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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming


Jebman
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  On 1/12/2024 at 10:48 AM, winter_warlock said:

All models are in line except euro... Euro is looking like a drunk uncle lol

Well.   Only 4 days away now. Ud think euro would  get more in line. Hopefully euro puts the tequila bottle down and joins the rest at 06z lol

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Not sure I've ever seen this much of a difference between euro and gfs at day 4.

But not sure I've seen models jump so much run to run within 5 days 

Lots of moving pieces for the models to nail down.

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  On 1/12/2024 at 10:48 AM, winter_warlock said:

All models are in line except euro... Euro is looking like a drunk uncle lol

Well.   Only 4 days away now. Ud think euro would  get more in line. Hopefully euro puts the tequila bottle down and joins the rest at 06z lol

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You hope the Euro is drunk...

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  On 1/12/2024 at 10:58 AM, Ji said:

We really need this event. There is nothing in the pipeline after it

The icon moving into the good guy camp was pretty big imo

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

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this wasnt really in the pipeline that many days...I rolled back the runs and it didnt look that promising 4 days ago...the pipeline could easily get active after this...we just can't know right now...plus there is the whole convective feedback issue which we can discuss later.

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  On 1/12/2024 at 11:08 AM, Ji said:

Oh crap...I knew I forgot something


I'm obsessed with digital blue

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

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We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world :wacko::yikes:

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  On 1/12/2024 at 11:12 AM, WxUSAF said:
We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world default_wacko.pngdefault_yikes.png
Yep it's time but Charlie brown and Lucy are equally obsessed with ruining everything

If it was the the other way around and it was euro vs the world it would be very somber on here

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk


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  On 1/12/2024 at 11:16 AM, Ji said:

Yep it's time but Charlie brown and Lucy are equally obsessed with ruining everything

If it was the the other way around and it was euro vs the world it would be very somber on here

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk

 

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WPC’s discussion today will be interesting to see how they interpret this euro vs the world scenario. And in my quick glance, the euro op remains an outlier in its own ensemble mean, even though eps has continued to inch weaker/OTS.

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  On 1/12/2024 at 11:32 AM, WxUSAF said:

WPC’s discussion today will be interesting to see how they interpret this euro vs the world scenario. And in my quick glance, the euro op remains an outlier in its own ensemble mean, even though eps has continued to inch weaker/OTS.

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You mean this one?

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd

 

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