Radtechwxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Other models taking a se shift esp Canadian. Ukmet looks like snow just dies over IL. Looks like possible thermal issues. Guessing euro will be more se than 12z run. 0z gfs is as good as it gets. If only we were closer. Would love to lock that in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 00z euro going to be a Chicago crush job. Man hope one of these stronger solutions plays out for someone 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: 00z euro going to be a Chicago crush job. Man hope one of these stronger solutions plays out for someone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, Sciascia said: Kind of a weird screw job from northeastern Iowa up into Wisconsin. Hopefully a scenario like that doesn't come to fruition lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Kind of a weird screw job from northeastern Iowa up into Wisconsin. Hopefully a scenario like that doesn't come to fruition lol. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 SFW, sad February will be rocking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Nothing legit till globals show it on Sunday 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Wife and I having a cup of coffee and the last time I had to shovel snow was February 2021 kind of wild. I hope this one produces. Would be fun to play around with the pups in the snow filled backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 25 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Nothing legit till globals show it on Sunday final call after 12z runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 19 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: final call after 12z runs? Definitely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Damn that's a beast of a storm, but the track is a tad unbelievable at the moment. Arkansas-Indy-Toledo on a storm bombing out? If it really enters the lower GL at around 975 MB then I'd expect more of a South Bend-Lansing low track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 36 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Damn that's a beast of a storm, but the track is a tad unbelievable at the moment. Arkansas-Indy-Toledo on a storm bombing out? If it really enters the lower GL at around 975 MB then I'd expect more of a South Bend-Lansing low track I noticed that as well. Gave me some hope though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Yikes..ear muffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, nwohweather said: Damn that's a beast of a storm, but the track is a tad unbelievable at the moment. Arkansas-Indy-Toledo on a storm bombing out? If it really enters the lower GL at around 975 MB then I'd expect more of a South Bend-Lansing low track 12z GFS going to keep that general path, not real robust with precip on the NW. Not worth getting too into the details until saturday afternoon-ish, but its a failure path for a lot of folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 980's apps runner Or... As is tradition... "South, weaker" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Here I was worried about a nw shift and now I'm hoping for one. Lol. Not digging this trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 If the king follows suit then I'm tapping out for a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Look gang it's either gonna trend to shit or bounce back in a couple days and be stronger so tap into that self-restraint we all definitely have and hold tight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Crushes Detroit but yeah that Western cut off is brutal Probably will shift back and forth, we're still far out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Malacka11 said: Look gang it's either gonna trend to shit or bounce back in a couple days and be stronger so tap into that self-restraint we all definitely have and hold tight Stop coming at me with that logic and shit. I want to live and die by model runs 130+ hours out. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Stop coming at me with that logic and shit. I want to live and die by model runs 130+ hours out. Me too, that denial stage is just hitting exceptionally hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I'm not laughing...yet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 hours ago, King James said: Wife and I having a cup of coffee and the last time I had to shovel snow was February 2021 kind of wild. I hope this one produces. Would be fun to play around with the pups in the snow filled backyard Were you away for 2 years lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Will be interesting to see the 12z GEFS, starting to roll out now. The 06z operational was similar to the 12z, but the 06z GEFS still had a majority of members northwest of the op. We're still at the phase of the forecast where these operational solutions fit within the ensemble spectrum. The snow enthusiast in me would be lying if I said seeing sharp cutoffs like that in the modeling don't make me nervous (shades of 2/24/16, also in a strong Niño) but in this case there really is plenty of time left. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Were you away for 2 years lol2022 had good snows too in Kankakee County. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: 2022 had good snows too in Kankakee County. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2021-22 was a decent winter here. And even last winter had multiple shovelable snows. That's why I was wondering how he hadn't shoveled in 2 years lol. I last shoveled Nov 28th lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 20 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Here I was worried about a nw shift and now I'm hoping for one. Lol. Not digging this trend. It's been years since we've seen a nw trend or a storm actually strengthen to the degree the models are showing. Models have gotten tendencies to over amp storms so anything is on the table, from a sub 980 tracking over chicago to 990 tracking over pittsburgh. Either way this low pressure is impressive on satellite and causing high winds in alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: 2021-22 was a decent winter here. And even last winter had multiple shovelable snows. That's why I was wondering how he hadn't shoveled in 2 years lol. I last shoveled Nov 28th lol Most people don't pull out the shovels for flurries and tenths of snow on sidewalks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Stevo6899 said: Most people don't pull out the shovels for flurries and tenths of snow on sidewalks. I don't either. It was 1.7" of snow. Before that would be mid-March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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