopes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Not a biggie, but prob better than Tuesday, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Yeah, 20th coming back alive this run with the more progressive look for the 17th Only a day earlier. Starts on 1/19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 4 minutes ago, Shad said: Watch the Euro bring a big Dog back now...... I think a lot of us are okay with that happening in 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 14 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I'm really not surprised, trend the last 4 runs. 12z is the sore thumb that sticks out sadly. We lost that vorticity coming through the 4 corners region around 78-84 from the previous runs. That what pulled that trough down and without it we just flattened out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Not bad..another cold 2 to 4'er 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Back to back 2-4 inch snows that stay around gets us in a decent place ... 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 I just got whiplash from the last two pages of posts. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Only a day earlier. Starts on 1/19 CMC looks similar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 heh, a 4 to 6 dot over DC on SV. reverse snow hole! EDIT..around the beltway now..total snow at 192 from the 19th/20th thing 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Not bad..another cold 2 to 4'er If I had a choice, I think I'd take the two smaller events over one bigger one. I think... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Just now, Allsnow said: CMC looks similar Yup... CMC also showing a storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 that setup for the 20th it has is wild lmao 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: heh, a 4 to 6 dot over DC on SV. reverse snow hole! And CMC supports it on today's 12z run Nice look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 "GFS is laying down train tracks," @Bob Chill 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 I love when long term pattern recognition works out. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Don't want to hear nothing about Bread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 lol 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Just now, yoda said: Yup... CMC also showing a storm I think at this range, considering all the runs we have looked at for next week, it’s a good bet we see accumulating snow from DCA to NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 2 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: Do we have a breakout of snow by model? 10:1 ratios, for tuesday's system: ICON: 4-6 for the DC/Balt metros, with less to the NW and SW (narrow stripe) GFS: a less compelling stripe with 2-4 centered around the DC metro, less to NW and SW CMC: like the ICON on steroids, with a nice 6-10" for the broad swathe of the area. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 The GGEM and GFS are worlds apart along about the 100th meridian around hour 102. It looks to me like the Canadian was about 6 hours too fast from it being a big storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Now we just need the Euro to nudge NW even just a little bit 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 GFS and CMC have the blueprint 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Now we just need the Euro to nudge NW even just a little bit More than that, we need it to synoptically just look more like the other 12z suite models. Interested to see if the UK holds the big storm idea. Also gonna be watching TPV positioning and orientation like a hawk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Not bad..another cold 2 to 4'er Frozen on frozen. Pretty rare. I'll take it. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 With not unreasonable ratios, GGEM says I’m approaching climo by next Saturday lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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