Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 12:44 AM, weatherwiz said: I really think it is a distinct possibility we see widespread gusts 50-60 mph and some gusts 60-65 overnight with the line moving northeast. The mesos are really consistent in a fine line moving northeast across much of CT and points northeast. If we can get temperatures to spike in the lower 50’s that will really help I think. Latest HRRR even has some 54-55…that would certainly be sufficient. It is a very small window these gusts occur but it would produce damage and power outages. Expand HRRRX has been ramping up each run tonight if folks have noticed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Flipping to sleet. 1.6" will do it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Straight to rain, 36. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 43 at HFD and 39 here. .56” so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:04 AM, PWMan said: Straight to rain, 36. Expand I'm almost certainly going to start as snow at my place, but I have zero doubt I'll flip before my shift is up and I can get home an measure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 10, 2024 Author Share Posted January 10, 2024 I'd to see some decent convection, NOT associated with the actual cold front, bring some down. Until then it's (wind) gonna be meh here and probably many areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 It’s like full on blizzard out there. Wasn’t expecting that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Over performing reports from DC to NYC already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Quick raob check, OKX had 55 knots at 925 mb. Assuming they launched on time around 23z, that's about 5 knots lower than the RAP (which is fed into the HRRR). NAM doesn't have 23z data, but knocking it's 00z forecast down a few knots has it forecasting 925 winds about 10-15 knots too high at this hour (similarly the GFS). Now it could just be a delay in the LLJ, but I think it's more likely the stronger winds are just more elevated than modeled. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Sn. 25.2FSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:11 AM, donsutherland1 said: Atlantic City recently experienced a 50 mph wind gust. At 6:54 pm 1 NNE Bethel, DE registered a 64 mph wind gust. Expand WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Definitely no sign of downsloping yet in spite of the wind. I don’t understand why sometimes we do sometimes we don’t with the same wind direction 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 4” here outside Montpelier VT with 3” in last 1-1/2 hour. Headlamp was overwhelmed with density of snow coming down. Already 2/3 of the way to our high end forecast amount of 6” and changeover not progged till 2AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Winds are starting to roar out there as we speak....no where near what they were a couple weeks back, but not quiet either. Running water everywhere, flooding should be pretty impressive tomorrow at this rate... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 12:24 AM, TJW014 said: Sustained 64 mph with a peak gust of 75 mph at Cape Fear, NC Expand Nothing had this . Machine or met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 I just changed over appears to be mix/rain temp now up to 33, was 31 an hour ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:09 AM, OceanStWx said: Quick raob check, OKX had 55 knots at 925 mb. Assuming they launched on time around 23z, that's about 5 knots lower than the RAP (which is fed into the HRRR). NAM doesn't have 23z data, but knocking it's 00z forecast down a few knots has it forecasting 925 winds about 10-15 knots too high at this hour (similarly the GFS). Now it could just be a delay in the LLJ, but I think it's more likely the stronger winds are just more elevated than modeled. Expand Some in here don’t like facts if you catch my drift. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:13 AM, alex said: Definitely no sign of downsloping yet in spite of the wind. I don’t understand why sometimes we do sometimes we don’t with the same wind direction Expand It’s the inversion level IMO. It dictates how the moisture moves over the terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:16 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing had this . Machine or met Expand None of that is gonna happen here lol..too funny. OKX is a barrier island..last time I looked, none of us in interior SNE live on a barrier island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Heavy snow. METAR KMVL 100110Z AUTO 22003KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV004 M02/M04 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:20 AM, WinterWolf said: None of that is gonna happen here lol..too funny. OKX is a barrier island..last time I looked, none of us in interior SNE live on a barrier island. Expand Wiz FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:20 AM, WinterWolf said: None of that is gonna happen here lol..too funny. OKX is a barrier island..last time I looked, none of us in interior SNE live on a barrier island. Expand Cape cod is a barrier island technically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:16 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing had this . Machine or met Expand The HRRR did have 38G65KT for 01z. If I had to pick something to rip and read right now, the HRRR looks fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:19 AM, powderfreak said: It’s the inversion level IMO. It dictates how the moisture moves over the terrain. Expand I’ll need an explanation of that It is bizarre, temperature steady and heavy snow but there’s a bunch of 4-5000 footers in the direction the wind is coming from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Echoes funneling right up the center of the valley, but not too much here on the outskirts so far. About .2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:20 AM, WinterWolf said: None of that is gonna happen here lol..too funny. OKX is a barrier island..last time I looked, none of us in interior SNE live on a barrier island. Expand Long Island is a barrier island lol, we protect Connecticut. You’re welcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Gusts are near 40 here in Ansonia. I’m on a hill if that even matters but much louder than it was in December. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:20 AM, powderfreak said: Heavy snow. METAR KMVL 100110Z AUTO 22003KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV004 M02/M04 Expand Can definitely confirm SN+ in East Montpelier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 1:26 AM, Spaizzo said: Gusts are near 40 here in Ansonia. I’m on a hill if that even matters but much louder than it was in December. . Expand That’s well ahead of main event which is 1-4 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 28.7° +SN Already 3” Poundin 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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