Paleocene Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Surface temp profile as precip moves in/out. Pretty good. 850s better. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 GFS goes bonkers with the cold after the storm. Single digits for lows and highs in the teens the next day. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:13 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Storm sorta starts Monday at 4pm... #5daysaway Expand full Kuchera including the prelude stuff Monday/early Tuesday 7 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:13 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Storm sorta starts Monday at 4pm... #5daysaway Expand GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 3:54 PM, psuhoffman said: but I don't even know if that is necessarily a good thing, ultimately I think the two things that matter most are that the initial wave doesn't amplify at all to leave space for the next, and that the next one is more amplified. Expand I forgot..... how do we do with complicated??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:14 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: GFS goes bonkers with the cold after the storm. Single digits for lows and highs in the teens the next day. Expand I don't want to touch grass until March 4 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:14 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: GFS goes bonkers with the cold after the storm. Single digits for lows and highs in the teens the next day. Expand If we actually get snow cover, we may get even colder than that 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:14 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: GFS goes bonkers with the cold after the storm. Single digits for lows and highs in the teens the next day. Expand It loves to do this when digital snow is on the digital ground. Maybe it's a sign it really believes in the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Beauty of a track. Straight up the coast with plenty of inland snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 I’d feel better if 850s are down near Bermuda when the low passes but I know that it meteorologically inconceivable impossible 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 CMC is good with precip but just a little too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:14 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: GFS goes bonkers with the cold after the storm. Single digits for lows and highs in the teens the next day. Expand Believe it. Fresh snow and cold air means you can even undercut temps a bit. @wxmeddler Maybe all our stations will get a test on the snow depth sensors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 I trusted the GFS, but it was not showing snow. But now I don’t trust it when it is showing snow. 1 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:15 PM, Terpeast said: If we actually get snow cover, we may get even colder than that Expand If we get 6-10 inches of cold smoke + single digits....that will cure everything. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:13 PM, katabatic said: Looks better than my spouse on our wedding day. Expand Damn brah 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:18 PM, Solution Man said: Damn brah Expand That's a lady not a brah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:17 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: If we get 6-10 inches of cold smoke + single digits....that will cure everything. Expand If we wake up to 8" of snow blowing around in single digit temps next Wednesday I might just explode 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:21 PM, ravensrule said: That's a lady not a brah. Expand My bad, Damn girl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:17 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: If we get 6-10 inches of cold smoke + single digits....that will cure everything. Expand It would. I’m cautiously optimistic but not fully in yet. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:17 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I trusted the GFS, but it was not showing snow. But now I don’t trust it when it is showing snow. Expand Human pendulums up in here 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 20th is intriguing but that cold press is so insane I'm not sure if there's any room for the GoM energy to do what we need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:27 PM, baltosquid said: 20th is intriguing but that cold press is so insane I'm not sure if there's any room for the GoM energy to do what we need Expand Gfs and GGEM are both very suppressive in this run. Swing a part of the TPV down to our latitude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:22 PM, Solution Man said: My bad, Damn girl Expand Nah, I'm a dude and he's a dude and it's a comment in complete jest. Just happy to see a doable solution for everyone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:33 PM, katabatic said: Nah, I'm a dude and he's a dude and it's a comment in complete jest. Just happy to see a doable solution for everyone. Expand Me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Absolutely massive glut of cross polar air 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 4:13 PM, katabatic said: Looks better than my spouse on our wedding day. Expand Sig Worthy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 My mom said it snowed in Henderson, NV last night. Confirmed via pics. Looks like an inch or so. The cold is heading our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 According to the GFS many of us go below freezing this Sunday morning and are still below freezing next Sunday at 18Z and counting. Seems unlikely, but would be wild. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 How cold for how long to get some legit icing on the bay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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