#NoPoles Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 52 minutes ago, klw said: So for later today and tomorrow I have a Winter Weather Advisory, Flood Watch, High Wind Warning, Wind Chill Warning, Heat Advisory, Flash Freeze Warning, Migrating Geese Warning, and Wooly Caterpillar watch. Does that sum things up? What about a blowing and drifting acorn advisory? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: That is a concern. and with widespread power outages expect across a good chunk of the east coast, that will limit the power companies from brining in crews from other areas to help restore the power. Usually in situations like this I notice off of state crews in various staging areas. I did not see any crews in some of those staging areas this morning yeah good point...going to be tough to get out-of-state help in this one. 3km remains very consistent for a nasty line moving northeast through SNE later overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 10 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: In another couple weeks you'd have to add the damn sun angle talk to that mix... Ahh that’s probably more like a month..And even then it’s not a big deal at that point either. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah good point...going to be tough to get out-of-state help in this one. 3km remains very consistent for a nasty line moving northeast through SNE later overnight. As of 7 AM this morning The Weather Channel was reporting at least 400,000 were without power in the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 9 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: What about a blowing and drifting acorn advisory? More pine cones down here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: As of 7 AM this morning The Weather Channel was reporting at least 400,000 were without power in the south. Around 190K right now between Alabama/Florida/Georgia. Probably see a good amount across the mid-Atlantic later on with the squall line ripping through there. I'm sure though they will get power restored relatively quickly within these markets...but it does remain windy on the backside so that could delay restorations possibly if conditions are still too dangerous for crews. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Around 190K right now between Alabama/Florida/Georgia. Probably see a good amount across the mid-Atlantic later on with the squall line ripping through there. I'm sure though they will get power restored relatively quickly within these markets...but it does remain windy on the backside so that could delay restorations possibly if conditions are still too dangerous for crews. United States Power Outage Map 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 slush puppies anyone? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: More pine cones down here. Well, add blowing and drifting pinecone Advisory to the list 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 43 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: so many folks going to be a popsicle when they wake up without power tomorrow. These come in very handy during a power outage: inexpensive to buy and run. Light It! 30302-308 Luna LED Tap Light, White 30302-308 - The Home Depot Amazon.com: GearLight Camping Lantern - 2 Portable, LED Battery Powered Lamp Lights, Magnetic Base and Foldable Hook for Emergency Use or Campsites - Stocking Stuffer Gifts for Men : Sports & Outdoors And for water issues: Quick Dam 10 ft. Flood Barrier QD610-1 - The Home Depot The Quick Dam works great and it is very easy to use. And it can be used over and over. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan63 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 13 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: These come in very handy during a power outage: inexpensive to buy and run. Light It! 30302-308 Luna LED Tap Light, White 30302-308 - The Home Depot Amazon.com: GearLight Camping Lantern - 2 Portable, LED Battery Powered Lamp Lights, Magnetic Base and Foldable Hook for Emergency Use or Campsites - Stocking Stuffer Gifts for Men : Sports & Outdoors And for water issues: Quick Dam 10 ft. Flood Barrier QD610-1 - The Home Depot The Quick Dam works great and it is very easy to use. And it can be used over and over. Can vouch on the quick dam product. Our driveway in NC slopped down slightly and in the shitty world that is new construction, they didn't put a drain by the garage. This helped keep our garage dry during several big storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Bryan63 said: Can vouch on the quick dam product. Our driveway in NC slopped down slightly and in the shitty world that is new construction, they didn't put a drain by the garage. This helped keep our garage dry during several big storms. The Quick Dam is awesome. A must have for a homeowner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 This is pretty concerning for the Vermont side of the Champlain Valley and BTV suburbs, western slope communities. They can downslope with the best of them in pulse style winds. Some very big 70-80mph events have happened in the past. Wonder if this is another one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I finally got back from Chicago last night after being stuck there due to the last storm (+ ripple effects from 737 Max groundings; United has a bunch in their fleet). I'm glad I managed to thread the needle, as the next 24 hours will not be conducive to aviation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2-M Winds at 70-80mph on HRRR in BTV and surrounding areas overnight. Yikes. Saw one panel with 84mph. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Holy shit. that has to be some kind of feedback... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 2-M Winds at 70-80mph on HRRR in BTV and surrounding areas overnight. Yikes. Saw one panel with 84mph. Yeah SE flow downslope areas will rock even if those 10m winds are a little inflated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Holy shit. that has to be some kind of feedback... 925? HRRR not as impressive. GFS upped the winds a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Around 190K right now between Alabama/Florida/Georgia. Probably see a good amount across the mid-Atlantic later on with the squall line ripping through there. I'm sure though they will get power restored relatively quickly within these markets...but it does remain windy on the backside so that could delay restorations possibly if conditions are still too dangerous for crews. We should see near or over 100K in CT alone tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: 925? HRRR not as impressive. GFS upped the winds a bit. Now obviously winds can be 1000 mph at 925/850 but if you're not mixing into these levels you're not bringing winds down. The hi-res models continue to be very aggressive with a very fine line of convection moving through and timed well with when the LLJ is strongest. I think the wind is going to be a very big deal overnight, but it will be brief. I think the wind is being downplayed big time. It boggles me b/c 9 times out of 10 the wind gets hyped like crazy and then when a scenario arises where it should be it doesn't. I am fairly confident we're going to see widespread power outages tonight from CT through RI and into SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 hour ago, #NoPoles said: What about a blowing and drifting acorn advisory? This is Vermont so more maples than oaks. Maybe there will be a Sap Advisory with the temp surge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Now obviously winds can be 1000 mph at 925/850 but if you're not mixing into these levels you're not bringing winds down. The hi-res models continue to be very aggressive with a very fine line of convection moving through and timed well with when the LLJ is strongest. I think the wind is going to be a very big deal overnight, but it will be brief. I think the wind is being downplayed big time. It boggles me b/c 9 times out of 10 the wind gets hyped like crazy and then when a scenario arises where it should be it doesn't. I am fairly confident we're going to see widespread power outages tonight from CT through RI and into SE MA. Yes to all. It will be a 2-3 hour short period of big rips 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, klw said: This is Vermont so more maples than oaks. Maybe there will be a Sap Advisory with the temp surge. You get these little bastards flying around in 50mph winds, it can cause some damage. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Now obviously winds can be 1000 mph at 925/850 but if you're not mixing into these levels you're not bringing winds down. I would hate to see 1000 mph at 925 mb 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 This is 6z but here is BDL. You don't have to go very far in the vertical for strong winds. A good line of forced convection would easily tap into these Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes to all. It will be a 2-3 hour short period of big rips Its just a shame that these big wind events always seem to happen at night. Thats one of the reasons why 03/02/18 was special. 12/18 happened during the day but in my area it wasn't anything notable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: This is 6z but here is BDL. You don't have to go very far in the vertical for strong winds. A good line of forced convection would easily tap into these I do think the valley .. especially from about BDL north may not see the big wind.. They love to hold cold until the end.. but ridge tops , hills and the coast are going to go wild tonight.. GTGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaun Curry Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, mreaves said: You get these little bastards flying around in 50mph winds, it can cause some damage. Hopefully no one has tulip trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This is 6z but here is BDL. You don't have to go very far in the vertical for strong winds. A good line of forced convection would easily tap into these Right, but will we get sufficient convection to bring em down. I still lean a little more conservative but I agree there will be good gusts especially near the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I do think the valley .. especially from about BDL north may not see the big wind.. They love to hold cold until the end.. but ridge tops , hills and the coast are going to go wild tonight.. GTGW It will be interesting to see how well the cold holds in the valley. Any areas that are able to climb into the lower 50's tonight I think is in line for big winds. Some areas may even only experience 50 for an hour or two...right as the line is approaching. Sometimes a situation like this can enhance the wind potential because you're steepening the lapse rate so quickly you get like a mixing momentum boost (I know this isn't a good scientific explanation). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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