mimillman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Oh euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Roll with it the king is back stfu don't listen to the voices get out of my head 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Malacka11 said: Roll with it the king is back stfu don't listen to the voices get out of my head don't make someone post that meme 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Thankfully its on its own and realistically it should have been weaker, the trough was faster and flatter but somehow still wrapped up. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Still some much stronger and west ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 969mb in Northern Indiana on the OP Euro makes me want to look up South Bend's record low MSLP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 No one likes the GFS anyways 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On some real shit the Euro, ICON and Ukie all show a very similar outcome. CMC in between a bit, GFS also just a bit of a NW trend from at least a good storm in NIL if not a mega bomb. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I’ll take that GFS run any day of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 malacka on the realest shit 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 #TeamEuro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, glacier said: I thought you said it was over 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The one thing odd is that for such a strong run, the Euro doesn't pump out "much" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, glacier said: You sound like my wife check out this lobe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 EPS v GEFS shaping up to be an all-time model rumble considering just a few days out now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 12z EPS... stronger and nw of 00z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 As depicted, arrival of WAA snows Friday morning would suggest watches posted after 12z suite tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Team Euro. Ride or die. @Chicago Storm we need back your Ke$ha certified snow maps. Those always reeled these in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Everyone talking about how the models were in agreement yesterday jinxed it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Not to be outdone, Euro ENS control attempts to fully bury the region 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: EPS v GEFS shaping up to be an all-time model rumble considering just a few days out now I know it doesn't mean jack diddly but wasn't the current storm also Euro NW and GFS SE by a bit and then the GFS trended into agreement? Or am I IIRCing wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Still overamplified, its not hard to understand with minimal phasing that we aren't getting a sub 970mb low. Remember what today was supposed to be, in the low 970s and right now its about 10mb weaker than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Malacka11 said: I know it doesn't mean jack diddly but wasn't the current storm also Euro NW and GFS SE by a bit and then the GFS trended into agreement? Or am I IIRCing wrong Euro/NAM had it tracking north of you guys or right over. The low is in Central IL where the GFS had it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The science might say GFS but my heart says Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iBrian Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 36 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: check out this lobe this sounds like me to my wife... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 6 minutes ago, Stebo said: Still overamplified, its not hard to understand with minimal phasing that we aren't getting a sub 970mb low. Remember what today was supposed to be, in the low 970s and right now its about 10mb weaker than that. Eh? The Euro/EPS is stronger because the primary shortwave is deeper and more organized than on the GFS, not really due to phasing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 54 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: On some real shit the Euro, ICON and Ukie all show a very similar outcome. CMC in between a bit, GFS also just a bit of a NW trend from at least a good storm in NIL if not a mega bomb. Still a lot to sort out. Icon has a further qest track but also throws a lot more snow out this. UK kind of between Icon and Euro for here with CMC and gfs pretty much in agreement with each other. Ensemble means for all three seem to be following their ops. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, andyhb said: Eh? The Euro/EPS is stronger because the primary shortwave is deeper and more organized than on the GFS, not really due to phasing. The Euro being overamplified as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: check out this lobe I live at ground zero of that creature (5 mi n of border about 50 west of Idaho panhandle), and we may be close to -20 F by then with 3' of snow on ground (already 18" and not done snowing). Being in mountains we rarely go below -20 F locally, -40 in Calgary AB usually means about -15 F locally. Still believe an extreme outcome is quite plausible for w GL region on 1/12-13, and a large component of ORD snow was always going to be lake effect so track is not as big a factor as gradient and duration. But I do see a range from 6" to 15" in play, and conditions between snowstorm and severe blizzard remain possible. Wave is coming onshore now BC to OR, will be dropping s.e. into Idaho by tonight into early Wed. Better sampling will presumably lead to model consensus and a stronger idea of actual outcome by Wed 18z and Thurs 00z runs. T ursday additional snow potential is a bonus also (now looks 2-5"). 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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