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January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?


WxUSAF
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11 minutes ago, Heisy said:


It’s a flat out joke. These are back to back runs under 26 hours. Yea, I guess in a way you can say it’s picked up on some trends at 12z so it adjusted, but what’s the point of running it beyond 24 hours if it does this crap? Always use it as a strictly nowcast tool never a forecasting one beyond a day. Lesson for the newbies


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The same can be said of the GFS, Euro, GEM. None of the models predicted how much we would warm overnight upstairs  after the HP moved offshore. Especially western areas. This threw everybody and everything including the NWS for a loop.

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Oh nice —> that can be a rough car ride from here.  Was just up that way to visit family for new years. Enjoy. 

Thanks man. Took a bit less than 4 hrs with no one on the road. Pretty smooth ride with lots of scooby snacks to get me through

Looks like precip won’t begin up here until late afternoon. 740 ft elevation half a mile east of mount hope. WSW up for 6-12”

Seeing some snow falling on my cam back home in union bridge. Assume some sleet is mixed in there too based on other’s observations. WSW up for 2-4” of snow / sleet + some ice


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