Allsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Ukmet 10-15 for Chicago metro on 10-1 maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Ukmet 10-15 for Chicago metro on 10-1 maps thats great. Lets see what the Euro says a little later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 22 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: The OP run appears to be on the NW side of the cluster. Lots of member E-SE still. OP has the low over Gary. it's crazy how underdispersive the GEFS is compared to the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 My only wish for this one: less slop; more snow. So much potential for some of us with that airmass getting pulled into it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro going to be a crush job for NW LOT Edit: Or pretty much all of LOT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Euro going to be a crush job for NW LOT Edit: Or pretty much all of LOT I just want more "snow" and not "slop". I just got done shoveling 2 inches of compacted ice at my parents house (that they didn't get to shovel yesterday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Low in a perfect spot @60 hours and 973 mb for those in NE IL. If this comes to fruition, it will be remembered for a long time. Looking forward to being there for it., 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Still snowing in N Michigan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Pretty good agreement on the models here today. Can't say it any different, that's a historic blizzard for this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Eh, historic would mean 18"+. The marginal temperatures are really putting a damper on what could be a top 5 storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro a little deeper than the GFS, but also a bit further east so it kind of cancels out. Another huge QPF total going to "waste" with shitty ratios. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, glacier said: any chance to get several hours of pingers with this? I wonder who you could be... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 This one is starting to look like a dud here. Still crazy how this one tracks further south than first storm and I end up with less snow and more rain. This system seems to really pull up a big slug of warm air compared to the other. Hoping it can trend cooler aloft as we get closer but not hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, andyhb said: Eh, historic would mean 18"+. The marginal temperatures are really putting a damper on what could be a top 5 storm. If this was colder this would be a historic spread the wealther 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman33 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 It'll be historic all right... a historic paste job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: If this was colder this would be a historic spread the wealther climate changer statistical post incoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Going to be an all time glacier once the snowpack freezes solid in a 7:1 ratio mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 RC's PM AFD and WSW across the LOT CWA will soothe the pain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 For whatever reason gfs seems to be only model keeping thermals under check here but everything else is a blast furnace. I truly hate El Nino winters. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Going to be an all time glacier once the snowpack freezes solid in a 7:1 ratio mass. for those that complain snow doesn't stay on the ground for long periods of time anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Captain Obvious-level statement: Part of the “bad luck” with the ratios is the timing of it being yet another daylight storm. If this would strike overnight, we could probably actually use 10:1 maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 A foot of cement with 50 mph winds is going to cause big time power outages. Lake effect in SBN up thru the west coast of Michigan is going to keep things fun on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Once again the Euro manages to keep 0c 850mb south of the immediate metro, very different from last storm. Ratios will be very poor but this should be very heavy snow as progged. The NE burbs will do very well. I made a final call of 3-5” for the city. That may still be accurate but could be low for the NW neighborhoods. ORD and northwest of there should be 6-10” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, Sciascia said: kind of a similar situation to this last storm, models slowly start pulling nw until we are fully in the rain area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: For whatever reason gfs seems to be only model keeping thermals under check here but everything else is a blast furnace. I truly hate El Nino winters. Lol LLJ going to win out, I would lean warmer and we have seen warmer yesterday. The only saving grace to the north and east could be a quicker occlusion but beyond that the warmth along and east of the low track should win out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, Sciascia said: Captain Obvious-level statement: Part of the “bad luck” with the ratios is the timing of it being yet another daylight storm. If this would strike overnight, we could probably actually use 10:1 maps. That's not quite how it works. Ratio's would still not be optimal, but you would improve pavement accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Weekend looking interesting around here, picked up about 7" of cement from previous system with more on the way then the LES kicks in, def making up for the lackluster winter so far around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 riding the canadian 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: That's not quite how it works. Ratio's would still not be optimal, but you would improve pavement accumulation. Now I know. And knowing is half the battle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 5 minutes ago, Stebo said: LLJ going to win out, I would lean warmer and we have seen warmer yesterday. The only saving grace to the north and east could be a quicker occlusion but beyond that the warmth along and east of the low track should win out. I'm north of the Peoria metro area. Seem to start as snow Thurs night then mix into afternoon Fri and changeover to snow on back end of deformation zone. It has mixing line close to river again. Could be close call here. Team gfs. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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