wdrag Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 7 hours ago, NJwx85 said: Problem will be the Passaic River which is still rising and not forecasted to crest until late tonight or early tomorrow morning. Any additional rain will prolong the major flooding into early next week as indicated on the hydrograph predictions. Stage forecast from the ensembles which NERFC is following, has a higher crest this weekend on the Passaic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Kind of gutsy no high wind watches NJ, e PA, e NYS LI. (I know I'm not that good at discerning 5 knots model bias too high). Could be just a few less power outages than Tuesday night but am pretty sure all offices will have some LSR's wind related. Between 9P-5A, I think we're going to see 45-50 knots at a number of metar sites from the Poconos through NJ LI (a 2 hour buffeting and I'm not counting on holding onto power) Looks to be slightly different areas getting hit this time... so maybe LI will stay below 45 kt, but am not counting on it. Will recheck tomorrow morning. I can't add any more now. I'll be looking at snow-sleet here in Sussex County of nw NJ around 5-7P tomorrow for an hour or 2, I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Nam keeps getting stronger but as we know it’s overdone lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 10 hours ago, nycsnow said: Nam keeps getting stronger but as we know it’s overdone lol Upton went with wind advisories this go around -mainly NYC and east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 lol, you start throwing around terms like “snow” and “accumulation” and this storm is getting completely ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Whew the wind is going to skip over my house 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Whew the wind is going to skip over my house Youre welcome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Beautiful out with full sun here. Temp mid 40s. Calm before another storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 13 minutes ago, Picard said: Beautiful out with full sun here. Temp mid 40s. Calm before another storm. I’ve been feeling like crap the past 2 days so I took a little 3-mile jog and it was beautiful out. No wind at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 OBS thread should you have anything to report. I think most of the obs reports will be early Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Would expect two rounds of convection with (a) occluded P front and (b) arctic front about 6 hrs afterwards, so around 0400-0600h and 1000-1200h EST. Will say widespread gusts into 40s but isolated 50s, it's active but not loaded with energy. Temp peak around 10:00h 51-54F. Falling into low 40s after arctic front passes, scattered flurries likely by evening in 32-34F range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Winds really picking up now. No rain reaching the ground yet here despite the radar returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Getting windy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just saw a huge flash… not sure if lighting or a transformer???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Must’ve been transformer cause con ed reporting people out on Staten Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Big gusts again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Winds are gusting pretty strong here right now probably ~40 mph or so. Not really expecting any power issues around here considering my neighborhood made it through fine with 55 mph gusts in the last couple wind events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 pouring in yonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 MEH... Winds generally below 40 knots so far. 50 KT Scranton and power outages northern PA, eastern-central NYS/ northwestern NJ where 62 Mph occurred near Hamburg Mountain. Max rainfall missed the previously flooded basins (missed to the east) which is a good thing so the second even higher stage for the mainstreams may not occur in NJ. Will post CocoRaHs map and any LSR's around 10A, as time available. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 foggy as hell coming home this morning. looks like its 5:30 at night outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, Snowlover11 said: foggy as hell coming home this morning. looks like its 5:30 at night outside. Yea less than 1/4 miles vis on my street earlier. Lifting a bit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Ewr up to 61...temp not wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 CoCoRaHs data as of 10A today...most obs before 8A. Red the biggest. click for clarity. NNJ rivers escaped a significant weekend rise since the 1+ inch was in the Poconos and east of I95. Still folks without power nw NJ and eastern NYS among the states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 NYC: 60 at 10 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1.64” from the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 A little over 4" between both storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1.55” for the storm with peak gust of 33mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 52 minutes ago, Rjay said: A little over 4" between both storms Looks like the highest tide at Freeport of the 2020s so far. https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=01310521&legacy=1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like the highest tide at Freeport of the 2020s so far. https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=01310521&legacy=1 Definitely more tidal flooding today than the last storm. Meadowbrook Pky, Wantagh Pky near Jones Beach under water. Parts of Howard Beach and Broad Channel under water along with a couple of blocks of Cross Bay Blvd in Queens. Edit: Island Park LIRR station also flooded. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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