mattinpa Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said: 18z GFS with a low trying to act like an apps runner. This is a tricky storm. There may be some with one inch while people 30 miles away have 4+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 NBM keeping it real 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 hour ago, mattinpa said: This is a tricky storm. There may be some with one inch while people 30 miles away have 4+ inches. Yup it is. The models seem to have been sensing what amounts to 2 lows (or maybe one as a shortwave/disturbance that gets fired up with the low that is supposed to move up from the GOM). It's interesting to see how that manifests on a run though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 26 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: . Been awhile since we have seen one of these! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, anthonyweather said: . I think its a solid map! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I’d sign up for that here in Western Berks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Thunder snow? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Absolutely legendary NAMing tonight! Much colder than 18z so I-78 stays mostly snow. Insane rates too, and it brings back the Sunday snow! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beagles20 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Absolutely legendary NAMing tonight! Much colder than 18z so I-78 stays mostly snow. Insane rates too, and it brings back the Sunday snow! I was looking at that too. Did you watch the loop (1 km Reflectivity with Precip) and the Low pressure is really jumping around (chasing convection?). Hour 26 goes from the coast to maybe 100 miles or so off the coast then back to the coast at hour 27. Then it stall between hour 32-38. Not sure how the low pressure jumping around affects things, but some things I noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Some nutty stuff going on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Some nutty stuff going on! Sure is! 3k bounces the low over south Jersey yet plasters the region from just west of I95. Have to see that to believe it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 11" here thank you Nam may I have another-inch 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Here's a good sign: we are only forecasted to get down to 26°F tonight. I'm currently sitting at 22. The forecast went from snow-->rain back to snow-->rain-->snow, so it would appear that the back-end thump might actually occur. I have not once even so much as looked at my brand new, fancy-pants electric snowblower that I bought back in November '22. I refuse. It's actually become buried in the garage behind a ton of other crap. And there it shall remain, unless... 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Nam says .... "raise the blizzard flag!" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, CoolHandMike said: Here's a good sign: we are only forecasted to get down to 26°F tonight. I'm currently sitting at 22. The forecast went from snow-->rain back to snow-->rain-->snow, so it would appear that the back-end thump might actually occur. I have not once even so much as looked at my brand new, fancy-pants electric snowblower that I bought back in November '22. I refuse. It's actually become buried in the garage behind a ton of other crap. And there it shall remain, unless... I actually thought today was warmer than progged and tonight colder than progged...cooled off quick this afternoon... weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: 11" here thank you Nam may I have another-inch I must say the NAM is making me excited for my friends just north of the turnpike and in Chester County just west of me like 17 minute car drive gets 5" while I sit at 3". I can snow but also smell the rain. I am interested to see how dynamics can change our fate! Gotta hope for higher rates to keep the column cool enough south of the turnpike. The NAM gives hope we are in the wheelhouse. Could we possibly be looking for a now cast trying to hold off the warm air from Delaware and New Jersey here we shall, see? I will go with 1-3" for here in Media Delaware County with like 1" like literally 3 miles south and east of me. Man, if we can get the low just to shift 15 miles further south and east. I also like the NAM blocking the storm hmm. I will watch the GFS the only thing I am looking for will be is there any movement at all with the low south and east from the last two previous model runs. Is the high up north strong enough to stop its northward bleed. Also, the rain snow line will it also drop south and east at all if it does, I am very interested! Hoping these guys will save Media! I saw them grazing in the grass before taking flight southeast today from the park next to my house. They Know! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Borrowed from the New England side this region will experience prime frontogenesis forcing maybe we get plastered like December Eagles game 2013 style 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 18 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Some nutty stuff going on! Maybe it is my weenie eyes, but it almost looked like the storm while in extreme southern NC was trying to pass of energy off the northern South Carolina coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: I actually thought today was warmer than progged and tonight colder than progged...cooled off quick this afternoon... weird. 23 here in Media with a 14-degree dewpoint we are about bottomed out, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 8pm tomorrow night 3k NAM hourly 3.4” per hour at ABE . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beagles20 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Borrowed from the New England side this regions will experience prime frontogenesis forcing maybe we get plastered like December Eagles game 2013 style I apologize, I am trying to remember with the frontogenesis, does the heavy snows occur below or on the north or south side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Borrowed from the New England side this regions will experience prime frontogenesis forcing maybe we get plastered like December Eagles game 2013 style Exactly!! BINGO!! Exactly what I was saying to my pal in Langhorne! Eagles Lions Baby! I loved that Adam Joseph said sorry snow lovers we have just a little snow on the way but changing to rain lol. Realitiy temps 27-30 with 7" of snow in 5 hours. BOOM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 NBM holding with what it might be thinking will be a warm nose intrusion in the midst of this (cutting down on totals by the end of the storm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Beagles20 said: I apologize, I am trying to remember with the frontogenesis, does the heavy snows occur below or on the north or south side? Below and to the north I believe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 8pm tomorrow night 3k NAM hourly 3.4” per hour at ABE .Here’s your frontogenisis . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Beagles20 said: I apologize, I am trying to remember with the frontogenesis, does the heavy snows occur below or on the north or south side? It has more to do with how the warm front and cold front are orienented to each other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 RGEM continues the much colder trend in the 0z suite. Stays mostly snow down to the Philly burbs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Great start to 0z going to shut it down now and wait for the heavy snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 27 minutes ago, RedSky said: Below and to the north I believe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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