bdgwx Posted Monday at 04:44 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 04:44 PM It is too early to make any definitive conclusions, but it does look like we could be starting to pull away from the old CMIP3 RCP 4.5 prediction. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:13 PM What's the heat like south of the equator so far this djf ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago https://berkeleyearth.org/global-temperature-report-for-2024/ However, the warming spike in 2023/2024 appears to have deviated significantly from the previous trend. If we were to assume that global warming was continuing at the same rate as during the 50-year period 1970-2019, then the 2023/2024 excursion would be by far the largest deviation from that trend, with only a roughly 1-in-100 chance of occurring solely due to natural variability. While 1-in-100 chance events do sometimes occur, we consider it more likely that the recent rate of global warming has been larger than expected, exceeding both the previous trend and what would be expected when considering only the observed pattern of greenhouse gas emissions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago What can we expect to happen now that the U.S. pulled out of the Paris Climate Agreement? More of the same? World ends in 10 years? Think people will stop buying Teslas, now that everyone thinks Elon musk is a Nazi? What about the pause on offshore wind? Are we doomed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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