Eskimo Joe Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This is definitely an event for the record books across the CONUS. Certainly one that has my attention for local impacts. It's a damn shame this isn't a blizzard. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terrapinwx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Going to be lots of erosion on the bay if we get a 5 ft surge with 6 ft waves. Luckily the peak wind/waves should be brief compared to most storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Day 2 mod risk of flooding from WPC. You’re welcome 2 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: You’re welcome 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Harford county is trying to trigger @mattie g. They’re closing 3 hours early tomorrow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, Terrapinwx said: Going to be lots of erosion on the bay if we get a 5 ft surge with 6 ft waves. Luckily the peak wind/waves should be brief compared to most storms . If this comes to pass, severe erosion on southerly exposed shorelines (SE to SW exposure) on the bay. 5 foot+ tides north of southern AA County with strong winds and big waves. The closest analog to this tide level and wind direction is Isabel (6.5 foot tide). If a property was damaged in Isabel, likelihood is that it will be damaged in this storm. This is very different than the October 2021 storm (3.5 foot tide) that had northeasterly wind and damaged a different shoreline (those exposed to waves from a northeasterly direction) with 3.5 foot tides. Locations damaged in that storm will likely have less impact from this storm due to wave exposure being less. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 hours ago, stormy said: Oragraphic lift will create some very heavy downpours on the eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge. Would expect some 4 - 6 inch totals. Hopefully some of those rates in western Albemarle will sneak over to eastern Augusta 2mar...Growing up in nw Albemarle along the Moormans and Doyle's rivers with big flooding is what started my love for weather... Nov 85. April 92. June 95 were the most memorable... This setup of a huge moisture feed up the entire coast reminds me a bit of April 92 ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I don’t know if I’ve ever seen that many wind advisories on one map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I had put this in the wrong thread, so I corrected -> AACo schools just issued a 2hr early closure for tomorrow. The heckin heck? And I quote: AACPS: Due to expected heavy rain, strong winds, and deteriorating road conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Brianonymous said: I had put this in the wrong thread, so I corrected -> AACo schools just issued a 2hr early closure for tomorrow. The heckin heck? And I quote: AACPS: Due to expected heavy rain, strong winds, and deteriorating road conditions To be fair, counties along the bay will have issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Surprised to see schools announcing early dismissals!? What time are the wind gusts expected to be in 40-50 mph range?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Calm winds, clear skies and a rising baro at 30.43”. 31° and falling fast. Still have about 2.5” of snow depth. If the precip gets in by sunrise, might get slick for a time here in the a.m. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 31 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Surprised to see schools announcing early dismissals!? What time are the wind gusts expected to be in 40-50 mph range? Some of the coastal counties have issues with school busses on rural roads near tidal waters in setups like this. It's just easier to eat an hour or two and move the kids before the tidal problems start. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terrapinwx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The 18z 3k Nam ramped up the winds big time on the bay. While it’s definitely overdoing how much wind mixes down it seems likely there will be a period of gusts over 50 along the Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 57 minutes ago, Brianonymous said: I had put this in the wrong thread, so I corrected -> AACo schools just issued a 2hr early closure for tomorrow. The heckin heck? And I quote: AACPS: Due to expected heavy rain, strong winds, and deteriorating road conditions Tides will be high enough (5+ feet) to flood out roadways near the water, especially toward evening. Prudent for them to dismiss early to make sure busses can actually get the kids home. Early closure also terminates after school activities which would be even more impacted by the tide levels. Tides over 3 foot will cover some coastal roads; tides over 4 feet will have widespread impact and make some roads impassible. Tides are supposed to break 5 feet. 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, Random Chaos said: Tides will be high enough (5+ feet) to flood out roadways near the water, especially toward evening. Prudent for them to dismiss early to make sure busses can actually get the kids home. Early closure also terminates after school activities which would be even more impacted by the tide levels. Tides over 3 foot will cover some coastal roads; tides over 4 feet will have widespread impact and make some roads impassible. Tides are supposed to break 5 feet. Yeah, I guess this whole thing just caught me off guard. I had gone back into weather hibernation since the snow event vaporized. I didn't even know this was coming until AACS texted. Going to be an interesting day tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 ABSOLUTELY MASSIVE Pacific Front has been BLASTING Texas today with 55 mph gusts of Pac Puke. Pacific puke air is flooding in on strong WNW winds. We got very little rain from the pac front. I spent hours today chasing trashes and yard furniture. It was so damned bad it resembled a scene straight out of Amityville Horror or Poltergeist! That storm is exploding and it is heading for the Mid Atlantic with quintillions of metric tons of rain and more pac puke, then it will smash right into the SNE Region with even more pacific rains that will provoke massive amounts of snowmelt up there and very likely destructive runoff on ski resort grounds. This so-called pac winter is going to end up utterly destroying what little is left of the Eastern US ski resort industry, at least for 2024. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Forecast low for tonight is 29. Currently 26 with some cirrus moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Friends don't let friends use the 3KM NAM for Wind Gusts 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Should I actually be considering leaving work early tomorrow, let's say around 3 PM, as opposed to around 6 PM? I usually would never even consider it for a rainstorm but I keep seeing so much about how nasty it supposedly will be in the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Definitely got a little colder than forecast so far...29 with a forecast low of 33. I'm guessing temps rise fast when clouds roll in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdatcher Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 35 minutes ago, Steve25 said: Should I actually be considering leaving work early tomorrow, let's say around 3 PM, as opposed to around 6 PM? I usually would never even consider it for a rainstorm but I keep seeing so much about how nasty it supposedly will be in the evening I work at 8pm in Crofton, I'm leaving a bit early and not taking my normal backroads that take me to 301. And we can do this all again friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 BCPS canceled after school activities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 25 minutes ago, mappy said: BCPS canceled after school activities. Just saw that a little while ago and was kinda surprised! Wonder if they'll dismiss early (this would be a random day where it would affect as I'm supposed to play for one of the schools and they're doing a feeder tour thing, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 42 minutes ago, mappy said: BCPS canceled after school activities. HoCo is closing 3 hrs early! Bah! Back in my day we walked uphill both ways in the rain. Newspaper for shoes too daggummit! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HoCo is closing 3 hrs early! Bah! Back in my day we walked uphill both ways in the rain. Newspaper for shoes too daggummit!I think most others will follow now?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 45 minutes ago, mappy said: BCPS canceled after school activities. I only had a "rain day" once when a tropical storm blew up here in 2010 and it was a school day that got shortened as it happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 List is growing: https://wtop.com/closings-and-delays/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 6 hours ago, Terrapinwx said: Going to be lots of erosion on the bay if we get a 5 ft surge with 6 ft waves. Luckily the peak wind/waves should be brief compared to most storms . The winds on the Bridge coming up that very long fetch from the south is killer. I’ve been in some 45mph stuff that was scary . When it’s like winter cold fronts and very windy from nw it’s somehow not like 50 miles of open water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: List is growing: https://wtop.com/closings-and-delays/ this poor area is so starved for meaningful winter weather it will turn a rain storm into an event, apparently. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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