Deck Pic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 is it me or is this euro run slow af tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 BANG It does blow up a little too late. To the extent there is some transfer, we want it to be further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 So there's a storm, but looks a hair warm along I-95 at 150,...def not the GFS, but def not the 0z Euro of yesterday Nice backlash and snow for majority of us at 156 as storm departs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro ain't budging...just changing it up here and there, but continues with the storm idea. Like Matt said, it pulls it together just past our latitude and we get in the coma head 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 WB 0Z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Looks like 4 to 6 for I-95, just to the west 6-8, and Mt psu 8-10 *per SV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 How often do we get a 958 mb low over Quebec City..cause thats what this run does lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: wx bell maps always look so dramatic against the others. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looks like 4 to 6 for I-95, just to the west 6-8, and Mt psu 8-10 There are always risks when the reinforcing air mass lags behind. But it's nice to have cold air hanging around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Deep freeze Wed am on WB 0Z EURO. Back to bed... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Not much happens after this, but still. It's a pretty sexy panel. The rate of the pressure drop is absurd. I love the euro sometimes lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looks like 4 to 6 for I-95, just to the west 6-8, and Mt psu 8-10 Seems high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, TSSN+ said: Seems high per SV. Wx bell looks different too. I dunno man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, stormtracker said: per SV. Wx bell looks different too. I dunno man Not like it matters it’ll be different in 12hrs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro cooking up something at 210 down south, but I'm afraid we're gonna be a bit too warm. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: per SV. Wx bell looks different too. I dunno man i dont know the algo that pivotal uses. SV can be wonky, but its 10:1 maps usually mirror Wxbell, just with graphics from the mesozoic era. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro cooking up something at 210 down south, but I'm afraid we're gonna be a bit too warm. We'll see Yeah, 996 low goes to our west. Meh...200+ hours. I'm sure it'll stay the same. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 LowsSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Canadian ensembles for the cape 19-20 windowSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 hours ago, Heisy said: GEFS vs 18z, that’s not what we want to see at 50/50 region . Not sure it matters but a few times this season we've counted on a 50/50 look at range to help compress the flow and anchor in some relative cold and it either came in much weaker and sheared at game time or zipped on thru the 50/50 domain. So that feature has in fact been a thorn in our side already. Again, not sure what we can glean from past events, just noting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 personally, if I were to put my eggs in one basket, it would definitely be for the 19-20th. everything is there synoptically, just a matter of if a wave can pop or not... all the features are there, though - decaying WB -NAO, Rockies ridge, 50/50 confluence from the TPV 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 31 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: personally, if I were to put my eggs in one basket, it would definitely be for the 19-20th. everything is there synoptically, just a matter of if a wave can pop or not... all the features are there, though - decaying WB -NAO, Rockies ridge, 50/50 confluence from the TPV We have a winnah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 06z. Gfs is actually better then 00z to my untrained eye babysteps! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Analogs are loading up for the d8-11 period. Recent notable dates are Jan 03, 04, and 96. 2003 was wintry but not much precip. Jan 2004 was an inch away from epic. Jan 96 showing up as well but opposite enso so theres that. Nearly all analogs center during periods of winter wx. Majority light/mixy but some impressive dates either way. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 54 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: personally, if I were to put my eggs in one basket, it would definitely be for the 19-20th. everything is there synoptically, just a matter of if a wave can pop or not... all the features are there, though - decaying WB -NAO, Rockies ridge, 50/50 confluence from the TPV Looks very nice!!! Im hoping we can get a decent storm in this pattern Hate to see it be a waste!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, Bob Chill said: Analogs are loading up for the d8-11 period. Recent notable dates are Jan 03, 04, and 96. 2003 was wintry but not much precip. Jan 2004 was an inch away from epic. Jan 96 showing up as well but opposite enso so theres that. Nearly all analogs center during periods of winter wx. Majority light/mixy but some impressive dates either way. Looks promising to me ill admit... but. Been many times its looked good 8+ days out only to change as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 hours ago, stormtracker said: Euro ain't budging...just changing it up here and there, but continues with the storm idea. Like Matt said, it pulls it together just past our latitude and we get in the coma head Thats all we can ask for 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GFS 6z is cooking. Nice to just have something there at the moment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 DT’s thoughts. In a shocking and uncharacteristic twist, he favors the euro over the gfs. 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: DT’s thoughts. In a shocking and uncharacteristic twist, he favors the euro over the gfs. Def a keeper if gfs end up being right for a hot take lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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