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January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?


WxUSAF
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11 minutes ago, Heisy said:


It’s a flat out joke. These are back to back runs under 26 hours. Yea, I guess in a way you can say it’s picked up on some trends at 12z so it adjusted, but what’s the point of running it beyond 24 hours if it does this crap? Always use it as a strictly nowcast tool never a forecasting one beyond a day. Lesson for the newbies


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The same can be said of the GFS, Euro, GEM. None of the models predicted how much we would warm overnight upstairs  after the HP moved offshore. Especially western areas. This threw everybody and everything including the NWS for a loop.

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