Radtechwxman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Imneversatisfied said: I need like a 50 mile SE shift. Damn warm lake is going to screw me if not. You and me both. Minus the lake part. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 FWIW, here's the 10:1 EPS mean... pretty juiced 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, glacier said: This storm has 12-15-87 vibes. remember it well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Some real old heads ITT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, King James said: Some real old heads ITT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 GFS pretty much held its ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This is gonna be one of those situations where you don't really have a full/total handle on how it's going to go until we're deep into it, for the metro/NE IL that is. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Models' Kuchera graphics are showing awful ratios, about 7 to 1 throughout the heavy band. DVN, on the other hand, is predicting ratios above 10 to 1. DVN has upped my area even more to 11-16". I was thinking the earlier 6-11" seemed a bit high at the top end. If Kuchera is correct, we will only get 6-9". We will need the higher ratios for DVN's forecast to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 DVN being very aggressive with their snow forecast. Higher than most guidance. Also a very strongly worded afd. Meanwhile ILX sounds awful. Lol. Talking about mixing issues here tonight which I totally disagree with. That will be issue tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Models' Kuchera graphics are showing awful ratios, about 7 to 1 throughout the heavy band. DVN, on the other hand, is predicting ratios above 10 to 1.Yea, can’t envision above 10:1+ ratios panning out for much of the duration of the storm. Can’t rule it out on the tail end though, as a bit of colder air tries to filter in.It’s really interesting so see some of these offices go with amounts that either mirror or even exceed Kuchera based amounts on most guidance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: This is gonna be one of those situations where you don't really have a full/total handle on how it's going to go until we're deep into it, for the metro/NE IL that is. Tbh this is how it feels for almost every storm. The models are good for highlighting the potential snow amounts, but where the bands setup always comes down to nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman33 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 DVN is out to lunch. 18 inches on their graphic. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, snowman33 said: DVN is out to lunch. 18 inches on their graphic. I think the most I have seen on any guidance is ~12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Tbh this is how it feels for almost every storm. The models are good for highlighting the potential snow amounts, but where the bands setup always comes down to nowcasting. In this case for NE IL/metro I mean more-so due to the R/S line and lake influence combination. It's going to be really interesting to see how they both pan out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: In this case for NE IL/metro I mean more-so due to the R/S line and lake influence combination. It's going to be really interesting to see how they both pan out. You and I are pretty much on top of each other in Dupage no? I know guessing is a fool's errand but how do you feel in your heart of hearts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Been snowing here for about 15 minutes. Very little rain to start, don't expect much out of it, but snowing earlier than expected 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman33 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12/26/09 is an event that comes to mind that had an extreme gradient through the Chicago metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, snowman33 said: 12/26/09 is an event that comes to mind that had an extreme gradient through the Chicago metro. Ricky brought up November 2018. ORD had a significant event, downtown had a dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12/26/09 is an event that comes to mind that had an extreme gradient through the Chicago metro.I think you may be thinking of a direct one.12/26/2009 was the surprise snowstorm. Cold temps and very high ratios were featured.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 47 minutes ago, snowman33 said: DVN is out to lunch. 18 inches on their graphic. Obviously smoking on break too 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Radar looks good 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The HRRR continues to sag southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Radar looks good You will bust low, I will bust high. But a 2-4” event from SLP tracking over the city is a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 21 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: I think you may be thinking of a direct one. 12/26/2009 was the surprise snowstorm. Cold temps and very high ratios were featured. . Remember telling Thundersnow it was going to be a 1" slush storm and he lost his shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: You will bust low, I will bust high. But a 2-4” event from SLP tracking over the city is a win. If I get 2 I'm calling it a w 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, mimillman said: You will bust low, I will bust high. But a 2-4” event from SLP tracking over the city is a win. Trend has been for SLP to track SE of there now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Quite the friendly trend for NIL 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Model QPF for the QCA has really jumped up since yesterday. It's looking like a very good chance at 10"+ now if the latest model solutions don't back off. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 LOT’s recent graphics. The solid gold bordered snow block from midnight to 6pm tomorrow for Rockford area has me excited as a snow enthusiast. It also has me slightly concerned as the snow removal guy for both my house & my in-laws next door. P&C from LOT has the wide range of 7-15 potential inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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