North Balti Zen Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Where is WW? Snow maps haven't looked this good on a mean for awhile. Looking for the warmest or driest map from the control to post from 700 hours plus presumably... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Where is WW? Snow maps haven't looked this good on a mean for awhile.Maybe he’s trying reverse psychology where he doesn’t post every single snow map and it comes to fruition. Hell, weather53 just had their come to jeebus moment above regarding models showing outcome possibilities and not being a forecast in their own right. Ya never know . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Different setup. Legit cold air pressing SE, and in place. An overamped wave could still mess it up some for the lowlands. Well at least a lot of Lows are being fired at Our target Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Pivotal free gives snow depth for EPS: Would love to see the members on that, to get a spread that good on depth maps in particular is encouraging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 The 19th is a burp away from being a big time event 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I really like what we are seeing on the Euro and EPS......do we think that this continues to trend south a bit more before the inevitable northern trend the last 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 The 19th is a burp away from being a big time event^ boom 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 wow at the EPS for the 19-20th 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 @RIC Airport posted this in the Richmond/SEVA thread..... 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Trend is friend! Trend is friend! Trend is friend! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I guess we are chipping away at the PDO. I was never a believer in PDO being a leading indicator, but this Winter sure has made a case. I think we are up to -0.6 and still having a tendency to rise, so maybe a more organized +PNA can get going here in the next few weeks. It's also amazing how these El Nino constants hold (warm Dec, good 2nd half of Winter). Let's see if the +PNA can hold through February, because we are coming off the most powerful 6-year constant on record (-PNA) for February ('18-23) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, jayyy said: ^ boom Roses are red Violets are blue... I have to go to the bathroom...*burrrrp* Funny episode with him writing that song, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: wow at the EPS for the 19-20th 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 16 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: This was the depiction for the early Jan event about 4/5?days before we got rain and 50. I hit really excited about an A but turned out further north and west, stronger with excellent cold air scooting out in 24 hours and thus temps over 20 degrees warmer. Yea but that event had no "real" cold air locked in and it just vanished as the high way up north quickly left this is a different scene now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Mean reflects the same general idea as the op. Doesn't quite gets its act together in time. Long way to go on this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 47 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: jesus christ. the 20th is seriously legit. you have every single synoptic piece here: decaying WB -NAO Arctic antecedent airmass huge 50/50 ULL transient PNA spike from the diving GoAk LP amplifying vort upstream But....do we/will we get a stj wave moving across which is the final piece? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: But....do we/will we get a stj wave moving across which is the final piece? there are hints that there could be a vort traversing the southern US. I think this would be northern stream driven overall, but that can absolutely change. better to focus on the overall pattern right now, which is about as good as can be 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: But....do we/will we get a stj wave moving across which is the final piece? thats the most important piece that he left out lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 This seems like a very good chance for at least something for the whole area... and a massive improvement over 00z 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 37 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Thanks Does the coonskin cap get wet and stinky in all this rain? Wasn't meaning anything wrong toward you Howard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, Ji said: thats the most important piece that he left out lol there is no way in hell that ensemble modeling will pick such a feature out at 10 days 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Well as long as i get more than the 2.5 inches i got last year. I'll call this winter a success lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, winter_warlock said: Well as long as i get more than the 2.5 inches i got last year. I'll call this winter a success lol You got 2.5??? Man you really cashed in, lol 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 mood has changed quite a bit in here since this morning 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Median for next Tues/WedsMean 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: You got 2.5??? Man you really cashed in, lol Yeah lol it was actually the lowest amount ive ever had where i live now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 22 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I guess we are chipping away at the PDO. I was never a believer in PDO being a leading indicator, but this Winter sure has made a case. I think we are up to -0.6 and still having a tendency to rise, so maybe a more organized +PNA can get going here in the next few weeks. It's also amazing how these El Nino constants hold (warm Dec, good 2nd half of Winter). Let's see if the +PNA can hold through February, because we are coming off the most powerful 6-year constant on record (-PNA) for February ('18-23) 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 FWIW... HOUR 144 AND 168 of the JMA.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Median for next Tues/Weds Mean 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: there is no way in hell that ensemble modeling will pick such a feature out at 10 days not true at all...it picked up the jan 6 southern jet feature like 2 weeks beforehand! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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