Paleocene Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I'm getting wishcasty, but the decent cold push Thurs- Friday overnight should help cool down the ground to help white rain/front end thump accumulate. Below freezing down into the carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Looks like the GFS will be a little warmer judging from the 850 temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Light snow into DC metro area by 15z Saturday. Holds thru 18z as snow, temps in the 32-34 range along 95. This thing races through -- precip out of the area by 00z Sun 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GFS isn’t terrible all things considered. It is so dry coming in that we get solid evaporational cooling. Precip totals are back up closer to an inch. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 North of DC raked 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GFS heavy snow through NOVA and central MD. Pummeled It all falls in like 8 hours. We better get those advertised rates. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 great run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GFS is really fast. It's a thump and gone. Someone mentioned the Ravens/Vikings game snowstorm, if you can call it that. Reminds me a bit of that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, DarkSharkWX said: great run Personally, I see some room for improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 The 4pm sounding in DC that’s showing rain is borderline for snow which is the main difference between this and the past two runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: great run sold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 The column is holding on for dear life from 18 to 21z in the DC area. It eventually falls, but there’s almost 0.6” precip by 21z. Ratios would suck, but it would be a few inches of snow first in this scenario. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, rjvanals said: The 4pm sounding in DC that’s showing rain is borderline for snow which is the main difference between this and the past two runs WxBell maps are friendlier so I'm gonna assume they've made the right call. I'll post when it wraps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 GFS is interesting. It has a stronger vortmax in the plains and so I thought if would maybe follow 6z euro. And it does end up a bit stronger/norther, but the WAA thump is legit. You don’t get soundings like this often from the GFS. This is legit heavy snow for a few hours Saturday afternoon. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: sold that old Leesburg04 guy would of liked this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeDeeHCue Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 23 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Whoever is skirting that rain/snow line is gonna end up happy in the end. The Piedmont's time to shine! That glitchy block on GFS where Howard County gets screwed needs to vamoose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 cmc amazing too just NW of dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: WxBell maps are friendlier so I'm gonna assume they've made the right call. I'll post when it wraps. Snow maps are going to struggle on the boundary. Soundings and QPF are the way to go. I’m modestly happy with this run sitting on the western DC Beltway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Personally, I see some room for improvement Same. It just trended back to a direction we mostly like, but we can do better. I’ll bet happy hour GooFuS improves upon this run (F what the Euro says in a few hours). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, MN Transplant said: Snow maps are going to struggle on the boundary. Soundings and QPF are the way to go. I’m modestly happy with this run sitting on the western DC Beltway. But soundings and QPF are harder to understand /s If you are in I'm in. We tend to perform similarly. I already know I'm not gonna be in D.C. for this one - question is if I hang in A-Town or if it's worth it to flee to HBurg or Staunton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Its a 3-5/4-8 type thumper. We havent had one of those for a while. I am looking forward to it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, DarkSharkWX said: cmc amazing too just NW of dc Pretty similar idea to the GFS just juiced up a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Wasn't a bad run by any means. Certainly keeps me interested. Could have been better, could have been worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: cmc amazing too just NW of dc Dear lord that’s a brutal gradient. Going to be riots if that plays out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, DarkSharkWX said: CMC taking the steroids this afternoon I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, osfan24 said: Wasn't a bad run by any means. Certainly keeps me interested. Could have been better, could have been worse. Agreed, we are still alive on I-95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, DarkSharkWX said: 2.4 at DCA and 10.9 at BWI would be a disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6-10 snowdepth 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GGEM is sub 1000 at the mouth of the bay. Its beautiful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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