michaelmantis Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, Malacka11 said: That's actually a local maximum. The blues over the lake are the lower end. Sucks all around. ;-) Either way, I'm betting school canceled tomorrow for my kid and whatever falls will turn to solid ice over the weekend. That I'm assured of. Going to catch up on this later today as it becomes more real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Winter finally shows up in the UP 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, Sciascia said: You forgot option #3: Non Hi-res NAM: I can live with that. Keeps my neck of the woods in 6+ territory. Should be enough to survive the warm nose. I’d love a nice glacier to walk on for work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, weatherbo said: NAM at hour 60 shows just over 40 inches IMBY and still snowing. I'd be satisfied with half. It’s about damn time for yall up there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, WestMichigan said: Winter finally shows up in the UP Averaging 60 inches below normal to date for this region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 5 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: The screw hole of all screw holes. Cary going to love this 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Final call of 9”. Wind is going to get very nasty tomorrow afternoon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Suspect it'll be my biggest most "real" winter storm in a number of years.In excess of 6" with bitter cold air funneling in after. It'll look as January should. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Nam/rap/hrrr still seem to be on nw side of other guidance. Will make huge difference here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Recent model trends are showing plowable snow for the twin cities. Starting to get cautiously optimistic we’ll have a few inches by Saturday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Looks like pretty much all the CAMs have the nw track. Only the long range globals are holding on to the se track. A few years ago clinging to the euro might’ve made sense but it is not the king model it used to be. Having said that I probably just jinxed Minneapolis out of any snow. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, mnchaserguy said: Looks like pretty much all the CAMs have the nw track. Only the long range globals are holding on to the se track. A few years ago clinging to the euro might’ve made sense but it is not the king model it used to be. Having said that I probably just jinxed Minneapolis out of any snow. . Most of the short range models were too far NW with the last storm at this range, fwiw 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crispus Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 I was just assuming Friday would be a snow day for the kids here in Peoria, but at this point, I think I'd just prefer nothing. If it's not 7+", I don't want it, especially with a follow-up deep freeze that means the roads will be crappy until Wednesday. :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 NWS hedging their bet for the Twin Cities. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 13 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Most of the short range models were too far NW with the last storm at this range, fwiw This. Not trusting them 100%. Globals actually did better with track on last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 13 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Most of the short range models were too far NW with the last storm at this range, fwiw I like at least how still the GFS and Euro are not NW and more in agreement give or take a little unlike the NAM etc. See what the 12Z shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6 minutes ago, Weather Mike said: I like at least how still the GFS and Euro are not NW and more in agreement give or take a little unlike the NAM etc. See what the 12Z shows. The NAM was abysmal. It was caving as the storm was ongoing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Feel like this storm might do even more tree damage than normal because of the way residual snow is sticking around. The wet nature of the last snow and melting and freezing over the last two nights has formed these little ice lumps covering everything, frozen on tight. imagecompressor.zip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 NWS Pretty Bullish for the mitten, add in LES afterwards going to do some damage to our snow deficit this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 30 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Most of the short range models were too far NW with the last storm at this range, fwiw Then they overcorrected at least min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Comical that gfs hammers areas all over me and has a void over Peoria County where I am #weatherdome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Gfs stays south on the 12z. Still gives Minneapolis some snow on Saturday. No matter what it looks like we’ll get some decent snow. Just depends on how much. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Oh what could have been. Final call: 5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: Comical that gfs hammers areas all over me and has a void over Peoria County where I am #weatherdome GFS has been very consistent. Good to see that trend ....if it unfolds that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just give me 4+ for the cold. I want to set a decent low for 2024. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, Weather Mike said: GFS has been very consistent. Good to see that trend ....if it unfolds that way Minus the void over my county decided to keep rain here longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 7 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Oh what could have been. Final call: 5” GFS a toss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 11 minutes ago, King James said: GFS a toss? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 NAM is trash.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: Yes Tossing one of the more consistent models thus far is a bold call, although I would not take its snow output verbatim near the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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