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1/8-1/10 Potential Winter Storm


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7 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

I hate getting hooked on looking at CAMS hours before the storm because it never seems to quite end up how I want but trends this morning haven't been awful for the western suburbs. If we could just get this thing a county more to the south I'd be happy

snowblower still down.trends are good.

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4 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

NAM says shift the WSW southeast in Illinois. Maybe NAM is just being NAM though but some other CAMs also are trending this way. Fingers crossed in the city.

LOT agrees and just added Lee-Ogle-DeKalb-Kane-Lake-LaSalle to the WSW.

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3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Pretty hyped to see what LOT's afternoon AFD will be like. 

Not to get ahead of myself, but if a slightly farther south solution does verify that would be a pretty big W for the RGEM/CMC

I'm just hoping the NAM didn't over correct itself.  I think it was pretty smart of Lot just to expand that one county thus far. 

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17 minutes ago, TravisWx said:

APX with a WWA for my area

APX went from forecasting 6" at noon now less than an inch in Alpena. Sounds like they plan on the warm air aloft will create mixing. Only model I see having rain reach here is FV3 all others are snow. Hmmm Sure hope they are wrong... Let the disappointment begin.

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3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Pretty hyped to see what LOT's afternoon AFD will be like. 

Not to get ahead of myself, but if a slightly farther south solution does verify that would be a pretty big W for the RGEM/CMC

we're being Izzied. It's pure weather porn. Read at your own risk.

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5 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Pretty hyped to see what LOT's afternoon AFD will be like. 

Not to get ahead of myself, but if a slightly farther south solution does verify that would be a pretty big W for the RGEM/CMC

And I believe the Ukie has been south too.

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4 minutes ago, Baum said:

we're being Izzied. It's pure weather porn. Read at your own risk.

Yeah, ingesting that was an experience. I don't know if I've ever been this close to perfect ambiguity going into a storm. Quite literally on the border of the future warning area in Aurora, with models keeping me optimistic. On the other hand, I don't really mind a miss to the NW; it would sting, but as long as I walk away from this storm with some snowpack for later in the week, I'd be happy to be honest. 

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Hrrr/rap continue to be pretty nw for here and basically track low over me and have a rain for good chunk of Tues but nice front end thump. 3km and 12km nam though have trended more se and keep me out of mixing or rain as much. Not sure what to believe. Hrrr/rap have been pretty consistent. 

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