87storms Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24&dim=1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Closing early for this, except for perhaps the counties along the bay, is so dumb, but IF you are going to close, I totally agree that you have to do it the night before. Nothing changed between last night and this morning. I work from home so I am fortunate that it doesn't really impact me and I can easily get my kids from the bus, but many parents are not that fortunate and this is a huge headache for them. At least let them be able to plan ahead for said huge headache. I really wish I knew the clowns in charge of these decisions. here you go, plenty of numbers you can call and people to yell at https://www.hcpss.org/contact-us/ 3 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, PSWired said: From the City of Annapolis: Wow. So, I think I've found somewhat reliable webcams for Annapolis and National Harbor...does anyone have any cam links for Old Town Alexandria waterfront and/or DC waterfront(s)? I've searched on the latter two areas to no avail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 16 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: Will this be the largest surge event since Isabell? If we get this height (5.5 feet above MLLW), yes. The next highest was October 2021 at 4.88 feet above MLLW. Isabel was 7.20 feet above MLLW. There were two other storms in the past 100 years to breach 4 feet - 1950's and 1930's Annapolis Isabel: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=8575512&units=standard&bdate=20030915&edate=20030923&timezone=GMT&datum=MLLW&interval=h&action= Annapolis October 2021: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=8575512&units=standard&bdate=20211026&edate=20211104&timezone=GMT&datum=MLLW&interval=h&action= 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 27 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said: Already up to 1.15 inches of rain this morning ... I'm dry at only .92" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 D1 Mod Risk of flooding expanded from WPC. Pretty impactful wording. Haven't seen this in awhile. Quote Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1050 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024 Day 1 Valid 16Z Tue Jan 09 2024 - 12Z Wed Jan 10 2024 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST, AS WELL AS FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...16Z Update... For the most part, the forecast remains on track this morning as the leading edge of the rainfall pushes northeast across northeastern MD and central PA. The primary change with this update was to expand the Moderate Risk area along the Blue Ridge/Shenandoah Valley of western VA. 12Z HREF probabilities show a 50% chance of 5 inches of rain and a 25% chance of 8 inches of rain through 12Z Wednesday in this region. NOHRSC shows up to an inch of liquid equivalent in the form of recently fallen snow along the ridge tops, which should fully melt with the expected rainfall, which will only worsen resultant flooding in this area. Thus, portions of the central Blue Ridge corresponding with those highest HREF probabilities are considered to be in the higher end of the Moderate Risk category, so widespread flash flooding is likely across the area, especially where the heaviest rainfall occurs. The change was made in coordination with LWX/Sterling, VA forecast office. The Slight and Moderate Risk areas were expanded a bit across the western Carolinas and over to the TN side of the NC/TN border in the Great Smokies. Frequent issuance of Flash Flood Warnings has been occurring in this area over the past couple hours, so local upgrades to the risk areas were warranted as ongoing flooding in the area continues to worsen. The last change of significance was a bump northward of the Marginal and Slight Risk areas along the NH and far southern ME coasts. Guidance shows a very impressive plume of moisture characterized by IVT values well over 1,000, and 850 mb temps getting as warm as +6 by 12Z in association with the moisture plume. The caveat in this area is that it's quite cold there now with temperatures in the teens to near 20. The warm-up, while drastic, will be brief, so think any resulting flooding will be isolated. However, because of how quickly temperatures will rise, still think flash flooding is possible. This change was coordinated with the GYX/Gray, ME forecast office. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 21 minutes ago, mappy said: here you go, plenty of numbers you can call and people to yell at https://www.hcpss.org/contact-us/ Already dumped the superintendent. Let's see who is next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: D1 Mod Risk of flooding expanded from WPC. Pretty impactful wording. Haven't seen this in awhile. Doesn't look like that is for our area, but that's definitely strong wording for those areas. Snow melt combined with very heavy rain, especially in mountainous areas, is worrisome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Doesn't look like that is for our area, but that's definitely strong wording for those areas. Snow melt combined with very heavy rain, especially in mountainous areas, is worrisome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 At least we can officially call the drought done. We needed a wet winter and we got it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, yoda said: I was referring to the changes from the previous update. I thought we were already under a Mod risk. The changes seemed like the bolded and focused on the areas in the mountains in western VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Tide monitoring page from NOAA for the storm: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/storm/East_Coast_Storm.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I'm honestly shocked that Fairfax County hasn't made the call, given the other counties doing so. I guess they figure they didn't do it early enough, so they'll stick to their guns and not piss off the folks whose daily routines it would upset. I'm pretty ambivalent about it, to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Yeesh y’all must have some annoying ass kids to get so fired up over schools closing early 4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 So is the general idea a swath of 1-3" of rain with some lollis under banding and along the ridges? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 19 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: At least we can officially call the drought done. We needed a wet winter and we got it. yeah. I was going to say, this is definitely the drought-buster we needed. Just now in snow form. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Frederick is doing pretty decent with this system so far. ~0.5" areawide. Looks like a little less further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, mattie g said: I'm honestly shocked that Fairfax County hasn't made the call, given the other counties doing so. I guess they figure they didn't do it early enough, so they'll stick to their guns and not piss off the folks whose daily routines it would upset. I'm pretty ambivalent about it, to be honest. I was told when I dropped my son off this morning that schools would be closing early. Being a Gex Xer I was like for some rain and wind? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Precip type aside… the sheer size of this storm and its widespread impacts from the gulf to the Midwest to New England is very impressive. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Being an early millennial I do remember being sent home early like an hour early during HS (05-06) because of incoming severe weather in Spotsy so while a lot of folks are griping about the early dismissals, its not like its unprecedented. The running theme seems to be making sure the kids are given a window to arrive home safe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 My kid just texted that Fx Co schools canceling evening activities 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, jayyy said: Precip type aside… the sheer size of this storm and its widespread impacts from the gulf to the Midwest to New England is very impressive. . I was just looking at radar and noting how large this system is. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, H2O said: My kid just texted that Fx Co schools canceling evening activities My wife and I were just talking about that. 5th grader has a strings concert this evening and we figured it might be cancelled. It's a little bit of a bummer since that was rescheduled from before Christmas when like 50% of the kids were sick. 44 and still raining in Burke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, H2O said: My kid just texted that Fx Co schools canceling evening activities Confirmed https://www.fcps.edu/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 It’s not a good sign that there is already standing water in my backyard 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 high Wind Warning coming for DC metro. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON REGION TODAY BETWEEN 500 PM AND 1000 PM EST... Weather conditions will deteriorate as a strong frontal system approaches this afternoon, then passes through the greater Baltimore/Washington region this evening. This will result high winds capable of downing trees and powerlines, tidal flooding, and the potential for flooding of small streams and creeks. This will create hazardous travel conditions late this afternoon through late evening across the region. Light-to-moderate rain will continue early this afternoon, then increase in intensity late this afternoon, with a several hour period of heavy, intense rainfall expected between 6 PM and 10 PM. This heavy rainfall, coupled with already saturated soils from recent rainfall, will cause flooding of small streams and creeks. Do not attempt to drive across flooded roadways; additionally, flooding at night increases the risk for motorists not being able to quickly identify the water hazards due to decreased visibilities by the heavy rain and darkness. Easterly winds will increase in intensity as well this afternoon across the region, with gusts to 50 MPH expected late this afternoon through mid-evening. Locations closer to the Chesapeake Bay will see higher wind gusts of 60-70 MPH. Strong winds will increase the risk of falling trees and downed powerlines. Again, the risk of poor outcomes resulting from high winds is increased during nighttime. Winds will decrease after midnight tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 32 minutes ago, jayyy said: Precip type aside… the sheer size of this storm and its widespread impacts from the gulf to the Midwest to New England is very impressive. . It is never good for us winter weather wise with the ULL is in Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said: The criteria for closing schools has changed drastically over the decades. My mom told me in the 1960's school would be open with a foot of fresh snow on the ground. When I was in school in the 1990's, it took about 6 inches to close school. Today a squirrel farts wrong and schools close. As to the reason why, my guess is heightened liability issues. Its just easier to make it up at the end of the year than opening yourself up to lawsuits. 2 hours ago, Interstate said: Yeah... these school closings are getting ridiculous. As for BCPS... there is nothing new in the forecast... so why not just say you are closing 3 hours early the night before. You are making it a headache for family's where both parents work. The only reason why they did close schools, is because a 3 hour earlier dismissal still counts as a full day. Parents depend on school officials too much. You are the parent and you have the final say. If you feel like it is too dangerous, then keep you kids home. If you feel like it is too dangerous to walk or ride the bus... drive them yourself. Parents all too often want someone else to make their decisions for their kids so they have someone to blame. End rant 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: Closing early for this, except for perhaps the counties along the bay, is so dumb, but IF you are going to close, I totally agree that you have to do it the night before. Nothing changed between last night and this morning. I work from home so I am fortunate that it doesn't really impact me and I can easily get my kids from the bus, but many parents are not that fortunate and this is a huge headache for them. At least let them be able to plan ahead for said huge headache. I really wish I knew the clowns in charge of these decisions. Parents in Frederick Co. remember this image from Fall 2021. We are more than fine with a 3 hr. early dismissal up here. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Mrs.J said: Parents in Frederick Co. remember this image from Fall 2021. We are more than fine with a 3 hr. early dismissal up here. Was that the October 30/31st storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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