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January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?


WxUSAF
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This setup is reminding me of a few moderate events we've had in these parts back in the 2010's. Most famous was the December storm that crushed the area and gave the Ravens snow game vs Minnesota. Snow came in like a wall, which is what the GFS is advertising now in successive runs. Quick storm, but a nice thump from a decent WAA regime. 

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Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

love to see the confluence make a notable shift stronger on both the GFS and CMC so far. increases surface HP strength and compresses the flow so that even a weaker S/W has more bang for its buck AND is colder

gfs_z500_vort_us_fh84_trend.thumb.gif.21981ab32d898e619a7a1b1ce7200d68.gifgem_z500_vort_us_fh84_trend.thumb.gif.a1b69061c8a33f60162f9290d0729e12.gif

The run was really positive to see with the newer 00z data ingest. I actually loved seeing the 5H progression of the trailing wave getting into the action late Sunday into Monday with light snow continuing over the MA. That will be something to monitor, but the primary shortwave passage was fantastic for a quick thump over a span of 8-12 hrs.

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1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

love to see the confluence make a notable shift stronger on both the GFS and CMC so far. increases surface HP strength and compresses the flow so that even a weaker S/W has more bang for its buck AND is colder

gfs_z500_vort_us_fh84_trend.thumb.gif.21981ab32d898e619a7a1b1ce7200d68.gifgem_z500_vort_us_fh84_trend.thumb.gif.a1b69061c8a33f60162f9290d0729e12.gif

Very nice to see the confluence improvement  on  BOTH GFS and CMC models!!( and icon too. Fwiw...lol) Hopefully. The euro picks up on same improvement!!

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