JenkinsJinkies Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 15 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Bah! Back in my day we walked uphill both ways in the rain. For real though the counties close for stuff these days that would've only been delays back in the 00s. What made them change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: this poor area is so starved for meaningful winter weather it will turn a rain storm into an event, apparently. Culpeper and Spotsy. are closed lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Dear lord, I am turning into @mattie g in real time. It's windy RAIN for petesake. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Spotsy backwoods are tough to get through in good weather. Add in down limbs and trees, it would be a nightmare for buses. I have no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 17 minutes ago, nj2va said: Culpeper and Spotsy. are closed lol They're far enough south that they didn't get much winter action pre-drought anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I'm not seeing the big wind threat for most of the area (except southern sections and areas along the Bay) until dinner time and especially later. Temperatures will be slow to rise tomorrow; I think we have to get into the low to mid 50s before we can really mix, and that's not going to happen until much later in the day or early evening. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 15 minutes ago, high risk said: I'm not seeing the big wind threat for most of the area (except southern sections and areas along the Bay) until dinner time and especially later. Temperatures will be slow to rise tomorrow; I think we have to get into the low to mid 50s before we can really mix, and that's not going to happen until much later in the day or early evening. Agreed, surface inversion is going to hold tight. Bay is pretty cold as well, that should discourage mixing the bigtime gusts. Straight pressure gradient is going to still kick it to gale force though (35 kts). Need an anemometer on top of the bay bridge. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 hours ago, wxmeddler said: Friends don't let friends use the 3KM NAM for Wind Gusts Sig material for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 22 minutes ago, Jebman said: Sig material for sure. Just for you Jeb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 hours ago, wxmeddler said: Agreed, surface inversion is going to hold tight. Bay is pretty cold as well, that should discourage mixing the bigtime gusts. Straight pressure gradient is going to still kick it to gale force though (35 kts). Need an anemometer on top of the bay bridge. Or a mesonet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 There is an anemometer on the bay bridge. In addition my anemometer is near the bridge but exposure to winds during this storm will be slightly sheltered (wind directions are off shore for me, so mixing to the anemometer height is impacted by trees and houses a bit, especially after the winds reach south of due southeast) so I might not read peak. Link in my sig to my weather station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 7 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: Dear lord, I am turning into @mattie g in real time. It's windy RAIN for petesake. I can understand counties along the bay closing early as tidal flooding is going to be a big concern. combo wind/rain will make traffic/bus routes really shitty later. Even canceling after-school activities makes sense, just get everyone home. With that said, I had numerous parents at the dance studio last night asking wtf was coming that would be so bad to close schools early lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 hours ago, mdhokie said: HoCo is closing 3 hrs early! Bah! Back in my day we walked uphill both ways in the rain. Newspaper for shoes too daggummit! I guess if we can’t get a snow day, we’ll become California and close for heavy rain and wind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 22 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I guess if we can’t get a snow day, we’ll become California and close for heavy rain and wind. Just need: mudslides, massive wildfires, and earthquakes. Then we will be the east coast CA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 It’s dumping snow at Wisp right now: https://www.wispresort.com/mountain-report-cams/ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I am ok with schools closing due to winds. Last thing we need is little Cheyenne or Chad ending up in a ditch after turning into Mary Poppins coming home from school this afternoon 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I think Anne Arundel did the early dismissal first and I get it for them with the coastal flood issues. The other MD counties though are mostly follow the leader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Impacts to the eastern shore and tidal bay, rivers might be high. This has tropical storm force wind potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The complaining about school closing thing always makes me chuckle. Personally I wouldn't want to be the person making the call snow rain wind or otherwise because it's never the right decision regardless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatStorm Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Heavy snow now. 3 inches new on top of 2 inches left from weekend. 29.8 degrees and 29.7 DP 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Peak tide has been increased slightly with this morning's forecast: Source: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/cbofs.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Nice to see the forecast rain amounts here are more like 1.5" instead of the 2-3"+ from a couple days ago. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Near keyser, WV. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Step right up, pick yer favorite watch and/or warning, we've got 'em all today... 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Picked up almost an inch (0.8) of snow/sleet before it changed over to mostly rain with a few pingers around 7:30. Currently 33.0/32.3 at 7:50 am. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 9 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: Dear lord, I am turning into @mattie g in real time. It's windy RAIN for petesake. I can't comment on other counties but I can understand Calvert closing early. If our high wind warning forecast were to verify, it would likely be the worst winds since since March 2018 (which schools also closed for). That caused a LOT of damage in this county, and there wasn't wasn't even any rain with it. Tropical storm conditions are essentially being forecast IMBY, but without an actual tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The 12z HRRR seems pretty robust on wind. Haven't followed the past few runs but I seem to recall it had much lower gusts than the outlandish models showing widespread 60+ ETA: RRFS is robust now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I got 3 evaluations for repairs to my gutters over the holidays. Would have been nice if 2 of the 3 could actually send price estimates so I could have had the repairs done before our 5th heavy rain event in the last month… 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: The 12z HRRR seems pretty robust on wind. Haven't followed the past few runs but I seem to recall it had much lower gusts than the outlandish models showing widespread 60+ ETA: RRFS is robust now as well. You are correct. The HRRR has definitely stepped up winds since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, MN Transplant said: You are correct. The HRRR has definitely stepped up winds since yesterday. Still probably safest to bet against 60mph winds inland away from the bay...but poking around the various models it does look like many of them now seem to "agree" on a swath of the higher end winds sweeping across the Central Maryland area...probably coinciding with that forced line later this afternoon/evening. Maybe we mix down a brief period of 60+ on a wider scale than expected. Otherwise, probably 40-50 tops still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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