BornAgain13 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The 0z SPIRE MODEL fwiw...Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The 0z SPIRE MODEL fwiw... Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Is this one of the AI models? That’s a climatologically favored look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The southern stream energy comes ashore Thursday evening so the weenie playbook says we can't write this one off until then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Is this one of the AI models? That’s a climatologically favored look.Yes I believe it is. Copied it from the mid Atlantic forum. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 55 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The 0z SPIRE MODEL fwiw... Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Perfect for this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 18z GFS. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 6 minutes ago, Tullioz said: 18z GFS. Wake up @wncsnowyoure getting pasted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 What would it take to get the Eastern areas on the snow game lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 18z GFS says "It'll make it's own cold air" . You won't fool me on that one again 2 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 18 GEFS is better for a lot of the area FWIW.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 31 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: What would it take to get the Eastern areas on the snow game lol Moving I-85 a few hundred miles east 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 32 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: What would it take to get the Eastern areas on the snow game lol a move to New England. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Would love for us go start seeing better trends with this storm... DT apparently still thinks it's happening. He said it's game on lol. Don't know what he's seeing..Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 18z GFS. Looks like I might need to plan another trip up to Beech next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 18z GEFS looks better 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 59 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Would love for us go start seeing better trends with this storm... DT apparently still thinks it's happening. He said it's game on lol. Don't know what he's seeing.. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Storm track, HP to the North and Upslope Easterly flow. Heavy Rates are a give with that Setup if realized. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 2 hours ago, NJsnow89 said: What would it take to get the Eastern areas on the snow game lol A cold Airmass in advance of the Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 This storm is very close to being very big for many. It’s easy to get caught up in the windshield wiper effect but the bottom line is that we’re watching very subtle changes that can influence a big nothing burger or a paste bomb. Too early to tap out. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 This storm is very close to being very big for many. It’s easy to get caught up in the windshield wiper effect but the bottom line is that we’re watching very subtle changes that can influence a big nothing burger or a paste bomb. Too early to tap out. Enjoy your posts! Thanks for bringing the positivity! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 During the extended period of the 0Z Jan 29 GEFS, it fwiw suggests two periods with a heightened vs climo chance for a Miller A GOM SE winter storm: ~Feb 18-9 and ~Feb 24-5. During these periods, the run has a number of members with GOM lows that cross the FL pen. while in some cases underneath a Canadian high to the north centered near the Ohio Valley providing a good cold air connection while allowing for moisture to overrun the low level cold air. There have been several runs with similar dates though of course still fwiw. The Euro Weeklies of today suggested to me the best shot to be during the week of Feb 19-26 like it has in other runs. In addition, the mean of the last 12 runs of the CFS ensemble has the wettest week in the SE/GOM also during Feb 19-26. So, these three extended ensembles are together suggesting to me a heightened chance for a widespread SE significant winter storm within Feb 17-26 fwiw. We’ll see what happens! It could end up mild for all I know due to the unreliability of the extended models and there appears to be a couple of days of delay in the pattern change ~Feb 14, but I still like the prospects as of now starting just after the hoped for pattern change. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 0z ICON has a light to moderate snow event for Central NC and Southern VA for next week, with significant snow around Raleigh and points east. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Don't know if it's right but a hit on the Icon tonight....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 0z ICON puts down 10-12" northeast of Raleigh.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Don't know if it's right but a hit on the Icon tonight.......Still snowing in eastern NC at the end of the run. I know I know it's the ICON.. don't hurt to look and track.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 0z ICONSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 This may be a good GFS run…….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just as long as it is frozen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 That was close. It looked better in the early stages - just didn’t look great when it got here. Again, baby steps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Canadian is mid 40s and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Canadian is soooo close to a big winter storm in CAD areas... much colder this run but that cold suppresses the moisture a little.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now