jayyy Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Weather app is still bullish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 1 hour ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM 996 over OC this run. A touch warmer. But it basically hasnt flinched for multiple runs now. 50 miles east of OC would be perfect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Well, the 6Z NAM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Well, the 6Z NAM....Did the euro show snow at all?? Looked too warm even into panhandle Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 WB NAM Precip total compared to 18Z. Now we watch the thermals over the next several runs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 1 minute ago, Ji said: Did the euro show snow at all?? Looked too warm even into panhandle Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk WB 0Z EURO was warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 WB 0Z EURO was warmThat's pretty disgusting. We never go from 12 to 6. It's always 12-0Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 WB 6Z RDPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 WB 6Z GFS....again have to watch the temps. But wintry mix for NW zones is on the table for Saturday. Details TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 WB 6Z 3K NAM. Temp. Profiles as Precip moving in 1 pm Sat. What I will be watching the next two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 WB 6Z RDPSSo close but no cigar for the metros . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Early call from NWS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 9 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Early call from NWS Not sure if those are rain or snow values, could be either. Smh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 4, 2024 Author Share Posted January 4, 2024 Bummer. Good luck far N/W folks! This doesn’t look like the one that’s going to break the record long streak without 1” of snow for any of DC-Baltimore-Philly-NYC. Maybe IAD still has a chance? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EstorilM Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Wow this seemed like a lock for Northern VA, then again people always say you never want to be in the bullseye ~5 days out - all it can do is “trend” away from you lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 The trends for this aren’t good. I feel it’s entirely possible that by this time tomorrow we are looking at a snow to start briefly before changing to light rain basically region wide. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Unfortunately, when we were already with little wiggle room a few days ago and given the temperature profile leading in, this going northwest was always the most likely result. Given what we have seen with the lack of cold the past however many years, it only reinforced that. Good luck to all of the climo favored folks! Hope you get a nice thump and have a fun afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The trends for this aren’t good. I feel it’s entirely possible that by this time tomorrow we are looking at a snow to start briefly before changing to light rain basically region wide. At this point I'll even say that the last several runs do equal a trend....bummer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Those NWS totals for Deep Creek are disappointingly low. I can’t believe there is now a chance of some mixing even out there. I thought i would be in for a pretty good storm regardless out there and now that’s looking very questionable. Bummer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 6z Euro 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 6z EuroBetter than 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS....again have to watch the temps. But wintry mix for NW zones is on the table for Saturday. Details TBD. So wait VA went from an historic snow event to an ice storm in 36 hours? Honest question, haven't been following that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So wait VA went from an historic snow event to an ice storm in 36 hours? Honest question, haven't been following that area. Yes Blacksburg actually wrote a nice little AFD this morning talking about the fact that they had a meeting with neighboring Wfo’s along with WPC. Foothills of NC went ahead and issued a winter storm watch post meeting but Blacksburg didn’t feel like they have the 50% threshold met yet with snow/ice to pull the trigger. I’ve seen some models pump out like .4 of ice down here which would be really bad.. if that starts to come to fruition I could see them possibly changing their mind as that would be pretty impactful in this area and the first moderate winter event in a couple years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Will not be surprised if there is zero accumulation of any snow that may fall here. I can only imagine precip rates will not overcome warmth and afternoon timing. This feels like one of those events where rural and elevated areas get accumulation and Stephens City gets some slush in the grass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EstorilM Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Wasn’t the euro saying “warmer, faster, and NW” like 4-5 days ago, when we kept calling it an outlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 7 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Will not be surprised if there is zero accumulation of any snow that may fall here. I can only imagine precip rates will not overcome warmth and afternoon timing. This feels like one of those events where rural and elevated areas get accumulation and Stephens City gets some slush in the grass. I think 1-3” before the flip is a reasonable call Loudoun-MoCo and west. Fairfax county might struggle to reach an inch. Higher elevations or west of 81 may see 2-4” locally 5” Best we can hope for is that thermals tick a bit colder and we hold the flip off an extra hour or two 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 3 minutes ago, EstorilM said: Wasn’t the euro saying “warmer, faster, and NW” like 4-5 days ago, when we kept calling it an outlier? It drew a line right over us 5 days ago. We want that line to be 50-100 miles south of us so we’re still good even if it trended north even a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 55 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So wait VA went from an historic snow event to an ice storm in 36 hours? Honest question, haven't been following that area. Ice is becoming more of a concern this morning in Augusta County. My 3 model blend for 10:1 snow is still 5 inches but now up to .40" FR and 1 inch of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 29 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Will not be surprised if there is zero accumulation of any snow that may fall here. I can only imagine precip rates will not overcome warmth and afternoon timing. This feels like one of those events where rural and elevated areas get accumulation and Stephens City gets some slush in the grass. You will get snow. The dew points and temps out here heading in are good. It's not gonna be the foot+ that was being spit out by the models a couple of days ago. But it will snow out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 4, 2024 Share Posted January 4, 2024 Precip moving in at 15z sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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