dryslot Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: From a model that is giving a hilltop in W PA 30". PF says its good, I think it sucks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 By Wednesday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, dryslot said: PF says its good, I think it sucks. Maybe for upslope in winter? Can't say I use HRRR that often except for maybe very short term looks at summer convection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Maybe for upslope in winter? Can't say I use HRRR that often except for maybe very short term looks at summer convection. Maybe, I'm not in an area that has upslope potential, I find it highly erratic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: PF says its good, I think it sucks. Funny how his taunting pictures have lessened in frequency. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, kdxken said: By Wednesday morning. Your old if you're referencing The Smithereens but at least you are hip. I'm sure I still have my vinyl copy of "Especially for You". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Maybe, I'm not in an area that has upslope potential, I find it highly erratic. I only have downsloped, shattered dendrite, screw potential at my location. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Don't do it. NAM also colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 CAD hangs in here longer on the 0z Nam. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, dryslot said: CAD hangs in here longer on the 0z Nam. Which means it will hang here longer so I can enjoy 38F rain instead of 45F rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 34 minutes ago, dryslot said: He needs snow. He needs 125 miles latitude 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Your old if you're referencing The Smithereens but at least you are hip. I'm sure I still have my vinyl copy of "Especially for You". To me it feels like that song is 5 years old. and somehow it is over 30 years old. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: He needs 125 miles latitude its not bad here lol you got to remember I lived in the valley most of my life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 fv3 colder at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Ditch the 10:1s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Ditch the 10:1s thinking 7 to 1 or so here but should look nice for a bit.. atleast we should hang onto some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ditch the 10:1s Actually may be a better event for Kuchera. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 37 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I only have downsloped, shattered dendrite, screw potential at my location. Time to move? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 34 minutes ago, dryslot said: PF says its good, I think it sucks. Hey it’s hit on general trends several times this year. To be honest, close in I do think it’s best the Euro in multiple instances this season. Of course it’s going to have its issues, and it’s a bit too jacked on ridge top precipitation, like the 3km NAM does. Regarding the 20”+ in narrow Appalachian area… Its doing it up here too. Its a downslope bright band fake out the HRRR and 3km NAM are prone to do. It’s actually pretty interesting. They print out phantom crazy precipitation amounts just beyond the ridge lines during these strong downslope situations on SE wind… and with marginal thermals. See it do it in PA… Then it does it again up over the west slopes of the Greens. For some reason it puts extreme precip in the downslope zones during marginal thermal profiles. These high precip amounts are not on the Spine, they are actually located west of the barrier and I’ve seen the models do this plenty in the past. Just like all the snow in southern PA and adjacent spots is phantom… so is this 20” on the west slope communities in VT, they’ll get 65mph wind and rain instead. Weird quirk in HRRR and 3km NAM. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Actually may be a better event for Kuchera. Yeah it’s trying to accumulate at 33-34°…pass me the kuchie 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ditch the 10:1s This not going to be 10:1, 7:1 is more realistic outside of the elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 nov 1950 or bust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Decent thump before the rain comesSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Woof...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: nov 1950 or bust 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: Omg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, dendrite said: Omg link? http://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/models/?model=mpas3&base=ptype&background=plain&county=counties_brown&state=states_brown&country=countries_brown&proj=ne&archive=false&run=1950112412 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: http://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/models/?model=mpas3&base=ptype&background=plain&county=counties_brown&state=states_brown&country=countries_brown&proj=ne&archive=false&run=1950112412 We need more of these from old systems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 78 http://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/models/?model=era5&base=ptype&background=plain&county=counties_brown&state=states_brown&country=countries_brown&proj=ne&archive=false&run=1978020400 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 That 1950 storm looks unlike anything I’ve seen before. What a wild system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now