King James Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 19 minutes ago, mimillman said: QC win Nah, cold air going to help us with this one. Winds are going to scream and it’s going to be rockin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Widespread 50+ mph gusts pushing 60 at the lakeshore that run. Would be an upper echelon blizzard for a large chunk of the subforum. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 57 minutes ago, nwohweather said: To me it's starting to look like a classic Panhandle Hook, especially with that track. I can't think off the top of my head very many times we've cashed in on these systems, Chicago can though Yea I dont know how a storm to our sw is a classic track for detroit snowstorms. I will say the block that stebo mentions seems to be flexing when the low gets to Indiana. If it can halt the low like the 12z gfs, it could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Stevo6899 said: Yea I dont know how a storm to our sw is a classic track for detroit snowstorms. I will say the block that stebo mentions seems to be flexing when the low gets to Indiana. If it can halt the low like the 12z gfs, it could be interesting. A panhandle hook is one of the classic snowstorm tracks for us. GHD blizzard 78 and 99 all were panhandle hooks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Stebo said: A panhandle hook is one of the classic snowstorm tracks for us. GHD blizzard 78 and 99 all were panhandle hooks. Yea and while those impacted detroit, areas to the west got a whole alot more snow. Im just at the point where I wanna be in the jackpot zone and I know that's hard to have happen. Panhandle hooks, the significant ones, aren't the best for us. Ghd 2011... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Yea and while those impacted detroit, areas to the west got a whole alot more snow. Im just at the point where I wanna be in the jackpot zone and I know that's hard to have happen. Panhandle hooks, the significant ones, aren't the best for us. Ghd 2011... All 3 of those were still great systems here, no need for greed when we have had nothing so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 9 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Yea I dont know how a storm to our sw is a classic track for detroit snowstorms. I will say the block that stebo mentions seems to be flexing when the low gets to Indiana. If it can halt the low like the 12z gfs, it could be interesting. I’m on your page here. Though it is a half decent track for you guys. You have no wiggle room though for any jogs NW It’s a bit early but getting ready to toss the towel in over here in the eastern lakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Another wet one for the Ohio crew. Needs a reel east which isn't likely to happen under the current regime unless we get some help from the Thursday system or eastern blocking. Pain. Scale of deepening on the GFS is incredible. 992 to 979mb in 6 hours in the MS Valley, not something you see everyday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, Stebo said: All 3 of those were still great systems here, no need for greed when we have had nothing so far. Yea I hear ya. At the end of the day, this is rehashed every winter. Some are okay with mediocrity and thats cool. The fact we've had nothing so far this winter doesnt alter anything for me. I want a big dog but I know it's hard for detroit to get one. We need a strong low to take a favorable track to our SE, and it needs to be strong enough not to allow a transfer to the coast. It's hard to get that based on our location and our history with the lack of big dogs portays this. Detroit needs a hooker dig and not strengthen until its a bit further east than this potential, or a gulf low that rides west of the apps. The potential issue with this storm is what the canadian is showing. The block halts the low, occluded, and transfers to the coast. That's not the recipe for a big dog. With that being said I know I should be grateful for what we get but I'm just a 40 yr old weenie at heart. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 30 minutes ago, Stebo said: A panhandle hook is one of the classic snowstorm tracks for us. GHD blizzard 78 and 99 all were panhandle hooks. For us bit further east especially eastern Ohio and further NE, some of our biggest storms are Gulf Lows or storms that track west of the Apps, i.e., Jan 22 or Mar 08. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 currently riding the ukmet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This sounding from South Bend, as the low moves past, is pretty crazy. 16c temperature delta, no shear to speak of until you reach 450mb, no inversion layer, and saturation from the ground to the moon. The lake effect should be massive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: This sounding from South Bend, as the low moves past, is pretty crazy. 16c temperature delta, no shear to speak of until you reach 450mb, no inversion layer, and saturation from the ground to the moon. The lake effect should be massive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This is the one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I'd imagine this one will be dubbed the MLK Blizzard if it comes to fruition. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12z Euro still has that slider/weaker look. Looks to track close to Cleveland. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The Euro's energy is too spread out and messy, can't easily wrap up into a powerful storm until it reaches the eastern lakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 51 minutes ago, andyhb said: 12z Euro still has that slider/weaker look. Looks to track close to Cleveland. Now with that said, there are a large number of members that are stronger/further north or west than the operational. Hell, the mean is nearly as deep as the operational at 108 hrs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 53 minutes ago, andyhb said: 12z Euro still has that slider/weaker look. Looks to track close to Cleveland. Not a bad problem to have when the "slider/weaker" look is a 985 low sliding into the OV. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 All the ensemble means are looking great for Michigan. Only 4 more nail biting days to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: All the ensemble means are looking great for Michigan. Only 4 more nail biting days to go. I didn't think this thing would come SE like it did on the euro. Models struggling, and need this current low to roll through before they hone in on some consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Man, GFS with a textbook track for an epic Chicago blizzard. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Another outrageous run. Trying to stay calm. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Finding it challenging to get behind this with 96 hours until showtime and the 6-run trend northwest with the current system. I’ll come back on Wednesday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 19 minutes ago, mimillman said: Finding it challenging to get behind this with 96 hours until showtime and the 6-run trend northwest with the current system. I’ll come back on Wednesday. I'm all in. Bet the house, the car and the dogs on this one. Send me to the poor house if this one doesn't hit. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Multiple ultra bomb sub 970 members locally on the 18z gefs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8 Author Share Posted January 8 34 minutes ago, mimillman said: Finding it challenging to get behind this with 96 hours until showtime and the 6-run trend northwest with the current system. I’ll come back on Wednesday. There hasn't been a NW trend with the current storm system in a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: There hasn't been a NW trend with the current storm system in a while. I was referring to the trend that really began Friday and extended through Saturday evening, relating to the current system. It obviously stabilized after that and has shifted back SE some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Can't help but think that the existing wet snowpack will freeze to a flat cement glaze prior to this system. Ideal environment for some wind whipped snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 So nice to see more active AFDs Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 615 PM EST Mon Jan 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... * A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for most of SE Michigan on Tuesday as a strong low pressure system lifts into the area. The Tuesday morning commute will likely be impacted by snow covered and slick roads with lowered visibilities. * A rapid accumulation of heavy, wet snow is expected between 4 AM and noon Tuesday for areas south of I-69. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible mainly across the Irish Hills. Temperatures rising above freezing will cause snow to change over to rain from south to north from late morning into the afternoon. * Longer duration of snow in the Tri-Cities will bring snow totals of 3 to 5 inches there. Lower confidence exists in timing the transition to rain here, and a low chance (10%) does exist for higher snow totals if snow remains the predominant precip type through Tuesday evening. * The combination of heavy wet snow with southeast winds of around 30 mph may lead to some isolated downed tree limbs and sporadic power outages. Onshore winds will be higher in the Thumb with gusts up to 40 mph. * Strong west winds area expected to develop Wednesday in the wake of the storm system. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible with the strongest winds from Metro Detroit southward to the Indiana and Ohio border. * A quick hitting clipper will bring the potential for a widespread inch of snow Thursday morning. * Confidence is increasing for another major winter storm late Friday and Saturday. The potential exists for significant snow accumulations across Southeast Michigan. Strong winds, below average temperatures, and lake effect snow appear likely next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now