mollydog Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Looking like I could be in for a historic blizzard here in Alpena. Atleast a foot and 50mph winds. A storm of my dreams! Going to prepare tomorrow. Idk what to even expect for drifts! Post pics! Our cabin is in Lewiston and I am watching through our surveillance cameras. Hope our power and internet hold up!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, mollydog said: Post pics! Our cabin is in Lewiston and I am watching through our surveillance cameras. Hope our power and internet hold up! . If I had a cabin up there I would be on my way right now!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18Z GFS was actually a pretty big jump east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: #TeamGFS This forum would be a lot of fun if we had a bookie 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mollydog Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 If I had a cabin up there I would be on my way right now!! It is sooooo tempting!!!! Unfortunately we have obligations that keep us home this weekend. Heading up next weekend!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 5 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: The GFS continues to show that heavy snow band for Detroit-Toronto for a few hours. LFG! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18z NAM drops 5.4" between 6 and 9 AM tomorrow. if we're gonna do it, lets do it full NAM style 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRegionRat Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 After reading the KLOT AFD, are the Euro and 18Z GFS snow maps over-cooked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, madwx said: 18z NAM drops 5.4" between 6 and 9 AM tomorrow. if we're gonna do it, lets do it full NAM style Wam bam thank you Nam? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, TheRegionRat said: After reading the KLOT AFD, are the Euro and 18Z GFS snow maps over-cooked? for Iowa, probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The GFS appears way overdone for southern Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 5 minutes ago, TheRegionRat said: After reading the KLOT AFD, are the Euro and 18Z GFS snow maps over-cooked? Its like KLOT is taking into consideration the lake but the GFS and some others say screw the lake ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 GFS is throwing warning criteria snows into the twin cities. Not sure what to expect atm. One thing is for certain we have all the cold air needed. Even with full sun only got to 16 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Again, this increase across the board is nearly entirely related to the cold sector precip getting more robust. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 These GFS snow numbers are at basically an 8:1 ratio for almost the entire event. Storm does have great potential but would have one for the books if we had a cold air mass in place with 12 or 14:1 ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: These GFS snow numbers are at basically an 8:1 ratio for almost the entire event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 14 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The GFS appears way overdone for southern Iowa. Oh come on you suppose to say "finally a model showing the big dog properly" Does look like you have a very good chance of a second double digit storm in a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 8 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: These GFS snow numbers are at basically an 8:1 ratio for almost the entire event Winner is of course @weatherbo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18z GEFS Mean (10:1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 some of the Hi-Res CAMs keep daytime snow around here much lower and accumulations only reaching 5-7" in total. did some model sounding investigation and one main difference is much weaker omega in the CAMs. Verbatim the NAMs would give us a really good chance at thundersnow. One negative factor is that after the initial 3 hour burst the DGZ gets really shallow due to strong WAA and it doesn't really recover until the very tail end. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, ILSNOW said: 18z GEFS Mean (10:1) Reminds me quite a bit of a snow footprint with the GHD II storm in 2015. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 13 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: These GFS snow numbers are at basically an 8:1 ratio for almost the entire event. Storm does have great potential but would have one for the books if we had a cold air mass in place with 12 or 14:1 ratios. You aren’t kidding. Would be widespread 20-24”+ totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 43 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: FWIW, GFS seems a touch south and east I actually felt like it came nw. Has kind of a barrel double low then one takes over further east. Nam/rap/hrrr were hinting at this at times. Maybe they were right. The snow gradient across Peoria County is comical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, Radtechwxman said: I actually felt like it came nw. Has kind of a barrel double low then one takes over further east. Nam/rap/hrrr were hinting at this at times. Maybe they were right. The snow gradient across Peoria County is comical. Would be wild if it played out as progged on the GFS. Downtown and the riverfront get 2-3” while the north side of the metro has 8-12” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Would be wild if it played out as progged on the GFS. Downtown and the riverfront get 2-3” while the north side of the metro has 8-12” Gradients and cutoffs are going to be wild with this. I look to be very close to one. My forecast is 0-6in based on latest model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 hour ago, King James said: Chicago crew - Skilling has a ton of content regarding this storm on his FB page Skilling deserves a monster blizzard before his retirement. I was in school up in Chicago for the 1999 storm and it was just a dream scenario for winter weather lovers: 21 inches of snow followed by -15 air temps and -40 windchills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 38 minutes ago, mollydog said: It is sooooo tempting!!!! Unfortunately we have obligations that keep us home this weekend. Heading up next weekend! . Bummer. I would burn a vacation day if I had established accommodations up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Only real ones would come to Champaign and ride out this 1/2” of powder whipped at 50mph. Wild times. Y’all will be missing out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 16 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 18z GEFS Mean (10:1) I would take that with ~11" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 From APX. Topped off my gas can for the snowblower this evening. Locals already hitting the grocery stores heavy in anticipation of this weekend storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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