RCNYILWX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Did you see the 1000mb contour was inside the 996mb contour? LolUnfortunately ILX has been using these maps in their graphics too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 NAM going nuclear on the Huskers, guess they have to win something once in a while 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: Unfortunately ILX has been using these maps in their graphics too. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk That's not surprising. Lol. But definitely misleading the public. On a side note nam looking like it will be relatively north at end of its run. Probably near STL. Nice front end thump. If you can believe its temp profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 That's not surprising. Lol. But definitely misleading the public. On a side note nam looking like it will be relatively north at end of its run. Probably near STL. Nice front end thump. If you can believe its temp profiles. Not surprised at all to see the NAM that amped at this range. Front end thump with the WAA has looked decent for a while - the air mass isn't cold but cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 15 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Not surprised at all to see the NAM that amped at this range. Front end thump with the WAA has looked decent for a while - the air mass isn't cold but cold enough. Yeah typical nam. Usually on north end of guidance in its long range but falls in line with guidance as we close in. Unless this does end up stronger and nw which is plausible. Hoping for a nice front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 ILX majorly downplaying this in their latest afd. Calling for mix or potentially rain through majority of the event well into Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 11 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: ILX majorly downplaying this in their latest afd. Calling for mix or potentially rain through majority of the event well into Tues. as is tradition 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 17 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: ILX majorly downplaying this in their latest afd. Calling for mix or potentially rain through majority of the event well into Tues. ILX always does. Just like WCIA (local weather here in CI) I wish this snowfall wasn’t getting nuked by the warm temps prior to the next system, would certainly help with thermals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Chambana said: ILX always does. Just like WCIA (local weather here in CI) I wish this snowfall wasn’t getting nuked by the warm temps prior to the next system, would certainly help with thermals. I do agree thermals are an issue esp with eastern extent cuz of strong waa but don't agree it won't changeover till late Tues. I think strong forcing and dynamic cooling will help changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Liking my spot for this one. Way to early final call of 7.1” 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3.5" by Tuesday morning... completely melting by Tuesday evening followed by 2.2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Looks pretty sloppy with the marginal temps. Like where I sit but don’t think it’ll amount to too much unless that defo band can really rip. Hoping for 5.1” but that can bust in a big way. If it delivers imagine I’ll be knocking wet slop off the young trees in the yard with a broom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Early thinking for this area is 3-6" of white cement. Will be a nice base for the snows that follow. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Liking my spot for this one. Way to early final call of 7.1” You’re looking good up there in the burbs. Super jelly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 NAM is wayyy north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: NAM is wayyy north Nam doing nam things again 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: NAM is wayyy north A tradition unlike any other 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Man it’s fun to track something again. Been awhile since I’ve been good and proper NAM’d 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 It's probably safe to throw the early NAM runs in the trash. The global models are much farther south with the upper low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, hawkeye_wx said: It's probably safe to throw the early NAM runs in the trash. The global models are much farther south with the upper low. I do think though pure climo is against anyone east of Chicago and Milwaukee getting a solid snow. This is a pretty damn strong low without anything to really keep it from cutting poleward as it bombs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Imagine what the DGEX would've been doing with this storm... Glad that was retired years and years ago tho. Not this storm but radar looking good for a DAB tonight. Some decent banding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 13 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: Imagine what the DGEX would've been doing with this storm... Glad that was retired years and years ago tho. Not this storm but radar looking good for a DAB tonight. Some decent banding. I dunno, one of the best parts of winter storm tracking is the eye-watering snow totals put out by a few choice models. DGEX was always reliable for a good 36"+ somewhere in its forecast timeframe. RIP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: I dunno, one of the best parts of winter storm tracking is the eye-watering snow totals put out by a few choice models. DGEX was always reliable for a good 36"+ somewhere in its forecast timeframe. RIP DGEX weenie maps from OG GHD 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Any sampling with tonight's runs? Or too early still? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 It's so nice to not have to be depending on 60+ hour NAM runs for hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Coming in just a tad east so far with the low but the snow area is about the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Gfs a bit juicier too. Guidance is really showing that def band cranking once it arrives. +SN and the winds could have us talking the B word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Some of those totals in northern iL are from tonight's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Yea central Missouri looks like the place to be. 12 hours+ of heavy deformation snow. Would be nice to witness something like that in my lifetime. Whoever gets under that banding, heaven... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Gfs a bit juicier too. Guidance is really showing that def band cranking once it arrives. +SN and the winds could have us talking the B word. 24-hour captures the defo for northern IL but misses the front end snow Monday night into Tuesday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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