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January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?


WxUSAF
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Just now, North Balti Zen said:

I am following the Arkansas updates closely because almost time to start compiling the now annual list of places with more snow than our area on the season...

Mostly everywhere lol 

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22 minutes ago, mappy said:

with all due respect, you can disagree without resorting to name calling. 

he could learn alot of me. I went from loved to hated to beloved again!

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4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

1704582000-E7NRUF70V0Y.png

pretty big shift from 06z -> 12z. Will be nice to see snow in the subforum somewhere.

6z had nothing in E Loudoun right? 2” line back over me now. Let’s hope its the start of a good trend with NW AR seeing a nice surprise in their backyards

ETA it’s 39.6 here. Sunny, dews at 21

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2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

6z had nothing in E Loudoun right? 2” line back over me now. Let’s hope its the start of a good trend with NW AR seeing a nice surprise in their backyards

6z was a disaster 

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13 minutes ago, mappy said:

You're right, he was disrespectful to you with the magic mushroom comment. ignoring him and letting him look like a fool is better than you responding and calling him a douche. my two cents. 

Good points and thank you for identifying the instigator and I will consider being less responsive and more ignoring 

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Weather wise we are currently seeing unfolding right in front of us the effect of the strong cold  high and low dews with unexpected snow to our sw

i continue to doubt this low gets further north than Va/NC border or lower than 1000mb until it’s east-ene of OC 

There is considerable to look forward to 

 

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Weather wise we are currently seeing unfolding right in front of us the effect of the strong cold  high and low dews with unexpected snow to our sw
i continue to doubt this low gets further north than Va/NC border or lower than 1000mb until it’s east-ene of OC 
There is considerable to look forward to 
 

YES. radar hallucinations have started!
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At 1pm DCA has risen from 27F to 39F but dew point just from 16 to 19.  That’s 4-1 which won’t hold at onset of steady but assures at least a 50/50 meeting between dews and air temp. 
Here’s how I see things for DCA so it would be better just 20 miles further  north and west 

Friday 5pm. Clear 40 

Friday 8pm  Mostly clear 34

10pm increasing clouds 32/dew point 22

1am Cloudy 29/ 23  Temps steady thereafter 

9am cloudy 35/25

10am  steady  light to moderate snow, 31/29 

 

 

 

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33 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


I feel like Arkansas battling the rain/snow line has little correlation to what’s causing us to flip to sleet/rain tomorrow but I guess I’ll take any optimism.

It is nice to see people locally be colder than forecast. Maybe a little chillier than expected in and around the Beltway. Haven’t breached 40 yet.

Atlantic will eat our lunch unfortunately 

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27 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Good points and thank you for identifying the instigator and I will consider being less responsive and more ignoring 

Thank you :) I hope you're right by the way!

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5 minutes ago, mappy said:

Thank you :) I hope you're right by the way!

Just now the snow line moves south and east.  Looking at current conditions including unexpected snows well to sw and realizing dews and cold are durable for another 24-27 hours from now are likely creeping into NWS product and not just entirely what models say 

 

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