January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?

[mattie g]

[NoVaWx]

Sleet

[umdterps29]

A few flakes mixing in here and there but still mostly sleet and freezing rain

[mappy]

29/26 with sleet

[nukeing]

30/27 sleet

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[Terpeast]

35/27 sleet

[EastCoast NPZ]

Some sleet mixed in now with the light rain.

[Lucketts]

32/27 and sleet again.

[umdterps29]

Majority snow now at the top of wisp. Have a feeling it’ll be a lot of back and forth this morning

[Miss Pixee]

System is shaped like a big comma. Darker portions are moderate rain/snow. Yellow dot is DC.

[WeatherShak]

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[notvirga!]

Traffic cam shows it’s ripping snow on wv —va border rt 48 on the mountain. It was freezing rain and sleet earlier 

[stormy]

11 minutes ago, Heisy said:

It’s a flat out joke. These are back to back runs under 26 hours. Yea, I guess in a way you can say it’s picked up on some trends at 12z so it adjusted, but what’s the point of running it beyond 24 hours if it does this crap? Always use it as a strictly nowcast tool never a forecasting one beyond a day. Lesson for the newbies


.

The same can be said of the GFS, Euro, GEM. None of the models predicted how much we would warm overnight upstairs  after the HP moved offshore. Especially western areas. This threw everybody and everything including the NWS for a loop.

[wxmeddler]

[WeatherShak]

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[WVclimo]

Flakes getting bigger now as the intensity picks up.  All surfaces including paved roads are covered.  Up to 29°.

[Langeston]

29 degrees and a declaration of snow from the Finnish Lapphund in Martinsburg


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[wxmeddler]

Newest aircraft departure sounding 20 min ago. Still could wetbulb in the lowest levels but saturated around 850 would be sleet/rain mix

[Weather Will]

30, light sleet few flakes.  Rooftops and  mulch whitening.

[katabatic]

Some hope (at least out here) - transitioned over to snow (for now). Not heavy either which I think is a good sign. Temp fell back to 28.0. Gosh I hope that the WAL mixed out. Fingers crossed.

[EastCoast NPZ]

Some flakes in the mix now.

[aldie 22]

Sleeting enough to show on the mulch

[Roger Ramjet]

Sleet & snow mix 29.

[umdterps29]

Top of Wisp seems to be all snow now. Small flake size but coming down moderately. Roads covered and it’s looking like winter out there. Hope the intensity picks up and holds for 5 or 6 hours

[Paleocene]

Sleeting in 20910 silver spring. Frozen precip win! Here in the equivalent climate to savannah ga

[Terpeast]

Sleet whitened the deck. 34/27

[Mrs.J]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

30, light sleet few flakes.  Rooftops and  mulch whitening.

Should be coming my way soon then. Currently only have a covering of sleet pellets on my deck and wet roads. 30 here also.

[Eskimo Joe]

12 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

Newest aircraft departure sounding 20 min ago. Still could wetbulb in the lowest levels but saturated around 850 would be sleet/rain mix

Where did you get this?

[87storms]

Snow/sleet mix in Frederick and accumulating. Roads are getting nasty.

[NorthArlington101]

For what it’s worth, some of the mesos had favored spots starting as sleet and then flipping by to snow with better rates.

But maybe we can retire colder ground temps mattering… as well as snow in Arkansas. And never look at the RGEM again