Cary67 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 8 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Wasn't there a big lake effect event a few years back? Remember Alek posting some pretty swag pictures. That was literally only the lakefront though if I remember right. IMBY the last snow worth a damn was in 2021, like 10 inches of concrete. I believe this was it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 25 minutes ago, mimillman said: I don’t think we’ve had a double digit storm in the city proper since 2015 The last double digit and 12"+ event downtown was Feb 14-16th, 2021. https://www.weather.gov/lot/Feb14-16_HeavySnow The last double digit event at ORD was Jan 30-31st, 2021 and the last 12"+ event was GHD2. https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan3031_snow 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The last double digit and 12"+ event downtown was Feb 14-16th, 2021. https://www.weather.gov/lot/Feb14-16_HeavySnow The last double digit event at ORD was Jan 30-31st, 2021 and the last 12"+ event was GHD2. https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan3031_snow ah yes remember that one. How about before that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 7 minutes ago, Cary67 said: I believe this was it 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 30 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: needs to come back se to avoid a repeat of today's cold rain hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: ah yes remember that one. How about before that? The same January event listed for ORD, so two that winter. Prior to that you have to go back to GHD2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: We appreciate your input, please dont stop posting You're just being to practical Stebo! We got ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 57 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The same January event listed for ORD, so two that winter. Prior to that you have to go back to GHD2. Yea, 2021 was the savior. Also distinctly remember this event that was pure awesome, some of the best rates I remember seeing in my life: https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan19 Outside of 2021, pretty poor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM looks slightly east so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: NAM looks slightly east so far By a county or two. I don't trust it's snow output more than 24 hours out, but it will be interesting to see how it trends (presumably east) with the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM appeared to be a bit stronger to 48 or even 54 (in early development) and then trended slightly weaker into IL, IN, but track only marginally different, noise rather than real change at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Nam doing nam things. I get this thing could pull up a big slug of warm air with it but where nam has the low placement I just don't buy rain this north that long or maybe even period. Thermals seem wonky on it. It is doing strange things with the 500mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM east, RGEM west. Fun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Think the ICON is about to go nuts again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM has this huge slug of warm air aloft at 850 mb + the surface temps are marginal. Cuts into snow totals significantly across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, andyhb said: NAM has this huge slug of warm air aloft at 850 mb + the surface temps are marginal. Cuts into snow totals significantly across the board. Think that's a possibility or just the nam doing nam things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Think that's a possibility or just the nam doing nam things No other model has it that far north/pronounced despite many with similar SLP tracks. I have my doubts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Given how poor nam looked days out with current storm with its far nw sfc low track and taking the 500mb low very far west I wouldn't trust it. Seems like nam is usually late to the party to catching on to other models. Also not sure it has resolved current system's snow pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 19 minutes ago, mimillman said: NAM east, RGEM west. Fun Rgem basically ends up in the same spot as tonight's low, sub 980. Pretty remarkable. I can't remember the last time we've had two storms of this strength in a span of 4 days. Every model today has strenghtnened the low and gone NW. Are they overdoing it? Also being so close to the low per rgem, I'm not sure I buy there not being a dry slot into michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 15 minutes ago, mimillman said: Think the ICON is about to go nuts again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GFS coming west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 At hour 48 on the GFS. Heights are more amped ahead of the low, which is also deeper. SE ridge is more pronounced and trough is digging deeper. This is coming west this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: At hour 48 on the GFS. Heights are more amped ahead of the low, which is also deeper. SE ridge is more pronounced and trough is digging deeper. This is coming west this run Reading this was soothing to my soul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Oh boy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 SLP shifted a solid 100 miles NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GFS is back! Start playing THE BOYS ARE BACK IN TOWN! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Well, on to the next one (at least for me anyways) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 Too bad surface temps look marginal once again for this one around here, should it come to fruition. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Temps look alot better for me on this one if it does stay west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Gonna be a close one for a lot of people, nasty blizzard conditions for many are a gimme though 0Z GEM is similar to the 12Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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