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Jan 11-13th Blizzard


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8 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Wasn't there a big lake effect event a few years back? Remember Alek posting some pretty swag pictures. That was literally only the lakefront though if I remember right. IMBY the last snow worth a damn was in 2021, like 10 inches of concrete. 

I believe this was it1284207736_Screenshot_20210215-193727_SamsungInternet.thumb.jpg.173d806d5baf82c14893bf2838ef7a08.jpg

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25 minutes ago, mimillman said:

I don’t think we’ve had a double digit storm in the city proper since 2015

The last double digit and 12"+ event downtown was Feb 14-16th, 2021. 

https://www.weather.gov/lot/Feb14-16_HeavySnow

The last double digit event at ORD was Jan 30-31st, 2021 and the last 12"+ event was GHD2.

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan3031_snow

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2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

The last double digit and 12"+ event downtown was Feb 14-16th, 2021. 

https://www.weather.gov/lot/Feb14-16_HeavySnow

The last double digit event at ORD was Jan 30-31st, 2021 and the last 12"+ event was GHD2.

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan3031_snow

ah yes remember that one. How about before that?

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57 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

The same January event listed for ORD, so two that winter. Prior to that you have to go back to GHD2.

Yea, 2021 was the savior. Also distinctly remember this event that was pure awesome, some of the best rates I remember seeing in my life:

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan19

Outside of 2021, pretty poor

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1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

NAM looks slightly east so far 

By a county or two. I don't trust it's snow output more than 24 hours out, but it will be interesting to see how it trends (presumably east) with the system.

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Nam doing nam things. I get this thing could pull up a big slug of warm air with it but where nam has the low placement I just don't buy rain this north that long or maybe even period. Thermals seem wonky on it. It is doing strange things with the 500mb low. 

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3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Think that's a possibility or just the nam doing nam things 

No other model has it that far north/pronounced despite many with similar SLP tracks. I have my doubts.

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Given how poor nam looked days out with current storm with its far nw sfc low track and taking the 500mb low very far west I wouldn't trust it. Seems like nam is usually late to the party to catching on to other models. Also not sure it has resolved current system's snow pack. 

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19 minutes ago, mimillman said:

NAM east, RGEM west. Fun

Rgem basically ends up in the same spot as tonight's low, sub 980. Pretty remarkable. I can't remember the last time we've had two storms of this strength in a span of 4 days. Every model today has strenghtnened the low and gone NW. Are they overdoing it? Also being so close to the low per rgem, I'm not sure I buy there not being a dry slot into michigan.

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2 minutes ago, mimillman said:

At hour 48 on the GFS. Heights are more amped ahead of the low, which is also deeper. SE ridge is more pronounced and trough is digging deeper. This is coming west this run

Reading this was soothing to my soul

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