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January 6-7, 2024 Winter Storm Obs Thread


WxWatcher007
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5 minutes ago, Bryan63 said:

Did get up to 36, now down to 35.3 and back to light snow. Seems like we're going to play that dance all night based on returns.

Told you guys that. Right up off the deck its nice and cold in the mid-levels but the BLs are what they are unfortunately, low to mid 30's. Precipitation intensity will be the key until the front/CCB finally crashes through.

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

 Congrats on the snow to those getting it. Take pics and enjoy. We’ll see what tomorrow brings.

Sucks the thump is crap on the coast. Wonder if it will try and flip to more snow with this stronger omega. But it sounds like good accumulations are going to be tough until CCB and temps come down some. 

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BOX:

 

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1035 PM Update...

Steadier/heavier precip moving across CT/RI on the nose of the
dry slot. Moderate snow at HFD with vsby down to 1/2 mile.
Surface temps marginal for accumulating snow, but colder and
drier air aloft (higher cloud bases across MA) will support some
evaporative cooling with heavier precip bands. For Boston, 37
degs with an east wind yielding wet roads. New 00z NAM model
sounding for Boston, shows column and surface temp cooling below
freezing around 3 AM once heavier precip arrives and winds turn
more to the NE (060 degs). Thus accumulating snow for all areas
overnight except Cape Cod and Islands.

00z NAM shows dry slot overspreading the region from SW to NE
06z-09z tonight. This will limit snow intensity and yield a
changeover to rain and freezing rain/drizzle where temps remain
subfreezing. Then the comma head forms tomorrow and begins to
pivot NW to SE across the region 15z-21z, which will be round 2
of accumulating snow. Thus, new redevelops, possibly moderate at
times from 15z to 21z NW to SE across SNE. Still some
uncertainty how quickly comma head forms and its duration
before exiting offshore. This will impact finals snow totals.
More on this after we review the full suite of 00z.

 

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