Chicago Storm Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 . 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Two storm threads at once? What year is it? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Wait...What happened to only interested in big dogs?....Hmmm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 16 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Wait...What happened to only interested in big dogs?....Hmmm? Because it is a big dog. ...at least, it should be for someone. As to who at this point is anyone's guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Give me the 960 rainer over a miss south 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 18z GFS is super weak and south, we’ve come full circle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 15 minutes ago, andyhb said: 18z GFS is super weak and south, we’ve come full circle. Gives Ohio, WNY and Southern Ontario a decent hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The lead wave Thurs seems to have trended stronger on gfs again so dampens/flattens our potential big dog. Definitely something to watch. Euro/Canadian look better than gfs. I think models going to struggle with this until they resolve Mon-Tues system and its snow pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Give me the 960 rainer over a miss south Give me the sig winter storm over a miss north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The GFS track looks like 30-40 cm potential for Toronto and 40-60 cm western end of L Ontario. STL went from 54" to 2" -- but it's early days yet. I can't see it moving any more to east now, track could edge back west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Agree. I think we’ve seen the extremes of how far east and west this thing can go in the Euro and GFS today. Hoping for a spread the wealth big dog in the Great Lakes which is still very much in the table. 3 hours ago, StormChaser4Life said: The lead wave Thurs seems to have trended stronger on gfs again so dampens/flattens our potential big dog. Definitely something to watch. Euro/Canadian look better than gfs. I think models going to struggle with this until they resolve Mon-Tues system and its snow pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Big snowstorm for the Chicago area on gfs 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Big snowstorm for the Chicago area on gfs Looks like the CMC will follow suit. Wild that this is already just over a hundred hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This is 24 hr storm totals for this storm on GFS valid 18z Saturday. Keep in mind it’s still snowing in Northern Indiana and Michigan so add at least a couple more inches there. Edit: Northern Indiana* 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 There are some similarities with the Cleveland Superbomb on that 0Z GFS run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I'm not getting excited at all considering I sat pretty forever on this current system and now look to get missed mostly nw. However the arctic air pushing in may help to limit extreme nw trends with this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 There are a lot of GEFS members with sub 970 mb solutions by the time the storm gets to the lakes this run. Definitely a majority. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Euro on a definite Chicago blizzard track there. It's not a model to over-deepen at 96-120h so would take its 975 mb central pressure, factor in lower GFS and go around 972, all tracks give IN and michigan a snowstorm too. STL may claw back some of that 54" after all (now back into 10-15 range). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Euro bombing to 973 in central Indiana. Goes from 990 to 973 in 9 hours. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Euro quite warm at beginning of this storm. Takes while for changeover for good chunk of IL. Not sure I buy that given the arctic air moving se. But that is plausible outcome IF the arctic air doesn't get as far south in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I joined this board in 2017 and I think this is the first winter where the mantra of "January will be rockin'" might actually come to fruition, at least starting in the first half of the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Every model that my broke ass can view has a hot diggity dog somewhere nearby in less than five days. Seems that tonight's iteration of runs drew out a decent consensus between all of them. Before I get too invested, are there any ways this can possibly not end up being a legit high-end event for someone? Are there any unspoken caveats that might turn this into yet another "homersimpsonshrub.gif" moment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Save worthy: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Whoops, GFS wasn't done deepening: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 riding the 6z gfs obv 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Whoops, GFS wasn't done deepening: Now that’s a storm that would sink ships. Hard to imagine 45-60 mph gusts on land would not verify. Wicked wind whipped snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 My money is on the ICON. It has been pretty locked on a very favorable track for MBY. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 42 minutes ago, KokomoWX said: My money is on the ICON. It has been pretty locked on a very favorable track for MBY. same lol. Would be classic us to have the storm of a lifetime just track straight over Central Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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