NC_hailstorm Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 Good grief a 972 low on the Canadian. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 All of the models are too warm for most of us except maybe Mt Mitchell. This winter continues to suck 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 Unfortunately not good trends overnight outside of the ICON. Just can't get the timing right with the cold air and moisture. Will continue to watch.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 If their is good news, Mid February and beyond finally may be what we are looking for. But that's 2 weeks out. Hard to get excited about that Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 Is it just me or is it every time DT has called for a significant winter storm being likely etc... it hasn't happened. LolSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Is it just me or is it every time DT has called for a significant winter storm being likely etc... it hasn't happened. Lol Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk He sees one good model run and says the big one is coming. The next run its gone. I think he is as snow hungry as the rest of us and its driving him nuts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 New ICON is 40s and rain. Next. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 Not writing off this one until Thursday/Friday. Still time for it to go the other way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 12z ICON has rain ending as heavy wet snow in VA. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 The biggest reason to be pessimistic is lack of cold air. Even with a perfect track we would likely be all cold rain. The only path to snow at this point is for the storm to stall just off shore and wrap cold air around. A tall order for sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 27 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Is it just me or is it every time DT has called for a significant winter storm being likely etc... it hasn't happened. Lol Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Everybody that has a brain knows that hes a joke.......dude constantly busts over and over 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 48 minutes ago, Shad said: Everybody that has a brain knows that hes a joke.......dude constantly busts over and over And if you disagree with him, he just calls you names like a 4th grader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 Being in the middle of the 4 week punt period is like being stuck in line at the DMV on your lunch break with a 1 pm important meeting coming up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 I was hoping we’d get some clarity here at 12z but I had to remind myself that it’s D7. I still think there’s plenty of reason for many to have hope. The signal isn’t as strong but it’s not gone. I refuse to take OPs verbatim at this stage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 1 hour ago, CentralNC said: And if you disagree with him, he just calls you names like a 4th grader. Have you read some of the posts in this group in the past? Just saying! The "Ignore" button works wonders! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 90% of this is rain unless you are above 4k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 Congrats Monroe? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 9 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Congrats Monroe? I'll take it, thank you. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 30, 2024 Share Posted January 30, 2024 The long awaited (for ~3 weeks) and hoped for major pattern change of mid Feb seems to be more or less on track at the end of the regular ensemble runs now. Here’s the nice split flow at the end of the 12Z GEFS/El Nino says hello: The extended models have been hinting at Feb 18-19 as the first period for an enhanced chance for a SE Miller A/GOM winter storm. We’ll see. The end of the regular runs is still too far out to be considered anything close to trustworthy territory but it’s a nice baby step. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 the 18Z GFS was so close. The high pressure is less transient and the low was suppressed just enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 May just be noise... system for Monday showed decent snows for NC/SC at 0z. The icon did as well... the 0z GEFS bumped up some... probably just noise though. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: May just be noise... system for Monday showed decent snows for NC/SC at 0z. The icon did as well... the 0z GEFS bumped up some... probably just noise though. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Things generally trended better last night with the cold air source. It’s not over yet! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 End of 6Z GEFS (for Feb 16) is setting up for potential SE wintry mischief (say, for ~Feb 18) with a split flow getting established and similar to what the extended models had been hinting at. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Pretty much in line with what I would expect with this system. A long shot but realistically possible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Pretty much in line with what I would expect with this system. A long shot but realistically possible So you're telling me there's a chance. Yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Unfortunately the 12z ICON lost it all.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 12z GFS: Book a hotel room in Elizabeth City or Virginia Beach for a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 12z Canadian also a big miss. Not good trends at 12zSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Always trends east then comes back west in closing hours, is my recollection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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