BooneWX Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:41 PM, wncsnow said: Euro is another swing and miss for most Expand Honestly, I don’t hate that look. A slight jog south or east and many would be in the game. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Models are really struggling with this. GFS and UK don't even have a storm at all really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Cutters,,,,Mercy,,,, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 11:01 AM, Tacoma said: Cutters,,,,Mercy,,,, Expand the morning operational GFS wipes out almost the rest of January. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Fab Feb am I right?! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Cold gets here right as the fire hose shuts off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 It would certainly be disappointing to not get anything out of this period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 2:53 PM, olafminesaw said: It would certainly be disappointing to not get anything out of this period Expand We can’t do anything right. I’ve given up. This is a good pattern and we just cannot time anything up right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Shields activated! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 The ICON and Canadian are trending in the right direction for early next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 4:31 PM, Tullioz said: The ICON and Canadian are trending in the right direction for early next week. Expand Yes! The two models you want in your corner against the GFS/EURO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Hard to believe we already have to write off January. This is looking like last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 5:15 PM, NorthHillsWx said: Yes! The two models you want in your corner against the GFS/EURO! Expand The 12z Euro is getting close to being something. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 6:37 PM, Tullioz said: The 12z Euro is getting close to being something. Expand I really feel this is going to be VA storm. We don't have a sustained cold air feed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 6:37 PM, Tullioz said: The 12z Euro is getting close to being something. Expand Yeah we just need the energy to consolidate to the south with less NS involvement. Nice not to see an overly amped up system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 6:49 PM, olafminesaw said: Yeah we just need the energy to consolidate to the south with less NS involvement. Nice not to see an overly amped up system. Expand Here in lies the problem. If it consolidates too quickly, it will likely amp and be rain for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Euro Tuesday PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Definitely looking more interesting next week. Euro showing an ice storm here with some snow then sustained cold air.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Some of those maps look like snow falling over much of the state but with little to no accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 If u want a look of a Miller A, look at the EPS for next week.... big signal for a snowstorm, Northern NC and points northSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 The EPS does look improved for western NC up through VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 7:08 PM, wncsnow said: Some of those maps look like snow falling over much of the state but with little to no accumulations. Expand It’s bc the evolution as modeled by all of those is not a mode for accumulating snow here. It’s NS energy playing catch up and wringing out limited moisture as the main low deepens too far away. We need more NS interaction but, as mentioned earlier with the orientation of this cold press, that would almost definitely mean rain. For areas outside mountains, NC is out of the game for this system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 7:15 PM, wncsnow said: The EPS does look improved for western NC up through VAMuch improved. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 Verbatim the Euro would be pretty nasty in the Triad. Freezing rain turning to snow and temps dropping into the teens overnight. Now it has support from the ensembles. This is right around the time frame where we tend to see models start to put the pieces together, so it's all about watching the trend. Still it's a delicate set-up, even with the advantage of some legit arctic air on the backside of the system. We need this to become a southern stream dominant system and slow down as much as possible. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 GSP AFD... Extended models show the development of a long wave structure with a deep upper trough over the eastern CONUS with numerous chances for shortwave passages through Wednesday. This pattern also gives generally lower thickness levels and increased chances for snow over the GSP area through Wednesday. Moisture is still limited. Still the EC model has some snow over most of the CWA on Tuesday. The GFS model, however, restricts frozen precip to the higher elevations. Overall, chances for winter conditions increase into mid next week, though no major event is current on the horizon. Yeah but I want a major event!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 5:39 PM, eyewall said: Hard to believe we already have to write off January. This is looking like last year. Expand Writing off 21 days with tons of arctic air in the pattern is an interesting position. 9 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 10, 2024 Author Share Posted January 10, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 8:14 PM, Upstate Tiger said: GSP AFD... Extended models show the development of a long wave structure with a deep upper trough over the eastern CONUS with numerous chances for shortwave passages through Wednesday. This pattern also gives generally lower thickness levels and increased chances for snow over the GSP area through Wednesday. Moisture is still limited. Still the EC model has some snow over most of the CWA on Tuesday. The GFS model, however, restricts frozen precip to the higher elevations. Overall, chances for winter conditions increase into mid next week, though no major event is current on the horizon. Yeah but I want a major event!!!! Expand I do too!! Although I will never turn down mood flakes or a car topper either 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 The 18z GFS is much more Euro-like in it's evolution. It's just a little too strung out/suppressed to get the job done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 10, 2024 Share Posted January 10, 2024 For what it’s worth the GFS/GEFS just want to keep reloading cold past mid month 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 On 1/10/2024 at 8:31 PM, buckeyefan1 said: I do too!! Although I will never turn down mood flakes or a car topper either Expand I'm with ya bro. Us beggars can't be choosers as my mom always said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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