NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Yeah man…looks awesomeWhat are you gonna do with your 0”? I think I’m gonna watch the Steelers and Ravens play 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 26/16 DCL, 2595’. The valleys on the ride in this evening were 19-23 on the car thermometer. The woodstove is ripping now too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 -6 under forecasted low. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: What are you gonna do with your 0”? I think I’m gonna watch the Steelers and Ravens play Not a bad day! I’ll watch FA Cup soccer in the morning. I’ll also rest to get over this cold and then take my daughter out for a birthday dinner! Might steer clear of any obs thread tomorrow, though! Edit: 29 degrees - right on my forecast low. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Wishing my N/W sisters and brothers the best of luck. Post pics! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3k up to it's usual overemphasizing the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3k up to it's usual overemphasizing the mountains.I hope it’s right! My cabin sits on top of one of them! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 27 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Only a 7 inch difference here between the NAM and 3K with 10 hours until start time. That model is utter garbage. Udder You're welcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Not a bad day! I’ll watch FA Cup soccer in the morning. I’ll also rest to get over this cold and then take my daughter out for a birthday dinner! Might steer clear of any obs thread tomorrow, though! Edit: 29 degrees - right on my forecast low.Happy birthday to your daughter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Temps steady in Tenleytown (~380ft) at around 34F for the past few hours. 34/35 at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 27/21 cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: Temps steady in Tenleytown (~380ft) at around 34F for the past few hours. 34/35 at DCA. I know what you're referencing in the temp being around 34 to 35 at DCA, but if this was a temp/dp...I would still believe you because if anyone can defy the laws of thermodynamics, it's DCA 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Bottomed out at 27, rose back up to 28.8. dewpoint 22 clouds probably rolled overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Bottomed out at 27, rose back up to 28.8. dewpoint 22 clouds probably rolled overhead Yes - a fairly thick band too. https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?satellite,37.983,-77.695,7,m:eHJaelN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockabilyJunior Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I'm between Baltimore and Towson and it's currently 25.3 ºF in my front yard supposedly. The forecast low was for 29 ºF. My yard tends to run a little cool though not quite that much ... I would be happy if we had a surprise inch of snow even if it all melts away shortly after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 29 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: What are you gonna do with your 0”? I think I’m gonna watch the Steelers and Ravens play Build the world's smallest snowman??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I know what you're referencing in the temp being around 34 to 35 at DCA, but if this was a temp/dp...I would still believe you because if anyone can defy the laws of thermodynamics, it's DCA lol so true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 RGEM pretty much matches it's 18z run except for a snow hole near York PA. NAM could never dream of being that consistent. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Updated discussion from LWX 000 FXUS61 KLWX 060241 AFDLWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 941 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure shifts off the Delmarva coast this evening while an area of low pressure tracks northeast from the Gulf Coast heading into Saturday. This storm system will bring a widespread wintry mix of precipitation to the region Saturday into Sunday morning. High pressure briefly returns Monday before another potent area of low pressure crosses the region Tuesday into Wednesday next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... Broad troughing extends from Iowa southward toward the Gulf Coast this evening, with a prominent shortwave trough located within the base of the larger trough over eastern Texas. This shortwave will rapidly lift northeastward overnight, reaching the Tennessee Valley by daybreak. High clouds have overspread the majority of the area this evening, well in advance of the system approaching from the southwest. Clouds will continue to thicken and lower over the course of the night. Precipitation may break out just prior to daybreak in the central Shenandoah Valley/central Virginia Piedmont as stronger large scale ascent/low-level warm advection moves in from the southwest. 00z hi- res guidance indicates that much of this precipitation may initially fall in the form of freezing rain across the central Shenandoah Valley/central Virginia Piedmont. Winter weather headlines start in those locations at 4 AM. Further north and east, the majority of the forecast area should experience dry conditions overnight. Lows will be in the 20s for most, with lower 30s in downtown DC and Baltimore. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... The southern stream jet intensifies from the Southern Plains toward the Mid-Atlantic this weekend. A series of strong upper troughs will traverse along the southern stream jet, as an associated surface low pressure develops over the Deep South and quickly progresses northeast. This low intensifies as it reaches southeast VA Saturday, then moves over the Delmarva Saturday night. Precipitation is expected to overspread the area starting early Saturday morning, mostly in the form of snow, with sleet and freezing rain mixing in at times, especially for portions of the central Shenandoah Valley, central Virginia Piedmont and central Blue Ridge. For areas right along and east of I-95 any snow is not expected to stick beyond a coating on the grass/elevated surfaces where precip quickly turns to a cold rain by mid morning. As the morning progresses the 850mb temps warm above freezing as strong WAA pushes a nose of moderated/warmer marine air atop the cold air at the surface. The warm nose will vary in temperature across the area, which is going to result in a wintry mix of rain, freezing rain, and sleet, especially along/east of I-81. Cold air is likely to hang around the longest west of the Blue Ridge and north of US-48 where primary p-type through the event is snow. Even in the areas where snow totals are higher, there is concern that sleet and/or a wintry mix could bring down overall snow totals. The rain/snow line will push inland through the afternoon, likely reaching just east of the Blue Ridge. Some models indicate there is a potential for precip to revert back to freezing rain as night falls and temperatures drop, roughly a line from Winchester to Dulles north toward the PA border. Uncertainties remain on exact snow and ice amounts. Regardless, this winter storm is going to produce hazardous conditions due to a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Ice accretion amounts up to two tenths of an inch are possible in parts of the Central Shenandoah Valley into Central VA, and up to around one-quarter inch along the Central Blue Ridge, with a trace up to a few hundredths of an inch of ice possible elsewhere in the Warning/Advisory areas. Snow/sleet amounts will vary, though looking at 4-7" for western Maryland and much of the eastern West Virginia Panhandle. A tight gradient of 1-3" likely sets up near the I-81 corridor and cutting east through Frederick MD and Carroll. East of the gradient and along the I-95 corridor snow/sleet amounts between a trace to a couple tenths of an inch. The surface low pressure will quickly move offshore into the Atlantic on Sunday. Aloft, an elongated shortwave trough will remain atop the region, helping to produce upslope mountain snow showers. An additional few inches of snow is possible along/west of the Allegheny Front through Sunday night. Some light snow showers or flurries could spill east of the mountains during the day. Brisk WNW winds gusting to 20mph possible in the afternoon as highs reach the low to mid 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, Amped said: RGEM pretty much matches it's 18z run except for a snow hole near York PA. NAM could never dream of being that consistent. It is comically stubborn. I love that it initializes 3-5F warmer than the 18Z run at hour 0 and then INSTANTLY jumps to its old forecast at hour 1. "Nah, I was definitely right before" 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 hit 27.3 now 28.4 by morning I will probably be 75 and sunny 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The forecast for Canaan Sunday looks pretty epic - high of 27 with a couple inches of upslope. Just bought tubing tickets...and there are a ton remaining (and only $36 pp). Just sayin' if you are feeling like a road trip to (a real) snowtown... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, clskinsfan said: I am talking about the NAM. For future reference, that's the 12 km NAM, as also known as the parent. The 3 km NAM Nest is usually labeled as either the 3km or the nest. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 28.2/24 here in the alps of NW Fairfax County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, RIC_WX said: 26/16 DCL, 2595’. The valleys on the ride in this evening were 19-23 on the car thermometer. The woodstove is ripping now too Wish we were there this weekend. Enjoy it with the upslope too. 28 at 2800’ but sadly not that here at 150’. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just checked 3k nam, seems to have corrected a bit colder both at surface and 850mb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Currently 12 degrees in downtown silver spring, expecting heavy snow and 6-12" accumulations 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Fox 5 dc said graf model came In colder. Increased some totals by 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just checked 3k nam, seems to have corrected a bit colder both at surface and 850mb. Is it right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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