Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,611
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I really think it is a distinct possibility we see widespread gusts 50-60 mph and some gusts 60-65 overnight with the line moving northeast. The mesos are really consistent in a fine line moving northeast across much of CT and points northeast. 
 

If we can get temperatures to spike in the lower 50’s that will really help I think. Latest HRRR even has some 54-55…that would certainly be sufficient. 

It is a very small window these gusts occur but it would produce damage and power outages. 

HRRRX has been ramping up each run tonight if folks  have noticed 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Quick raob check, OKX had 55 knots at 925 mb. Assuming they launched on time around 23z, that's about 5 knots lower than the RAP (which is fed into the HRRR). NAM doesn't have 23z data, but knocking it's 00z forecast down a few knots has it forecasting 925 winds about 10-15 knots too high at this hour (similarly the GFS). 

Now it could just be a delay in the LLJ, but I think it's more likely the stronger winds are just more elevated than modeled.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Quick raob check, OKX had 55 knots at 925 mb. Assuming they launched on time around 23z, that's about 5 knots lower than the RAP (which is fed into the HRRR). NAM doesn't have 23z data, but knocking it's 00z forecast down a few knots has it forecasting 925 winds about 10-15 knots too high at this hour (similarly the GFS). 

Now it could just be a delay in the LLJ, but I think it's more likely the stronger winds are just more elevated than modeled.

Some in here don’t like facts if you catch my drift.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, alex said:

Definitely no sign of downsloping yet in spite of the wind. I don’t understand why sometimes we do sometimes we don’t with the same wind direction 

IMG_0538.jpeg

It’s the inversion level IMO.  It dictates how the moisture moves over the terrain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

None of that is gonna happen here lol..too funny.  OKX is a barrier island..last time I looked, none of us in interior SNE live on a barrier island. 

Cape cod is a barrier island technically 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It’s the inversion level IMO.  It dictates how the moisture moves over the terrain.

I’ll need an explanation of that :) It is bizarre, temperature steady and heavy snow but there’s a bunch of 4-5000 footers in the direction the wind is coming from 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

None of that is gonna happen here lol..too funny.  OKX is a barrier island..last time I looked, none of us in interior SNE live on a barrier island. 

Long Island is a barrier island lol, we protect Connecticut. You’re welcome. 

  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...