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January 6-7, 2024 Winter Storm Obs Thread


WxWatcher007
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2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Man the Pope really nailed this one….said no one ever!!!  Holy smokes what a total BUST by that guy.  Miss to the south, nope. The high has nothing but pacific air..nope. A Non event…NOPE.  He’s brilliant….NOPE. 

I like Popey, but he’s ruining his experience here by continuously being contrarian and getting antagonistic over being called out. 

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2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Wow, only 2.5” back this way and we never got into +SN bands.  My NWS forecast was 8-12” so take that down.  
30F with a few stray flakes right now.  :huh:

ALY had a little write up overnight and why the relative porking with the intital WAA push.  Only 3-4" here.  Local guy at 1900' reported 4.5" and Stratton 5" I believe.

Snow is continuing across eastern New York and western New
England, however expectations of spatial coverage has not
exactly met reality due to the evolution of the coastal system
now currently located east of the Delmarva. According to SPC
Hourly Mesoanalysis, the parent shortwave trough has pulled
ahead and east of the coastal low, forcing its deepening to come
to a staggering halt and stretching energy further east.
Because of this, the precipitation shield has shifted to the
east with very minimal northward progression. A secondary low
pressure core has formed across western Pennsylvania in
association with an upper trough, acting as another source to
drain energy from the aforementioned coastal low and
simultaneously push it further east in tandem with the pull of
the upper shortwave pulse. 
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5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I like Popey, but he’s ruining his experience here by continuously being contrarian and getting antagonistic over being called out. 

I try to…but the guy is constantly on the wrong side of the forecast…and he gets angry at everybody else…And he’s supposedly a meteorologist.  I honestly don’t get it, or him? 

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13 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said:

ALY had a little write up overnight and why the relative porking with the intital WAA push.  Only 3-4" here.  Local guy at 1900' reported 4.5" and Stratton 5" I believe.

Snow is continuing across eastern New York and western New
England, however expectations of spatial coverage has not
exactly met reality due to the evolution of the coastal system
now currently located east of the Delmarva. According to SPC
Hourly Mesoanalysis, the parent shortwave trough has pulled
ahead and east of the coastal low, forcing its deepening to come
to a staggering halt and stretching energy further east.
Because of this, the precipitation shield has shifted to the
east with very minimal northward progression. A secondary low
pressure core has formed across western Pennsylvania in
association with an upper trough, acting as another source to
drain energy from the aforementioned coastal low and
simultaneously push it further east in tandem with the pull of
the upper shortwave pulse. 

That’s a great explanation! 

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13 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said:

ALY had a little write up overnight and why the relative porking with the intital WAA push.  Only 3-4" here.  Local guy at 1900' reported 4.5" and Stratton 5" I believe.

Snow is continuing across eastern New York and western New
England, however expectations of spatial coverage has not
exactly met reality due to the evolution of the coastal system
now currently located east of the Delmarva. According to SPC
Hourly Mesoanalysis, the parent shortwave trough has pulled
ahead and east of the coastal low, forcing its deepening to come
to a staggering halt and stretching energy further east.
Because of this, the precipitation shield has shifted to the
east with very minimal northward progression. A secondary low
pressure core has formed across western Pennsylvania in
association with an upper trough, acting as another source to
drain energy from the aforementioned coastal low and
simultaneously push it further east in tandem with the pull of
the upper shortwave pulse. 

"staggering halt' lol

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HRRR indicates the CCB will become robust for ENE east of Springfield at around 1 or 2 pm. Based on modeling trends, I predict a general swath of an additional 3-6+ inches from the CCB east of the river, and more specifically, Worcester on east. Antsy coastal folks will have to wait for their taste

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2 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said:

Dusting on the grass in Chelsea. Still flipping between fat flakes and drizzle here. I guess 2-3 was even too much here. Congrats to those NW of 95

No, you have at least 3 hours of CCB to look forward to, based on radar, 500 mb orientation, and modeling

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starting to pick back up to mod SN now, had a good lull from about 330-730, I've got 10 even, Norfolk reporting 12, a couple of reports in dutchess and Ulster cty NY coming in near 14, that band was legit last night... would be nice to pick up a few more and get over a foot

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27 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Maybe another hour of mod/hvy factoring in below the beam drift too. 
animated.gif

Put a fork in it?  I'm ready to clear this sad 3.5" but not if there are several more on the way.

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