Roger Smith Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The Jan 1978 storm looked similar 48h before blizzard on Jan 24, with low in TX, trof n.e., but it did not make a turn north until it reached AL on night of 25th -26th, then tracked almost due north deepening at double-bomb cyclone rates for 12h, attained a central pressure of 954 mbs near Sarnia-Port huron and eventually tracked between Sudbury-North Bay ON NNE into western Quebec. I looked at maps for all top ORD snowfalls and without other exceptions low pressure tracked NE through IN into central mi or e.n.e. into Ohio, except for Jan 26-78. The Nov 8-9 1913 storm ("white hurricane") followed a similar evolution (GA to sw ON). I don't see potential for a triple phaser as trough development is more moderate but air mass contrast is going to be real and spectacular. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 41 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Even sexier on the rgem, however it was SE with this current storm at this range so who knows at this point. Ukie/euro way nw. Also the deformation snows look to be very tight and close to the low which hopefully will keep the dry slot away, that the euro/ukie show. Kind of resembles a Hurricane with that eye structure LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Sooo Euro has a 12"+ bomber and GFS says maybe 6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Models are adjusting to midwestern low moisture realities. 6-10 for Chi & Det and all points in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Sooo Euro has a 12"+ bomber and GFS says maybe 6"?GFS vs Euro with very different solutions, we see it consistently in the tropics, especially with deep systems. Congrats on the wintry pattern, I was there for 3 days, left yeaterday, snow on the trees was scenic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorePunch Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Looking solid for Chicago and Detroit. Enjoy fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, Stebo said: Nah this storm is going to go west and make sure it clubbers Chicago while it rains again here. Kinda has that look to it honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Lol the Euro is either going to be crowned or burst into flames 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Alek was worried about miss south, they are reeling this one in too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 16 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Ambitious, I like it still feeling pretty confident, though I am getting a bit concerned about this possibly cutting too far NW now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 9 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: What are the totals from that. NE IL and MI looks to really cash in with that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Not bad consistency on placement and intensity 36 hours apart: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 12 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Not bad consistency on placement and intensity 36 hours apart: Actually supports why it's unlikely. Think what these don't have in common. Orientation and trajectory of Huge Arctic High to the north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 10 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Not bad consistency on placement and intensity 36 hours apart: Excellent consistency. This solution screams mixing/dry-slotting issues for pretty much all the areas that got shafted today as well. Will be sampled tomorrow, should give us a better picture on what’s going to transpire, LOTS of moving pieces with this. One thing for certain, GRR will issue an advisory regardless of the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Widespread 1-2 foot monster storm for N IL, SE WI, & MI on 18z euro. Damn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 23 minutes ago, Chambana said: Alek was worried about miss south, they are reeling this one in too. Sorry, what do you mean “too” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Sorry, what do you mean “too” Yeah for real... I'll take what I can get at the end of the day but the line kind of broke on this last one. Certainly can't be held against us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: Sorry, what do you mean “too” Did the city proper get any accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: Sorry, what do you mean “too” Chicago has had the hot hand for awhile. They’ve reeled in quite a few big dogs over the years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro just needs to go south by 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 We'll see which model blinks first 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: I will be in Chicago on Friday so I am for sure pulling for the Euro. Wow thats amazing. Lets see if the GFS folds to the Euro or vice versa as we go through tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 That map gives me flashbacks of a few days ago for today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Did the city proper get any accumulation? No. It is raining now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Central Indiana is a snow repellant man. So sick of this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, Chambana said: Chicago has had the hot hand for awhile. They’ve reeled in quite a few big dogs over the years. I don’t think we’ve had a double digit storm in the city proper since 2015 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, zinski1990 said: Central Indiana is a snow repellant man. So sick of this Seems the same in Central Ohio too. We haven't had a good I-70 track in too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: I don’t think we’ve had a double digit storm in the city proper since 2015 Wasn't there a big lake effect event a few years back? Remember Alek posting some pretty swag pictures. That was literally only the lakefront though if I remember right. IMBY the last snow worth a damn was in 2021, like 10 inches of concrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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