Radtechwxman Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Though I am liking trends on hrrr I am a bit confused on its se trend given the low is 991mb now and it initialized it around 996mb. To me I would think it would end up more nw if it's stronger than it's depicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 LOT’s recent graphics. The solid gold bordered snow block from midnight to 6pm tomorrow for Rockford area has me excited as a snow enthusiast. It also has me slightly concerned as the snow removal guy for both my house & my in-laws next door. P&C from LOT has the wide range of 7-15 potential inches.Same with the 7-15 P&C. Came together nicely since this morning.More snow from this past weekend on the ground in west burbs than back home (little to none here). Probably won't make a huge difference in the accumulations but would be nice to have that starter layer in place to maximize the early potential with temperatures a few degrees above freezing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 As you'd expect, crazy day at LOT today. Will try to chime in this evening and then try to sleep. Back in at 7am tomorrow as the shift supervisor. Roads should be fun lol. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 From APX:Looks like I won’t even have to break out the snowblower. Maybe 1-2” for Rogers City. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imneversatisfied Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 5 minutes ago, TravisWx said: From APX: Looks like I won’t even have to break out the snowblower. Maybe 1-2” for Rogers City. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pretty disappointing for me in Alpena too. Really need a SE shift. Starting to focus my attention on the weekend storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Latest HHR continues the trend the NAM was showing for extreme NE IL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 2 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Latest HHR continues the trend the NAM was showing I'd sell my soul if we can get some heavier banding to hang over the near suburbs tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Anyone else getting nervous on temps at onset with this lead wave? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 28 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said: Pretty disappointing for me in Alpena too. Really need a SE shift. Starting to focus my attention on the weekend storm. What has the total snowfall been up there this season? I’m up there sometimes for work (in the quarrying industry) and it’s usually a damn tundra this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 With SREF shifting more south I bet the 0z NAM comes up huge for NIL and SE Wisconsin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 1 hour ago, Malacka11 said: Pretty much how I’m feeling lol Haven’t been following this at all until yesterday. And it has been ticking south since. Daddy like. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Started as sleet and since switched to all rain here in the initial band in East Central IL, temp at 34.5 IMBY 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 1 minute ago, CIllinoisSnow said: Started as sleet and since switched to all rain here in the initial band in East Central IL, temp at 34.5 IMBY Nervous a bit here as well. Sitting at 35 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 This snow better increase in intensity and size or this won't pan out nicely out. Kind of struggling so far. Marginal temps I'm sure aren't helping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 20 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Anyone else getting nervous on temps at onset with this lead wave? Temps are as expected at onset. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imneversatisfied Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 16 minutes ago, nwohweather said: What has the total snowfall been up there this season? I’m up there sometimes for work (in the quarrying industry) and it’s usually a damn tundra this time of year We are at roughly 12" average is 28". Looks like the next storm might tundra me. Lost faith in this one. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 7 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Nervous a bit here as well. Sitting at 35 right now I’m nervous as well (although being 90 miles south of Chicago I knew I wasn’t gonna get much) but it’s looking like I really might struggle to get even a couple inches now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 See below post, good info for the mechanics of the rain to snow transition (for Urbana-Champaign but applicable to most areas):https://x.com/vortexjeff/status/1744480403405050115?s=46 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Starting to get pretty breezy out, would make it interesting if it starts puking flakes in a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 5 minutes ago, CIllinoisSnow said: I’m nervous as well (although being 90 miles south of Chicago I knew I wasn’t gonna get much) but it’s looking like I really might struggle to get even a couple inches now Temps matter more at 850 than at the surface 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 If were going to throw out storm cancel scenarios before initiation I'm going with gulf convection robbing moisture transport. Checks radar:not concerned. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 @ChiTownSnow just keep the hatch to SchaumburgStormer's weenie bunker closed and a smile on your face. It's only warm cause we're crammed in here like sardines. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: @ChiTownSnow just keep the hatch to SchaumburgStormer's weenie bunker closed and a smile on your face. It's only warm cause we're crammed in here like sardines. Who the hell brought the heater!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Still think it’ll be a rainy mixy slop that doesn’t amount to much with tomorrow’s batch even if model trends have been positive. 20+ miles west it’ll be another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 3 minutes ago, tuanis said: Still think it’ll be a rainy mixy slop that doesn’t amount to much with tomorrow’s batch even if model trends have been positive. 20+ miles west it’ll be another story. oh ye of little faith....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 First flakes just started here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 this was earlier today, with over 60mph winds creating severe blizzard conditions in some areas of Kansas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 1 minute ago, Chinook said: this was earlier today, with over 60mph winds creating severe blizzard conditions in some areas of Kansas They can keep that shit. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 A lot of mixing issues here thus far. Longer than what models depicted. Definitely getting nervous totals going to bust here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 We reached 34º or 35º this afternoon, but once the snow began this evening it stuck to the pavement immediately. There is not a single wet spot anywhere. Perhaps the strengthening wind helped cool the pavement. Guidance continues to sag southeast. Fortunately, even though we won't get the heaviest snow, models still show my area solidly within the decent defo zone through the day tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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