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January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?


WxUSAF
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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

29/18. Temps really dropped fast once the sun went down. Hope we get some clouds in here before sunrise. Happy with the cold so far though. 

The clouds will be here way before sunrise. 

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5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

HRRR was no bueno for anyone east of Hagerstown. 
 

IMG_0970.png

Yeah, but look at the temps on the HRRR, I'm already lower than what it has for my location at midnight tonight.  It has some major catching up to do.

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2 minutes ago, MDphotog said:

Yeah, but look at the temps on the HRRR, I'm already lower than what it has for my location at midnight tonight.  It has some major catching up to do.

I’d argue that surface temps aren’t necessarily the biggest issue here for many. Especially N/W of the cities. Maybe that will end up not being the case, but every bit of guidance is showing a warm layer above the surface. 

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3 minutes ago, snowfan said:

I’d argue that surface temps aren’t necessarily the biggest issue here for many. Especially N/W of the cities. Maybe that will end up not being the case, but every bit of guidance is showing a warm layer above the surface. 

Totally agree, but the HRRR was doing something odd, up here in Hagerstown, where the 850 was still below freezing, but we have like 34 - 35 degrees at the surface at 10AM.  We shall see.  

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2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

tell that to the RGEM /s

1704517200-TtUnG5W6Wlk.png

wait... are you telling me maybe we shouldn't trust it?

The reason those temps will be difficult is the clouds are here by 10-11pm and we won’t get the steady 1 degree per hour we did last night with clear skies thru dawn 

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