ChiTownSnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, King James said: I’ve had drizzle for a bit but it’s not doing much to the snow pack. Still 4-5 inches on the ground in IKK Hope this evening cranks Enough to glaze over snowpack to limit drifting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 6" in town. Heavy, full flakeage again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 hoping that band over Janesville can shift nw just enough to help us jackpot this one, will be a close call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: If you’re in NE Illinois or the metro, I would have concerns about a last minute shift north and that the front end thump was the main show… Are you referring to latest HRRR runs? RFD far enough NW to avoid it but not here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulder Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I still have the whole day to wait up in NW Lower Michigan (Traverse City). The official forecast here is 6 to 8 inches and then lake effect into next week. I don't care what happens as long as the lights stay on, we lost power for 4 days last summer in an intense storm and that was very painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: If you’re in NE Illinois or the metro, I would have concerns about a last minute shift north and that the front end thump was the main show… Short term guidance is definitely giving that indication Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Are you referring to latest HRRR runs? RFD far enough NW to avoid it but not hereThat and just looking at current analysis data as well.Not looking good…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Short term guidance is definitely giving that indication LOT already making those adjustments with downing totals 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Baum said: LOT already making those adjustments with downing totals I'm okay with it. We got our 5 in ..maybe one to two more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Wondering if I’ll even see an inch. Models had a very poor handle on how quickly the arctic air spilled southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Rip city. Winds gusting to near 40. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I think this is definitely it. Hopefully sticks around before backside snows maybe add another 1”. Snow showers tomorrow and Sunday will be nice as arctic air sets in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Coming down and accumulating well for the moment, but looks to cut off within an hour. While the main show is wrapping up, there will be another slug of precip for about 5 hours this afternoon, but temps look iffy. As the low pulls into Michigan we'll get some wrap around snows as the arctic air spills in adding another inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 LOT threw in the towel. Morning burst was nice, but in the end looks like event will come up well short of expectations. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, Baum said: LOT threw in the towel. Morning burst was nice, but in the end looks like event will come up well short of expectations. Shame. My area at least crushed it this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just got done shoveling. Around 8 inches came down in 5 hours (2 AM to 7 AM). As has been posted, looks like the big snow is over for much of NE IL. So close to something bigger but I'm very happy with what fell so far. Getting a few more inches would be the icing on the cake. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Lots of melting here. Iowa’s winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 For the Chicago metro it all comes to what falls from the sky this afternoon, where that rain/snow line sets up, and when it crashes southeast. This period has been the concern with the storm for awhile. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Okay this is just a weird storm. Gonna be interesting to see what actually transpires in MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 LOT threw in the towel. Morning burst was nice, but in the end looks like event will come up well short of expectations.It became clear that the AM round would feature the heaviest rates for the metro as a whole and a majority of the snowfall, especially with southward extent. That was not well out of expectations from yesterday and working again overnight. Maybe we could've conveyed that even better than we had, but it looked like north would be better for the afternoon part, though I do think we're going to get more snow this afternoon through tonight and end up pretty close to the storm total range. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 For the Chicago metro it all comes to what falls from the sky this afternoon, where that rain/snow line sets up, and when it crashes southeast. This period has been the concern with the storm for awhile.I wouldn't be surprised if something somewhat similar to Tuesday happens. It was raining pretty hard down to the I-80 corridor, and we had parachutes not long after. Not sure if it'll light up to that extent, but I wouldn't be surprised if the HRRR is overdoing things as usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Been under moderate/heavy returns for going on 3 hours now with not a single snow flake at the surface and a hellacious east wind. Feels like an impending bust, especially if the rain/snow line makes it here before we finally get anything at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 subsidence got filled in quickly and it's ripping out there, winds have been picking up from the north as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: It became clear that the AM round would feature the heaviest rates for the metro as a whole and a majority of the snowfall, especially with southward extent. That was not well out of expectations from yesterday and working again overnight. Maybe we could've conveyed that even better than we had, but it looked like north would be better for the afternoon part, though I do think we're going to get more snow this afternoon through tonight and end up pretty close to the storm total range. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Looks like the 9:31 AM updates mention 3-5 additional inches in the North parts of IL rest of the storm? That band over the Mississippi River looks nice if it can not miss north! Your office running on coffee and Redbull? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Looks like the 9:31 AM updates mention 3-5 additional inches in the North parts of IL rest of the storm? That band over the Mississippi River looks nice if it can not miss north! Your office running on coffee and Redbull?Based on the hellacious thump we had up there, 3-5" additional would line up pretty well with the forecast grids I did overnight (Gino did the AFD to help free me up to help out with our morning briefing graphics). It's been a week lol. Lots of extra hours for everyone. Not gonna lie, nice to be done for the week. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Looks like a dry slot running through mid and SE lower MI in the latest HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Majority of the snow with this storm will fall within 2-4 hours today. All models have a very intense snow band pushing through between 6-10pm today. Snow rates will likely be 2-4"/hour with the possibility of thunder. Areas away from the lake have a good chance at 3-6". I can't say the same for you further south but just referring to the GTA @mississaugasnow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Cromartie's revenge 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 minutes ago, Michigander said: Looks like a dry slot running through mid and SE lower MI in the latest HRRR Rap/hhr with an inch plus of precip in 6 hours at dtw up towards east side of metro area. Hoping to see some awesome rate and not pingers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Cromartie's revenge I mean in a twisted sort of way I suppose it's our revenge no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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