TSSN+ Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Didn’t you already cancel winter? Yup winter is canceled. Super winter is here. But seriously per this storm I haven’t said much crying about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Everyone in here panics way to much. I haven’t panicked once. Especially for a storm that was 3+ days out. There’s going to be shifts we all should know that by now. Location:Westminster, MD 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 That's a thumping too. All in less than 12 hoursFeeling a lot better about the prediction I made earlier today fa sho Let’s get it done! Sub 60 hours from watches being hoisted!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keviepoo Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 https://www.facebook.com/groups/stormteamloco/ is following this like a hawk. Storm Team LOCO... Wishcasting you can trust! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 9 minutes ago, keviepoo said: https://www.facebook.com/groups/stormteamloco/ is following this like a hawk. Storm Team LOCO... Wishcasting you can trust! do you guys know jays wintry mix? They're another storm team operating in the greater leesburg region 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 12 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: do you guys know jays wintry mix? They're another storm team operating in the greater leesburg region I'm not sure if this is sarcasm, but in case it's not...I'll give you a hint: we are all familiar with Jay, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 31 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I think even for you guys, the timing of this is important. We really want as much of main slug of moisture to fall after 4-5pm as possible. The GFS has a potentially nice deform band after sundown that could clobber someone. I really don't want the height of the storm to be at like 1 pm. What time onset? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keviepoo Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: do you guys know jays wintry mix? They're another storm team operating in the greater leesburg region Jay is a legit amateur Met in Leesburg... Storm Team LOCO is strictly pajamas inside out, ice cubes into the toilet kind of prognosticating... we have two tag lines... "Wishcasting you can trust" and "all the hype and none of the accuracy". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Model trend momentum is accelerating toward some extreme snowmap colorsModels were accelerating in another direction earlier today. But - as we all learned in meteorology class - model trend momentum is moving toward snow now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 A detailed play by play of the euro is appreciated here!. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I’m up but the SV peeps will be 5 mins ahead of me. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I’m up but the SV peeps will be 5 mins ahead of me. If sheer willpower was an applicable variable we'd skip over HECS and go straight for a BECS on this one. The forum needs it in the worse way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 A detailed play by play of the euro is appreciated here!.I will take any move toward a colder / snowier solution as a win tonight, especially with how the GFS CMC and Ukie trended. Looking for: 1. confluence and the HP look better on this run vs 6-18z as far as strength and positioning is concerned 2. Focus continues to move away from the OV and toward a consolidated SS storm that tracks SE of here We’re at day 4.5 or so… this should historically be in the OP euros wheelhouse. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Out to 54 comparing to gfs. Slightly more confluence. Slightly weaker SW exiting the 4 corners. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, ravensrule said: @Deck Picgive me the good news please. It's only out to 78 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Deck Pic said: It's only out to 78 I’m antsy as hell. It’s been 8 years since I have gotten a decent storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 About to find out but so far slightly better high pressure over the top. 1-2 mb stronger and anchored further west. Slightly weaker wave than previous euro stronger than gfs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 better HP look on 00z thru 78 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 DarkSky via the Apple Weather App is all in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 At 83 seeing the same trends as gfs. Stronger high further west but it’s not as strong as gfs was. But euro was warmer to begin with. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 at 88 seems extraordinarily unlikely this would cut. Track should be pretty sweet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 MSLP off NC/SC border at 90 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Euro is stubborn. A similar run to 12z...wet and warm 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 It trended better with the high but in the end it’s still warm. Looks similar to 12z euro 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Euro is stubborn. A similar run to 12z...wet and warmYeah it looks like 12z unfortunately. The slightest bit better in the cities. Best improvement is for NE MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Going to be interesting to see what the higher res models have to say about thermals once we get into their range . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Let’s nudge this 30 miles SE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah it looks like 12z unfortunately. The slightest bit better in the cities. Best improvement is for NE MD. Seems like euro is the warmest model now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Let’s nudge this 30 miles SE.GFS/CMC/Ukie/Icon and Euro blend? lol . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Still lots of change going on... trend for now seems to be a much weaker/flatter wave. Classic trend towards the gulf stream baroclinic zone as well. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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