Jebman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Let's bring it home! We have chances incoming! Don't miss a single model run from now on! We've got this! Mods, Pin this motherfucker! 1 1 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Well, here we are. Winter is coming. No, seriously this time. In about 10-50 days. We got this 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Watching the Euro...John Williams might get a text in a sec 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 FOLKS..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Euro's gonna do it 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: FOLKS..... Chalmers big and tall…great stuff..but does us no good here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Euro about to be a HECS I think . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Maybe I got a little too excited, HECs for interior, solid for us, just a little flatter with slightly better tpv position and we are in line . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Its a beaut Clark You don’t say… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Just now, Heisy said: Maybe I got a little too excited, HECs for interior, solid for us, just a little flatter with slightly better tpv position and we are in line . Yeah, I was gonna say cities riding the line. But solid. At least it's showing up on a major model. Bad news is, it's 174 hours away. Should have no problem being consistent there, right? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 WTH is it trying to do here lol…Looks like a 1960s snow map See how we got some tpv energy left over in 50/50 lane, that saved us . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 I need to change my pants, time for bed . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 1 minute ago, Heisy said: WTH is it trying to do here lol… Looks like a 1960s snow map See how we got some tpv energy left over in 50/50 lane, that saved us . wait, that's an actual thing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Remember the days when we'd rejoice at the Euro having it and not worry about the GFS? And now it's the other way around? What a time to be alive. This should be a morale booster for the forum for like 12 hours. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Remember the days when we'd rejoice at the Euro having it and not worry about the GFS? And now it's the other way around? What a time to be alive. This should be a morale booster for the forum for like 12 hours. The trend this year seems to be really good 00z runs and horrid 12z runs. Man I really hope we see that trend at 50/50 as we progress next few days . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 1 minute ago, Heisy said: The trend this year seems to be really good 00z runs and horrid 12z runs. Man I really hope we see that trend at 50/50 as we progress next few days . Same man. Same. I'm just glad to see it as a possible solution on the table. We all know what to look for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Even some backside love from a 962 nuclear bomb. We toss…I mean we take. Needed like another 25 miles SE that run and it was more special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 10 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: congrats us. Another week of modelizing. This time however there is some fierce cold nearby. I will be curious if that changes things. Last time the 540 line was north and the 534 was in DTW…510 in KY this time. That can’t hurt. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 WB 0Z EPS looks better for next Tuesday compared to 0Z yesterday. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 45 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EPS looks better for next Tuesday compared to 0Z yesterday. EPS is easily the best of the 0z ens suite for that window. Strong signal for a coastal low. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 For around the 20th- still a generally favorable h5 look for a significant MA winter storm, but with the vortex in that position in SE Canada the heavier precip is mostly suppressed south/offshore on both the 0z GEFS and EPS. Cold wouldn't be an issue. This would be some light snow over the region verbatim. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: For around the 20th- still a generally favorable h5 look for a MA winter storm, but with the vortex in that position in SE Canada the heavier precip is mostly suppressed south/offshore on both the 0z GEFS and EPS. Cold wouldn't be an issue. This would be some light snow over the region verbatim. Could trend North. What our thoughts on that ? Also connected NAO and WAR gone . Also looks like cross polar flow. Hope not cold and dry. Baroclinic zone might help us possibly. Damn I just want snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 9, 2024 Author Share Posted January 9, 2024 You'll get it, soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 2 minutes ago, frd said: Could trend North. What our thoughts on that ? Also connected NAO and WAR gone . Also looks like cross polar flow. Hope not cold and dry. Baroclinic zone might help us possibly. Damn I just want snow. Still 10 days out. The key features exactly as depicted likely are not correct. Plenty of possibilities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 6z GFS is now showing a similar flavor to what the Euro showed at 0z for next Tuesday. This looks like a step in the right direction for areas east of the mountains. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Sterling LWX now seeing the threat for the 16-17!! Unlike previous systems, the air mass in the wake of this one should be much colder. This becomes more noticeable by Sunday into Monday as high temperatures fall into the 30s to low 40s, with 20s across the mountains. At night, low temperatures should be in the 20s for most, locally falling into the teens for those west of the Blue Ridge. The biggest question mark is will additional precipitation move into the region as cold air is in place. Numerous model solutions show progressive shortwaves racing through the area. Depending on access to moisture and degree of forcing aloft, some wintry component by re-emerge into the new work week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Not sure WW even realizes it but that EPS 6hr precip and 850 map from 0z was absolutely screaming for a smoothed over blend of indiv ens. Talk about a jump. 6z gfs took a big step as well. Awaiting the gefs. Time to track...again. let's ride. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 GEFS took a move towards more coastal lows. Not quite where the eps is but a notable increase from 0z. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 1 hour ago, frd said: Could trend North. What our thoughts on that ? Also connected NAO and WAR gone . Also looks like cross polar flow. Hope not cold and dry. Baroclinic zone might help us possibly. Damn I just want snow. Considering the personality of this winter, the last thing on my mind is models locking in suppressed at long leads. Lol. Sure, it could happen any winter for many reasons. This winter doesn't want to carve east with any kind of efficiency. Everything has been "loosening up" in the mid range so far. I won't bet against that until I lose the hand. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now