Spartman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 5 hours ago, Chinook said: March 10 was my last inch. Maybe I'll drive back to Colorado. Mine was January 25th last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 This is looking like the real deal for Chicago, of course after I just left town for the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Sad, congrats palmguy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Riding 06Z Canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 17 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Sad, congrats palmguy your 6" call still in place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Woke up to a WSW for 3-5” followed by bitter cold. Have they lowered the standards for hoisting watches or is this just to get the message out to the public before a WWA is posted? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 35 minutes ago, Baum said: your 6" call still in place? all calls final, this one not so money 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6" of 5:1 concrete or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Comments in this thread don’t make sense. 75% saying it’s great. 25% saying it’s terrible. zero snow fall maps posted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 6" of 5:1 concrete or bust I think that’s still possible. 00z Euro had mixing and poor ratios in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 7 minutes ago, King James said: Comments in this thread don’t make sense. 75% saying it’s great. 25% saying it’s terrible. zero snow fall maps posted it's called fear. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, Baum said: it's called fear. LOL Goes from “Crush job N IL” to ”Shame about this one “ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 turns out we don't all live together if u live on the lakefront or south of 80, u r near missing a dog (shame, sad) if u live in the w, nw burbs or wi, u are going to get a rare and epic crush job (great) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Very scientific 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 cary#s, this is your moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 06z euro a little drier. Wonder if it will be like last system where after it occludes deformation zone starts to lose steam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 9 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: 06z euro a little drier. Wonder if it will be like last system where after it occludes deformation zone starts to lose steam. it did do that. Got a solid 3" in a few hours and expected several more hours of heavy snow and defo band collapsed like a cheap suit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The euro is going hard on a 2-3 hour period of rain in the immediate metro between 18-21z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, mimillman said: The euro is going hard on a 2-3 hour period of rain in the immediate metro between 18-21z tomorrow. not our event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: The euro is going hard on a 2-3 hour period of rain in the immediate metro between 18-21z tomorrow. LOT AFD: IN FACT, WARMING TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S SOUTH OF I-80 DURING THE DAY FRIDAY SHOULD SUPPORT A TRANSITION OVER TO JUST RAIN FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD. WE COULD EVEN SEE RAIN AT LEAST BRIEFLY MIX IN WITH THE SNOW AS FAR NORTH AS THE I-80 TO I-88 CORRIDORS INTO MIDDAY FRIDAY AS TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY WARM A BIT ABOVE FREEZING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: not our event What would need to realistically happen as these models unfold and the system approaches to allow the metro area to avoid any rain ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 I'll go 3-5" here, with most of that with tonight's wave. Looking like tomorrow's will be a graze job after the long drizzle/very light snow lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The 500mb VORT is a mess with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, Weather Mike said: What would need to realistically happen as these models unfold and the system approaches to allow the metro area to avoid any rain ? imo neither of the options that bring snow to the city proper and lakefront are realistic or likely given model trends -ggem style south and weaker solution that keeps slp well south of the southern lake tip -perfectly located banger defo with tssn overcoming surface temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 06z EURO QPF map. In Januarys gone by, 2+ inches of precip at ORD in early January would be setting records. Sadly not the case anymore. Granted, it would still be like 16-17 inches of snow if it verifies. But wouldn’t break top 3 snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 At this point I would start trusting hi res guidance more over globals. 06z hrrr seemed to be finally in line with other models. Rap was still pretty nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 9 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: At this point I would start trusting hi res guidance more over globals. 06z hrrr seemed to be finally in line with other models. Rap was still pretty nw. Can anyone share one of the most recent high res model snow maps for the Illinois area ? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 35 minutes ago, Baum said: LOT AFD: IN FACT, WARMING TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S SOUTH OF I-80 DURING THE DAY FRIDAY SHOULD SUPPORT A TRANSITION OVER TO JUST RAIN FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD. WE COULD EVEN SEE RAIN AT LEAST BRIEFLY MIX IN WITH THE SNOW AS FAR NORTH AS THE I-80 TO I-88 CORRIDORS INTO MIDDAY FRIDAY AS TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY WARM A BIT ABOVE FREEZING. Can’t say disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The differences among the models this close to the event is downright ridiculous. Some of the short range guidance is still over-doing the warm tongue aloft, while others don’t have it at all creating massive differences in snowfall. It would make the most sense considering the strength of the slp to draw in warmer air at the surface (33-35°) while the low passes nearly overhead here and to the east, with that, there will be rapidly dropping temps on the backside of the low drawing in much colder air at the mid levels and the surface as it moves northeast. If this thing suppresses a little quicker, colder air will be realized sooner thus more snow. At the end of the day it’s really a crapshoot but around here I’d expect the snow to mix with rain for at least a few hours tomorrow late afternoon and to pinpoint any accumulation depends on how much rain actually does occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: cary#s, this is your moment After the last several years I will believe it when I shovel it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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